Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "Past Predictions of the Future Every Decade" video.

  1. Yeah it does seem like we had a more optimistic view of the future in the 60's onwards, now it all feels like doom and gloom. I think the reason for that is the internet, it opened up a lot more eyes to how the world is really run and how corrupt it is, we see that a lot in politics and the only difference before the internet, we're none the wiser about it, so things seem a lot more gloomy, even thought we're advancing faster than we've every done and the future should be bright. Basically, we need to clean up politics, corporations and the media, as that is what is bringing the gloom by trying to manipulate minds and to shape them to the vision the elites want.
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  2. One thing about them predicting the future, especially 50-100 years in the future, is how wrong they get it, and by quite a margin. But what I find funny is how they get it so wrong, in many areas, they expect we'll be a lot more advanced than we are by that time, in other areas, they underestimate the progress that will happen, computing power is a prime example of that, they expected us to do far more with far less computing power, they also didn't see the computing revolution that began in the 90's, that pushed computing power to levels that I don't think any predictions got right. Predicting the future is always difficult, especially far off future, because many factors throughout the course of that time changes the path we take, it can also speed up the process or slow it down, especially as tech filters down for mass use, progresses rapidly happens then in that sector, and again, computers are a prime example of that, the more mainstream and affordable it got, the more rapid the pace of development in that area, that seems to be a common trend with how we advanced, basically, affordability and mass market usually equals massive development in that area, especially if there is a lot of untapped potential left. We are going to see the same thing with A.I. and robotics, the more accessible, cheaper and useful they become, the more rapid the tech will develop, that seems to be the only prediction that seems to pan out. Anyway, one area that disappoints me is space tech, we had a peak period in the 60-70's and then it more or less dried out, things have started to change now with private investment, but it makes me wonder if we keep the pace going that we saw with space programs in the 60's, how much better space tech could be now. But in truth, we have enough problems on Earth we need to resolve before settling on other planets, it would also be messy with how fragmented the world is, basically, we're going to need some kind of international order before we can realistically colonise space, otherwise, we could be asking for a lot of trouble down the road, in other words, the idea of 200 countries colonising space sounds ridicules. Anyway, the main reason we're not that good at predicting the future far off is because, any new tech we invent, changes that prediction in areas that are hard to see right now, there is also the human factor on what path we want to change, after all, because we can change in a given direction, doesn't mean we want too. When it comes to predictions, it's best to stick to 10-30 years when it comes to accuracy, further out and predictions can be all over the place, unless you get lucky with a prediction, but that's just luck.
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