Comments by "Laird Cummings" (@lairdcummings9092) on "Ukraine to Take Back Kherson This Summer" video.

  1. The practical CEP of the whichever weapons system is being used is very impressive. Hitting a bridge at any range is very difficult; the tightly grouped hits speaks extremely loudly. If Russia has any awareness at all, it should be utterly terrifying to them.
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  2. I could see Russia destroying the dam out of spite if they felt they were about to lose the Crimea.
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  3.  @reekpeekseek  you can see the patterning. If there were a significant number of missed shots, the pattern would also stretch along the bridge. It doesn't. All hits fall within a 20 meter circle. If the CEP were greater, the footprint along the length of the bridge would be greater... But it isn't. Ipso facto, the CEP is ~10 meters. Or less.
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  4.  @johnslugger  Russia - higher wages? I'd like to see some evidence of that assertion, because that smells extremely fishy. Anyway, 35% ethnic Russian means 65% ethnic Ukrainian, and I don't see that ratio working in Russia's favor. But ultimately, it's only what Russia can hold, militarily, that counts. They've already retreated all their warships from Sevastopol - not a strong showing. And yes, I would expect Putin to wreck everything he can if forced to retreat. He seems to be just exactly that kind of temper-tantrum throwing little child. Really, the comparisons between Putin and Adolf Hitler grow stronger every day.
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  5.  @xpusostomos  you have heard of cruise missiles, yes? Russia retains some real monsters in inventory.
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  6.  @johnslugger  as discussed, above, No.
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  7.  @xpusostomos  the big cruise missiles have very little tactical utility - too inflexibile. But for a strategic target like a dam, they're perfect.
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  8.  @xpusostomos  doesn't change the targeting profile any. A dam is a large, stationary target.
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  9.  @PsilocybinCocktail  exactly my point. If Russia is about to lose Crimea, I expect they'll try to poison the well.
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  10.  @johnslugger  certainly.
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  11.  @deftoneseire07  heh. Yeah, just like the Russians couldn't cross any rivers. It's so cute when novices pretend to be strategists.
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