Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "Russia To Attack NATO Next? Western Troops In Ukraine By Year-End Says Peter Zeihan" video.
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The idea of Russia invading a NATO members is amusing and laughable with how badly Russia is performing in Ukraine.
We should remember that Putin choose Ukraine because they are an easy target, they are one of the poorest countries in Europe, they are not an EU or NATO member and they have a lot of natural resources, and yet even with that, Russia have been bogged down in Ukraine for like 3 years, making very little progress at a very high cost to Russia.
My point is, Russia would be a fool to take on an EU or NATO member which are far more powerful than what Ukraine is, but more importantly, both organisations have treaties in place that an attack on one is an attack on all, in other words, a lot more countries would likely get directly involved if either an EU or NATO member were invaded, considering how poor Russia is performing in Ukraine, they wouldn't stand a chance against the EU or NATO, and it all boils down to the economy, in other words, the economy would go on a war footing that would push much of the manufacturing capacity towards arms, there's no way Russia could win that, in fact, it would be a disaster for Russia and potentially the world if things escalate so much that nukes get thrown around.
The simple truth is, the economy is the real power today, if you have a big economy with a big population to go with it, then you've got power, Russia have a weak economy and a declining population, whereas the EU, the US and China have the economy and the population to go with it and in the case of the EU, there's a lot of fragmentation and they are not on a war footing, but if a war were to happen, things can change rapidly, whereas the US is already in a position that they see Russia as a joke, and China is still a rising power that is trying to play all sides, in that they don't like the west, especially the US, but they don't even like Russia, but are more than happy to take advantage of Russia, especially at a time that the west is weakening Russia's position in the world which China is more than happy to take advantage of a weak and isolated Russia for its own ends.
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