Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "" video.
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Personally, I don't think Scotland will do anything for the time being with independence as they know they can wait it out and see how Brexit goes, they also know that they can get billions out of the UK goverment as a bribe just to keep Scotland in the UK union and I expect Scotland and Northen Ireland to take full advantage of that.
As for them leaving the UK union and being better or worse off, lets be honest with ourselves, Scotland and Northen Ireland do quite poor in the UK union, more so with Northen Ireland that have a gdp per capita almost 3 times less then the Republic of Ireland.
Other countries in Europe of around the same size as Scotland seem to be doing better off inside the EU so there is no reason why Scotland can't as well but I do expect the first few years of independence to be a bit rough.
At the end of the day, does the UK union do well for it's members and honestlly, it doesn't look like it does, all the members apart from England are much worse off, too much of the wealth is kept down the south of England.
Personally, I think Northern Ireland would have the best chance of leaving the UK by rejoining the Republic of Ireland, they would likely get a lot of development funds from both the Republic and the EU and standards of living would likely get much closer to what the Republic have over the longer run.
Scotland is quite diffrent and it really depends on what they do, I suspect if Scotland leaves the UK, the EU will offers Scotland quite a good deal if they want to rejoin the EU and the irony in all that is that it could very well push the UK into getting a much closer deal with the EU just to protect trade from the UK and Scotland, Scotland as a new member of the EU could end up being what the Republic of Ireland became and the EU did really good for the Republic and in this case, the EU will have a big incentive in making Scotland a big success as that sends a powerful message to the people and to the euroseptics around Europe, also, with Scotland only having around 5 million people, it wouldn't cost the EU that much to help support them.
One thing I do know is that Scotland have been playing on independence for decades now and Brexit will likely give the ones that want independence from the UK a lot more ammo to get that, more so if Brexit hurts there intrest, in other words, the UK goverment best bend over backwords and keep Scotland happy over the next decade or so and you can bet your arse, any money for that wont come from down south, it will likely come from the north of England as they are always the scaprgoat and in this case, it's more the case as they mostly voted for Brexit.
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