Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "" video.
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@robertt3545 I'm sure they will try but it wouldn't be wise of them to do so, at least not public as most people don't like being talked down to or being dictated too, it could backfire on the UK government if they try and stop a vote from happening.
All the UK can really do is let a vote happen and fight for the reason for Scotland to be part of the UK, that will be hard work for them considering the UK left the EU, Scotland can simply say we will be better off without the UK just like the UK government says they are without the EU and they'll have one heck of a job trying to argue around that one, especially now because the EU is more open to allowing Scotland back into the EU.
As for big companies, it really depends, if Scotland can leave and rejoin the EU quickly, many big companies in the UK might relocate up north for better access to the EU market whiles being on the mainland on the UK to trade with the UK, that could be a big opening for Scotland in the same way that the Republic of Ireland became a bridge to trade from the EU and US.
The way I see it, if Scotland leaves the UK but with no signs of EU membership, it will cause a lot of changes and the first few years might be hard, but if an independence Scotland can re-join the EU quickly, things could pick up very fast, there is little reason why Scotland couldn't join the EU quite fast because all our laws, rules and regulations are the same as the EU so it likely would be a simple process overall, that's only the case if we joined them soon because once the UK is out and starts diverging away from the EU, the longer it would take for Scotland to rejoin.
Either way, I think the chances of Scotland and Northern Ireland leaving the UK are pretty high with how Brexit is going, throw in the mess of the pandemic and the hardship that is going to bring, that's likely going to push both countries to want to leave, even Wales might contemplate the idea of leaving the UK union because it's clear that the England part of the union is out of step with the rest.
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@drops2cents260 The impression I get on Brexit is that the government is buying time but don't want to be seen to be buying time because of the hardcore Brexiteers, hence the tough talk, but I think a delay in a few weeks will happen because the UK can't afford to deal with Brexit whiles dealing with the economic damage of this virus and not to mention all those golden trade deals the UK government was talking about, I think they can kiss good buy to that because of the economic impact on the world economy could push many to look after themselves, this virus came about at the right time to do a lot of damage to the UK and the problem for the government, they know the Brexiteers will pin the blames on Boris and this government for any economic hardship they get over the next few years.
As for Scotland, I think they will buy time, there is no reason for them to rush things at the moment, they can try to get a lot of cash out of the British government and leave at a later date but I do think the way the UK government has handled this pandemic has played right into the hands of the ones that want independence in Scotland and likely Northern Ireland as well.
As for the UK, for all the arrogance and greatness they like to tell us, it's not showing with how they are dealing with this virus, we and the US have become a laughing stock on the world stage and the irony is, we get some Brexiteers thinking this virus can be used as cover to push for a hard Brexit, not realizing that the EU is thinking the same thing, the EU can now afford to go for the hardest of Brexit whiles knowing it will do a lot more damage to the UK economy and for the EU countries, it gets clouded up with the economic damage of the virus.
The Brexiteers in the UK are deluding themselves if they think the EU will bend, they have little to no incentive to do so and will sit back and let the UK choose to either fold or go with hard Brexit, either way, the EU knows the UK have form in folding at the last min.
As for the US, I think the UK can kiss good buy to any good trade deal with them now, thanks to the economic damage of this virus, the US is going to look after number one and many other countries are going to do the same which likely means less trade deals around the world, something the UK pinned a lot of it's hopes on.
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@Ja-uu9ep They can but they might as well take full advantage of the UK governments desperation to keep Scotland in the UK union, it's a given that they will be willing to offer a lot of resources and money to keep them happy, Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales should take full advantage of that because they've been screwed over long enough by UK governments.
You say Scotland can't go it alone and yet there are countless other European countries of around the same size that have a better standard of living than the UK never mind Scotland which is below par in the UK, it seems to me that if we look at Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, they seem to be held back by the UK union, I mean, look at the gdp per capita of them all, they are way lower than England, now compare that to other European countries of around the same size of them, they are doing far better.
The UK union is supposed to benefit them but all the evidence suggest it's screwing them over.
In any case, Brexit and the pandemic impact is likely going to speed up the process of them leaving, why would they want to sink with the sinking ship that is England? After all, Brexit and a big part of the mess on this pandemic is a very English thing of arrogance, those other countries would likely be better off out of it.
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@Ja-uu9ep The simple truth is, economic clout afford big players in being able to get a lot more out of smaller player, the EU, the US and China can do that, other smaller ones can't, as for Scotland, the idea of them wanting independence is so they don't have to be dictated too by the UK government which is getting out of touch with reality by the day and also to rejoin the EU which protects and helps them in a lot of areas.
As for Spain, they say they would veto it but if Scotland was to leave the UK and want to rejoin the EU, there's a very high chance that Spain would back down on that, after all, in the long run they can't really stop Scotland joining because the EU and other members would put pressure on Spain to back down and there are countless ways that can be done.
Northern Ireland will be easy to do if they join the Republic of Ireland, they automatically because an EU member, their standard of living would go through the roof in time if you look at the GDP per capita numbers of the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, they would also likely get a lot of help from the EU and Irish government, likely far more than the UK is willing to give.
The North Sea oil is an excuse, you only have to look at GDP numbers for all the UK members going back 100 years now to see most of the wealth is kept down south of England, beside, even the north part of England are complaining about too much wealth being held in the south, a big part of Brexit was because of that, they feel they are getting left behind, Wales isn't much better either, if you look at it, the only member in the UK union doing well is England and even then it's the south of England, so this is not just a Scotland thing and has nothing to do with oil, this is our UK government that is messing up either by not caring or incompetents, either way, it's pushing some of the other UK members to want to leave because they likely trust the EU to put their interest first then the UK and looking at history, can you blame them?
Basically, if the UK union is to survive, the UK government is going to need some major reforms and a lot more powers given back to it's UK members, otherwise I think it's just a matter of time before the UK union falls apart and going on the latest news going around, it looks like the UK government is trying to do a power grab on Brexit, that will go down well with the other 3 members, expect support for their independence to grow over the next few years, so they've got Brexit, the pandemic and the UK government to contend with, can't blame them for wanting out of it all.
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