Comments by "Stephen D Green" (@stephendgreen1502) on "Putin in Vietnam. Ursula, 14th sanctions package. Nasrallah threatens Cyprus. Le Pen, Meloni 2.0?" video.

  1. Sanction fallacy must be a variant of the gambler’s fallacy. "gambler's fallacy." (says ChatGPT )This is a cognitive bias where a person believes that future probabilities are influenced by past events, even when the outcomes are actually independent. In the context of gambling, this manifests as the belief that after a series of losses, a win is due to occur soon, leading the gambler to continue betting in the hope that the next gamble will be the winning one. This fallacy underpins the mistaken belief that a losing streak increases the likelihood of a subsequent win.”
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  2. Cyprus might be concerned that UK too has likely no stable government prospects for next few months.
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