Comments by "Harry Mills" (@harrymills2770) on "Ukraine's Offensive Suffering Heavy Losses, Azov Commanders Return" video.
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I think the amount of air cover provided by Ukraine side is even less than you allow. The Russians aren't flying air cover for their assaults to any great degree, unless they're confident they have suppressed anti-air. Both sides are standing off and firing missiles from long range. Even that is fraught with some danger for both sides.
If Ukraine can keep the battle down to the level of its western supply, they are probably enjoying a tactical advantage, in terms of precision guidance. This low-level, tit-for-tat fighting is testing NATO's re-supply capacity, but as long as Russia allows this level of fighting, there's plenty of hopium for Ukraine.
The strategic reality remains unchanged, except for continuing mobilization and steady build-up by Russia that far exceeds NATO's, let alone Ukraine's. Eventually, I expect a full offensive. I think it's pretty clear the rate at which NATO can re-supply Ukraine. I think Russia grows weary of fighting on Ukraine's level. I'm not sure why they're waiting. It may just be a matter of waiting until they're as trained-up and built-up as needed to carry out an all-out offensive, which I don't think we've seen, yet.
Maybe they're trying to smoke out the last family of "advanced weapons," to develop counters preparatory to the assault. But I think we're already beyond the point where there is enough in the way of munitions to knock out a significant percentage of Russian forces in an all-out attack, even with perfect accuracy, even assuming the Russians won't immediately destroy the launchers, artillery, and aircraft.
I have no idea what the Russian thinking is. No. I have LOTS of ideas. But it's all speculation.
It depends on his global assessment of western capabilities and western will. This entire war might just be Putin's way of adding stressors to an already brittle West, both economically and politically. Western people are on their last nerve with the far-left domestic policy and Uni-Party foreign and security policy. Basically, the political leadership of EU and USA are writing checks their a$$es can't cash, and as Japan, China, and other nations around the world sell off their U.S. debt and the price of U.S. treasury notes (bonds) craters, its (and I suspect many others') ability to finance their chronic debt shrinks.
It's already making life more and more difficult for the common people. We're tired of making sacrifices for our leaders' self-created "emergencies." We see political families reaping millions from oligarchs around the world, while our economies implode. This is a very dangerous time. Will their failures bring about their collapse or will it usher in full-on police state? After RussiaGate and the COVID tyranny, I'm just not sure that liberty will prevail.
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