Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "Could a Russia-Nato War Really Happen?" video.

  1. 2014, the big mistake from the west was not putting its foot down harder on Russia, I mean seriously, what did they expect Putin would do? He took over Crimea and the west response to that was very limp, so much so that I'm surprised it took Putin this long to take on another country. It's the same with Ukraine, if the EU and US lets Putin win, it's not going to end there, I mean seriously, how many times have we seen this through history that the soft touch doesn't work with dictators, you need a firm hand to make them think twice and to keep them in check, in other words, both the EU and US can't afford to let Putin win in Ukraine, yes things might calm down shortly after, but it's only a matter of time before things escalate in a bigger way that over time could drag both the EU and US directly into it. To reduce that risk, you've got to put your foot down hard sooner rather than later to make Putin think twice, and not just Putin, but also China, because they are watching for weaknesses from the west, if we show we don't have the stomach to support Ukraine long term, China and others could end up thinking it's worth taking on Taiwan, knowing it might be costly in the short term but the west will lose heart and give up, meaning the likes of Russia and China gets what they want.
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  2. You can never say never, but I doubt Russia would attack a NATO member and especially won't attack an EU member, both organisations have a defence clause that an attack on one is an attack on all, and in the case of the EU, they are far more integrated into each other, so an attack on one would have a ripple effect on the rest, meaning they are more likely compelled to get directly involved, which in the case of NATO, it's got very little holding it together apart from the world that others will come to the aid of the country being attacked. With all that said, I think it's highly unlikely Russia would take on an EU or NATO member as that would open up a can of worms and could escalate things quite quickly, in the case of the NATO, if the other members don't come to the aid of the country being attacked, the value of NATO would quickly die out, in the case of the EU, those countries are already very integrated both politically and economically, because of that, they very likely would have to come to the aid of the country being attacked out of self-interest because of the ripple effect, whereas with NATO, say Poland were attacked, what impact would that really have on the US? Minimal, and because of that, too many have too much faith in NATO coming to the aid of the country being attacked, which they might, but I have a feeling countries will make excuses up in the name of de-escalating things, a bit like the US keeps doing on Ukraine, meaning, we only have the word of others that they would help in NATO, but it's never been tested, hence why I have a lot more faith in the EU countries because self-interest kicks in with how integrated those countries are, so it's not a matter of if they want to help or not but more of a necessary out of self-interest. With all that said, I doubt Russia would take the chance taking on an EU or NATO country, because they don't know how the other side will respond, Putin already massively miscalculated on the west response to Ukraine, he's not in a position that he can take on more powerful countries, which EU and NATO countries are, especially when you consider that there are much easier targets to the east that are not EU or NATO members and are a lot poorer, these are the countries that I think could be at high risk if the EU and US lets Putin take over Ukraine, as I highly doubt Putin will stop with Ukraine. Also, where do we define an attack on the EU or NATO as being direct? You get the impression that Russia can get around that and do damage to power lines, internet cable and other things like that without directly attacking, but taking these things out would do a lot of damage, I mean, imagine if Russia were to take out most if not all the internet traffic cables from Europe to North America, the damage to the world economy and especially Europe and North America could be massive, especially with how interconnected the world is with the internet., yet you get the impression that both the EU and NATO would see that as not escalating things to not need a direct response, when clearly it should be seen as a direct attack. As for Trump, well let's be blunt about this, he's an idiot, this isn't about whether he thinks it's not important to the US that some parts of Europe get attacked, it's more about the threat of escalation, the second world war shows us that by doing little to nothing, it allows things to escalate, in other words, if things were to escalate, it would drag the US and much of the world into the war kicking and screaming, whether they liked it or not, history has shown us that and with today's advancements, it probably would be far more so, so Trump is an idiot for not seeing the big picture, something we already know, because ask yourself, what kind of person would encourage a country to attack another? Regardless of what Trump thinks of if some European countries are doing too little, encouraging a country to attack another is showing how the US is losing its way and that kind of talk could be really damaging for the US when it comes to allies, because it will in time lose a lot of respect and trust, which in turn, those so-called allies will do their own things, even if it hurts US interest and like I said, Trump isn't a big picture man, he's an idiot that's hurting the US in ways he doesn't even see. but with all that said, I would love if Trump does win the election, that's the wake-up call the rest of the world really needs to distance themselves from the US, and not so much that I want that to happen, but many around the world need to start seeing that the US isn't the country it used to be.
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  3. Ukraine is one of the poorest countries in Europe, they are not an EU or NATO member, Ukraine were an easy target for Russia, and even then, Russia is having a nightmare in Ukraine whiles the EU, US and its allies are helping Ukraine, let's be honest with ourselves, the help being given are crumbs, especially from the EU and US, yet even with those crumbs, Russia is having a nightmare in Ukraine, so an attack on an EU or NATO country would bring far more of the economic power on offer to the front in a direct way. To put it another way, Putin would have to be insane to take that risk, and his top brass or the Russian people probably wouldn't allow him to take that risk, even going as far as killing him if there were a chance of that happening because things would escalate fast which would have a direct impact on the Russian people, which Putin is desperate to try and shield the people from the war, so politically and economically, Putin isn't in a position to do that, and even with the public, he doesn't have the support for that, so the odds of it happening are remote.
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