Comments by "Paul Aiello" (@paul1979uk2000) on "European Diplomats See Trump As "Laughing Stock"" video.
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Eastern Europe are still developing countries in the EU but likely over the next 2 or so decades they will catch up to western standard and be better off thanks to being in the EU, as for Russia, they have energy and natural resources that the west needs until we find and start using alternative energy so not much will change in the short term but in the long run, Russia will need to stop relying on natural resources or it's going to hit their economy hard.
In any case, all EU members should be considered important, big or small to the EU and to it's other members over say other countries like Russia and as for Brexit, I suspect the UK is likely going to find it's self isolated from the EU and likely isolated from the US as well, the US showed a big interest in the UK because the UK had influence in the EU, leaving the EU, the US is likely going to show less interest in the UK with the exception of using the UK for military matters, politically, the UK is already weaker and thats before we have left the EU, economically, well that depends on what deal the EU is willing to give us.
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The thing is, Trump is only in power for 4 or 8 years so assuming the Americans don't go crazy and elect someone even worse after Trump, the damage he can do is quite limited, Brexit on the other hand is much longer term damage and I suspect once the UK is out of the EU, it's unlikely the EU will let us back in for at least 2 or 3 decade, personally I think even if the EU was to let the UK stay in the EU, the damage is already done that we might not be on the same terms and would have a lot of bridges to repair with others in the EU, all I'm seeing with the UK now is damage control in how to limit the mess we've got ourselves in.
You know what's really funny about all this, the Brexit Referendum was meant to sort out the divide of the Conservative Party, what it's ended up doing is making it 10 times worse for them, I do kind of like the irony of all that.
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The irony is, smaller governments are much more likely to bend to the wishes of corporations then bigger governments, if hard Brexit happens, the UK government will have to bend over backwards just to try and keep many businesses in the UK, especially if given company trades a lot with the rest of the EU, in other words, you need big governments like the EU and US to face down corporations because the smaller ones are less likely to do it because the market of the country isn't big enough of a threat to businesses to take much note of it, the EU and US are, also, the EU is much tougher on businesses then the US, the US does need to do more, so does the EU as well, but they are kind of limited by the given powers the members countries have given them, also, they have to be realistics, they can't hit down on them too hard otherwise it might end up kicking off a trade war, in the end, the US needs to do more if you want the EU to ramp things up.
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The funny thing is, many people like to think things can't get any worse and how bad can he really be, but the reality is, it can always get much worse as we are seeing with Trump, what should worry the American people is that Trump won't sort out what needs sorting out in the US which is mostly inequality, because of that, it increases the chances that someone worse than Trump can get power because the public gets more reckless the more desperate they get, but we do have a silver lining, with whats going on with Trumps America and with Brexit in the UK, a lot in EU countries like France will of seen what a mess the UK and US have got himself into and are not following the populist movement, same could happen in the US once Trump gets the boot, as for the UK, it's hard to judge with that because the damage of Brexit is more longer term, in any case, current and future leaders need to start listening to the public and start sorting out inequality before it gets worse.
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The real problem with Russia is the centralized and authoritarian rule which can work well with competent leaders but history has shown us time and time again that it's only a matter of time before a bad leader is running the show that makes a mess of it all.
Democracy is a better system but even thats got flaws because that system is only as effective as people turning up to vote and actually getting the facts on what they are voting for, what we are seeing in the western world is that too much of the population is manipulated by the media and politicians and it's not doing democracy any favors.
As for Russia, I would like to see them work closer with the EU and not see them as a rival, both Russia and the EU would benefit a lot out of that, so far, the quality of living for all the eastern members that joined the EU has skyrocketed from what it was before being in the EU.
As for oil, I think it's in Russia's interest to get off that dependency because it's not really doing Russia any favors by relying too much on oil, gas and nature resources, the need for oil and gas is a short term thing that Europeans are quickly working to get around.
In the end, I suspect over the next 100 years that pretty much all of Europe including Russia will be modernised as well as most of Asia and the American continents which leaves the Middle East and Africa as the last ones to develop, Middle East because religion will hold back progress and Africa because the poverty is so bad that it would take a lot of work to develop them, in any case I think the world will develop and will get much closer together because the more we advance with technological progress, the more dangerous we are to each other especially with how divided the world is.
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The problem for Trump is that he's a joke to even a lot of Americans, Europeans and probably many others don't like Trump mainly because he's not competent enough to be president, you usually have to be a moderate and work with world leaders otherwise you will get little to nothing done, this is the problem he's got in the US, he's trying to do things but keeps getting over ruled by judges and the Senate and thats because he comes across as a bit of a fanatic and not a moderate and that doesn't work too well in a democracy, also, we all know he was trying to run the White House like he runs his business, well businesses are run more or less like a dictatorship is run. In the end, Trump will likely be a lame duck that doesn't really achieve anything.
I also find it funny how Trump keeps going onto these rallies to whip up Americans into a frenzy but most of the time he's preaching to the converted but if you look closely, it's clear what he was trying to do, he was trying to turn the American people against the system from the mass media to the judges to the Senate and so on, he was systematically trying to turn the American people against all these and what should worry the American people is that if he was a lot more popular and say won with a landslide and had more charisma, he could of been a serious threat to American democracy because we all know the average person isn't that rational when it comes to politics and are easy to manipulate, so Trump tried to turn the American people against the system for his own ends, Hitler did the same thing but he had charisma and lucky for the Americans that don't see it, Trump is a bit of a lame duck and can't do much without the system over ruling him because he doesn't have enough support of the public to put real pressure on the system to break it and gain more power for himself and the party, I always find it amusing how quick we are to forget lesson that history teaches us.
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