Comments by "Harry Mills" (@harrymills2770) on "Willy OAM"
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@OO7sMom I think they probably meant what they said to the Indians at the time, but there was no stopping the westward expansion. Also, renegades on both sides made conflict inevitable, even with good will on both sides. One massacre beget many another massacre. Neither "side" had any real control over the worst kinds of people on the frontier.
What were the natives to do? Execute all their renegades? It didn't work like that. The Chief led by consent, and anyone not a party to the agreement didn't consider themselves bound by it. On the other side, you had masses of settlers, prospectors, profiteers, who didn't give a fig for the treaties signed. They just moved where they wanted and fought to take and defend it.
The U.S. Gov't fully intended to leave the Black Hills to the natives. Then one guy discovered gold, there. The government didn't send armies of miners to the hills. They sent themselves, against the wishes of the government.
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@dannydanny2789 The "column attacks" we're seeing, now, are more probing attacks than big, intimidating, combined-arms attacks.
But maybe Tony and you are talking about two entirely different things.
I think we understand the mathematics of restoring order after smashing enemy forces. It takes a lot more men than anybody really has.
It's one thing, in Donbass, where the majority probably welcome Russian advances. It's an entirely different thing to "conquer Ukraine."
Oh, they could probably wipe out Ukraine if they wanted, but they couldn't very easily establish and maintain order, with the native population absolutely against them.
We saw this in Iraq, where the Allied (basically U.S.) forces could easily destroy the enemy, but could never restore order and maintain it. Same in Afghanistan.
I think Russia will be content with Donbass and areas already ethnic Russian. Of course, Ukraine could've declared itself neutral a long time ago, and stopped bombing its own people, like it promised to do and then did not.
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Meh. I don't see attritional warfare as a doctrine. I see a clear intention of winning, and an understanding that attrition is always a part of it. They made and they continue to make the calculation based on both sides' ability to fight. They are passive and "cowardly" when they can't afford to make a fight of it. They make the "affordability" calculation for both sides before they take the next step, especially when they switch to the offensive, and they don't make moves that hurt them more than they hurt the opponent.
I think they have more manufacturing capacity than the West, at present, and for the foreseeable. The West is on the brink of financial and industrial collapse. The East and the Global South are on the cusp of a golden age of economic prosperity.
I just wish we could stop fighting each other, and learn from our mistakes in previous industrial revolutions. Clean, safe, atomic power - the one thing the West doesn't want to share - seems like a very logical strategy. Fossil fuels are the obvious intermediate step, and for rural areas, should probably stay with us, forever. In congested metropolitan areas, not so much. Before the federal government stuck its nose in, there were a lot of for-profit light rail systems competing with each other in cities around the world.
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