Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "IEA debunks media lies - world will triple renewable energy capacity by 2030" video.

  1. In historic context, we are getting so close to being able to produce all out energy needs and to be able to store it, even at a localised level, which I suspect will push most of us to want to go gridless to have more control over what we produce and use, as well as the cost, after all, for all the talk of how much renewable energy is going onto the grid, consumers don't feel like they are benefitting from it in lower bills, which kinda holds back renewable deployment, but gridless or attached to the grid but producing your own energy, you're in control of the energy you produce and the cost. Over the next 2 to 3 decades, maybe sooner, we are going to have a revolution in the energy sector, I suspect most of us will produce our own energy on-site and probably won't need to be connected to the grid, especially once battery tech is better and cheaper and we have a good mix of solar and wind power at a local urban level. That we are getting some downbeat reports or underselling of renewable energy, that doesn't surprise me, the fossil industry is big and they will protect their profits by any means they can and renewable energy is a major threat to them. In any case, I still find it remarkable about all the debates around renewable energy, it's clear that it works and works well, it's a cheap long term form of clean energy, the only issues it has is that we need a buffer of storage energy, but that's quickly developing with better battery tech and other storage innovation, as renewable energy continues to get better and cheaper, and the same for energy storage, it's going to be everywhere that I think it will supple all the energy we need and more. I also think that by 2030 onwards, many countries will supple 100% of their electrical needs and likely export energy, they are also pushing more towards an electrical system with EV cars and heat pumps, meaning, there's going to be far more demand for electricity and far less for oil and gas, this will set off a chine reaction as more countries do it, others will follow until eventually the entire world is clean energy, but I think as tech advances, I don't think it will be grid energy that wins out, it's likely going to be gridless because that gives the owner far more control on what they produce, use and on the cost, that would also have massive savings if we don't have to maintain the grid network, which I think I heard cost around 40% of the entire cost of energy, which if true, that's a lot of money to be saved just there. One last note, I also think renewable energy will be a game changer for developing countries, especially on the African continent, after all, once you can produce enough clean energy for your needs, it's going to be much easier to produce clean water and food, that will open up the door for them to develop in other areas, we'll all benefit from clean renewable energy but developing countries stand to benefit a lot more.
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  2. The amount of energy we produce is a big factor in controlling our pace of development in all areas. You are right that once we get to the stage of producing more energy than we need, that's going to push us onto the next stage of development, but any amount of energy we produce, we'll always find a way of using it, it will just allow us to do far more than is realistically possible today, which potentially sends the human race into the next level of development, and there's a fair chance of this happening over the next 2 to 3 decades in many countries around the world, maybe even sooner than that.
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  3. I think there needs to be a balance approach but I don't see the US changing its tune on China, being that the US is fearful of a rising China that I suspect the US will get tougher on them. The EU and the rest of the world will likely strike a middle ground with China that's more practical, but as for the US, they are going all in like they did on Japan as they feared them rising in the 80's.
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