Comments by "Pedja Milosavljevic" (@pedjamilosavljevic6235) on "Daniel Davis / Deep Dive"
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Col Davis makes some realistic analysis , but he can't help himself to introduce some of personal convictions against Russia. I believe , that it is due to his military service and his age (he grew up , when proverb "better dead , than red" was very popular , never mind that Russia isn't "red" for 35 years now). In this video (about 19::25) he says , that Russia went into Ukraine under manned in order to completely take over Ukraine , implying , that they have done it because of their arrogance (mostly US-NATO-western military trait). It is simply false - they went , as they did , to make Ukraine sit on the negotiating table which they did , in a month (they never wanted to take over whole Ukraine either and they still don't want it). What Russians miscalculated , is the western (mostly US and British) grip , influence and ownership of Ukrainian decision makers (which were , mostly hand picked , by said powers and , therefore , the results was negated - I mean of negotiations).
Also , Col Davis said , that he was wrong in prediction about time frame of operations in Ukraine. That implies , that he is observing and analyzing things trough "US - military" lens (which is normal , considering that he is an American and with his service in the US forces) , but he forgets (or doesn't know) some facts. Majority of Ukrainian citizens are ethnic Russians , with some "mixed" people and some minorities (though , may of them were brain washed during the last 30 years , especially since the early 2000's). Russians could have done it like the US with vassals has done in many war theaters (shock and awe) but they aren't in a business of killing cousins (as much as they can avoid it) and they have gone trough great lengths to avoid civilian casualties (contrary of what western media says). They , also , don't make money conducting a war , like US companies (and lobbyists and politicians do , whether war is won , or lost) , because of everlasting money borrowing , for budgetary needs (in this case political/military spending). Russian loses are grossly over estimated too.
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Gotta love Col. Davis.. He says that US president has to put stop on it. I mean , that man doesn't know where is left , or right , let alone that he is deeply (if any , at all) involved in decision making. Also , Us war on Iran , is a bit complicated endeavor , because , it is not just Iran (and Lebanon and Yemen) , but there are some forces in Iraq , not to mention position of Jordan , which (with King's super balancing act) is a wild card , as well as Egypt and Turkey. Not that their governments wants to wade in (neither Iran wants it) , but those guys need to stay in power of face the gallows , because internal pressure from the population is rising and fast (not just because of atrocities to the Palestinians , but also because Israeli officials put the populations of all of these countries in a same basket and publicly saying , that they all should be killed - Muslims and Christians alike). So , where will US put their bases (safely)? Logistics ? Safe harbors ? Those people are a bit more sophisticated , than 35 , or 25 years ago. They have more than AK 47's and rocks and occasional RPG . Also , now they have , kind of , powerful friends and the rest of the world (excluding collective west , which has problems of their own) isn't cheering for Israel and US anymore. At least at home , in the US , all is peachy and OK , so another war is just what Us should engage in , since Ukraine winning ,or won (or whatever) , especially stretched over several countries , while preparing for war with China , over Taiwan and to defend Europe from mad Putin .
Oh , Col. Davis REALLY need to inform himself (preferably , outside MSM) what really happened on October 7th and WHO killed most of 1300 people (civilians and military). I won't even mention legality of any of it , because of "rules based world order".
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As the guest mentioned (as a possibility) , which will be reality - there will be only Russian dictated resolution - no negotiations. Ukrainians had their chance on April 1st 2022 (negotiations in Turkey) and if you read that document , Ukrainians got extremely good deal , accept they had to agree to neutrality (and to acknowledge the fact that Crimea is Russian - no other land requests) . Since the west (in the face of Boris Johnson) messed up and discarded that deal , blew up the Nord stream and some of the ex European officials publicly bragged how they tricked Russia with Minsk accords , Russians are determined to finish this conflict on their terms. There will be no negotiations with the Ukraine and certainly not with participation of the collective west. They are past caring what west have to say. There will be no NATO installations in Ukraine and Ukraine will not be in the NATO (whatever is left of it). Demilitarization means (from a Russian perspective) that , besides border units , Ukrainian military will be so small in numbers and so impotent , that it would be no threat to anyone. In current situation , I assume that Russia will strive to control all of ex Russian historic lands (excluding Kiev) and including Odessa. I'm not sure that they will bring it into their constitutional framework (annex it) , but time will tell.
Of course , there is a potential to stir up some kind of false flag in the Baltic states , if they (US & NATO) want a direct confrontation , or to push some of their vassals in that directions (like , they independently made that decision - and I'm talking about Poland and Germany) , but , between war in the middle east (which hasn't developed yet) and pocking China , stirring up in Africa and in Asia(Myanmar and constant tensions with N. Korea) - I doubt that will happen all at once - it is a overstretch , whatever one might think of western (US) might.
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Actually , you are wrong. US is a great world power. Not as great , as US media and school system try to present it to their citizens (for various reasons) , but never the less , very important country. For sure , not "indispensable" , or whatever leading elites would like to convince people in (and they are successful in it , for majority) , but stil important. Putin doesn't want to destroy the US - he never wanted to . He would like to keep trading with US , but without constant caution of what the US (political leaders , deep state , or whoever) might do next to hurt Russia.
Most people in the US are convinced that (whoever is the main bad guy , or the enemy at the time) wants to destroy US. That is a projection of what the US , before mentioned , elites would like to do to their opponents (based on irrational hate and financial interests they might have). The truth is , most of the world (of what US calls enemies , or with different names) wants to US just mind its own business and leave the rest alone , to do theirs.
So , massive and very fast exclusion of the dollar from the international trade , would crash the US financial system , which will crush the US internally (great depression from1930's would look like a vacation , comparing to this possibility). That kind of hard landing can have unpredictable consequences in the US and around the world , given that US is a nuclear power , with massive military and enormous (total) influence in many small countries (wherever they install governments of their liking) - which will cause trouble in those countries. There are internal problems and divisions in the US , that may cause troubles too , if everything happens very fast and in uncontrolled way.
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