Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "" video.

  1.  @kagenlim5271  But he is right thought, the sheer size of China population gives it a lot of political and economic clout, that isn't changing any time soon. To put it another way, the US only became a superpower because it was the only modern country with such a big population, there's nothing special about the US apart from that it's population size is far bigger then any individual European country, that normally defines power if you can modernise the economy to back up that population. China has the population, they've been having impressive economic growth for decades, that very likely spooked Washington, because the writing was on the wall, if that growth continues, China would end up being far bigger than the US, and that is more or less why the US is being so hostile on China now, it sees it as a threat to its core power around the world. The irony is, the US does this with any power it sees as a threat to it's own, we saw it with Japan in the 80's, we saw it with the EU in the 90's and onwards, which the US won't with weakening Japan but are getting nowhere with the EU, probably because Japan has a much smaller population, that it was surprising how powerful they actually got, whereas the EU have a big population so it's much harder for the US to push them around. Either way, US actions on China suggest they see China as a major threat to them, after all, when you cut through all the BS, actions usually speak louder than words and the US is showing that on China, for many on the outside of the US, they see the US as fearing China.
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  2. I think realistically, we are not anywhere near peak China, yes they are having a few step backs thanks to the US and some of China's own policies, but that's very likely short term, which is unfortunate for the US, because China could become far more aggressive on the US as China becomes more powerful, which could lead to a major conflict between the two or a new Cold War, the main difference this time is that China potentially has the advantage with having a much bigger population, and if the economy keeps growing, population and economy equals power. We also have to remember that Europeans as well as much of the world are not as hostile towards China as the US is and is probably what is causing much of the divide between the EU and US, the US wants Europeans to be more aggressive on China, but a lot of Europeans are fine with being more neutral on China, probably because from other perspective, China is far more of a threat to US power then it is to others and the US has shown through history that it will be aggressive towards anyone that threatens its power around the world, they did so against Japan in the 80's, they tried against the EU in the 90's and onwards, they won against Japan, but are getting nowhere with the EU. Do I like China and it's policies around the world? No, they are too aggressive with many of its policies, but that doesn't mean it's an automatic green light to back the US side, especially as the US is becoming more aggressive and unpredictable, because of that, many countries will likely have a more natural stance on them both and the only way I see that changing is if the US starts listening to concerns from other countries around the world to win them over, especially with the EU which is the other big power block in all this. The simple truth is, China is still a developing country, it's got far bigger population then the US has got, that means there is still a lot of room for economic growth with the right policies in place, so unless the US finds a way to keep China's population poor, which is unlikely as the world is slowly modernising, then it's only a matter of time before China becomes a bigger power then the US and it's very likely what's going on recently is a temporary step back before and honestly, I think longer term, the only way to contain China is likely going to be with close relations with the EU and US, both together likely could keep China in check, but ironically, the US seems to be going out of it's way to ruin relations, which is exactly what China wants, to pull the EU away from the US and it will be interesting to see if the US falls for that trap.
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  3. To be fair, the closer China closes the economic gap on modern countries, the slower economic growth is going to be, that's normal for any developing country, but China still has a lot of room left for high growth before it catches up with modern countries, based on the size of its population. So in the short term, I think growth will slow down because of actions from the US and to a less degree, from the EU to distance themselves economically from China, before picking up as things normalise and China changes policies to kick-start more economic growth.
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