Comments by "Harry Mills" (@harrymills2770) on "Alexander Mercouris"
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Russia gains objectives with minimal troop losses and maximum casualties on the enemy. But they don't hold those objectives very tightly. They retreat against offensives, inflicting maximum casualties. Rinse and repeat.
As for Prigozhin announcements, I think it's all smokescreen. Convey the impression of weakness and division, inviting Ukrainian forces into yet ANOTHER forlorn hope, at great cost to themselves.
Russian ammo expenditures are off the charts, but Russia prepared well in advance, with enormous stockpiles, while the West frittered away its actual fighting abilities and economic wherewithal to support them.
USA is trapped in cascading errors and misconceptions, if you assume its purpose is liberty, civil rights, and economic prosperity for all. To my eye, they're making things as bad as possible for themselves, to trigger cascading crises that will justify the final step(s) to functional dictatorship. Right now, the apparatchiki think they will all rule beside their masters, but they will be the first to go, as power at the top seeks to consolidate. Who will be our Lenin? Who will be our Trotsky? Who will be our Stalin?
The wheel turns. May human progress prevail in spite of those who insist on shaping it by force.
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@billyandrew I used to read LaRouche's stuff, back in the '70s. Some of it held up. Some of it didn't. I liked having his paper as an alternative resource. I can't even remember what it was called.... Looking... Oh yeah. "New Solidarity." I was just a kid, but Dad was pretty omnivorous, always looking for alternate voices that confirmed his biases.
As I recall, some of his stuff was good. Some of it was trash. But it was excellent for contrast-and-comparison with MSM. My main takeaway was he was pretty fast and loose, sometimes, which made him only about 1/4 as bad as MSM. I came away from the '70s concluding that the best thing was to ignore the day-to-day news, diversify my sources, and basically believe NObody, 100%, just try to arrive at principles that seemed to be moral and seemed to work.
You can devote your entire waking life to this stuff and end up more full of misinformation than facts, because EVERYone has an axe to grind. EVERYbody has something good to offer. EVERYbody has something to hide. The one principle that seems to hold up is that any concentration of power is prone to corruption and will eventually be corrupted, because the wrong people will eventually be in those high positions. Organized distrust of concentrated power in the hands of a few always seems to be the right stance. Think not of all the good they can do, but all the harm that will inevitably be done, and visited on EVERYone. Keep the power de-centralized and nobody can screw everything up for everybody, and MOST people will handle their business better on their own than under the orders of others.
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I disagree. When you're in an insane situation, only something crazy is going to work. For instance, the sneak attack on Pearl Harbor in December, 1941 wasn't a mistake. It was trying to take a puncher's chance in a situation the Japanese knew would otherwise end in their subordination to American and European interests, like China and every other Asian nation at the time. Japan was the Last Man Standing in Asia that wasn't under the thumb or had a chance at getting out from under the thumb (See "Commodore Perry steams into Tokyo Harbor (circa 1830, iirc)."
It was crazy. The USA was a behemoth compared to Japan. But Japan was slowly, inevitably losing if they did nothing, and the USA was only getting bigger and stronger in the meantime.
Maybe Kursk offensive pays off. Maybe it triggers an outpouring of foreign assistance that's an order of magnitude (or 2) greater. Game changer. Maybe the political impact of the brazen attack galvanizes support for scrappy Ukraine from nations all around the world.
If it had (It didn't), then the audacious, strategically unsound offensive is made into something much more.
Ukraine needed to change the game. It was losing the game. The Kursk offensive will hasten their end, if it fails, which it appears it has, but it gave them a puncher's chance of re-setting the game board, something Ukraine desperately needed.
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@tombombadil8709 Russia can keep on pounding NATO/Ukraine forces at much greater cost to them than to Russia. Russia doesn't have to conquer all of Ukraine. It just has to destroy the war-fighting capability of Ukraine to remove it as a threat.
This has many of the hallmarks of the Kursk incursion. Great success, at first, only to find yourself worse off than when you started, because of the resources that were wasted. USA has been building up the rebels for quite some time, so they have an early advantage, but is the wherewithal there to really hold Syria? We'll see.
I think American logistics aren't up to the task. I don't think American will to fight another war in the Middle East is there. Even if it's there, the military is soy, and totally beholden to the military industrial complex, which wants to see expensive weaponry that only works if you have total air superiority, which nobody has in a battle between major powers.
What I'm not sure of is how much Turkey has to put into the effort or how serious Turkey is about trying to hold on to Syria. That will make a huge difference, one way or the other.
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These actions by first Finland and now Sweden are in opposition to public sentiment. There, as well as France, Spain, and even Germany and Britain, we're seeing tectonic shifts in the political landscape AWAY from the globalist, global-warming grifters. Those who have cheered on the New World Order are getting their wish, only the New World Order is Multi-polar, with its center of gravity much farther South and East.
I used to fear this, in my youth. But after the last 50 years of decay and government expansion in my country (USA), I see it as inevitable and even necessary. The USA is nearly full-on fascist, now.
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Tough call on the opening moves of the SMO. The scale of the original build-up was enough to raise flags in the West, but I don't think it was enough for them to believe that the Russians would strike at all, let alone strike as hard as they did. Alexander pooh-poohed the idea that the Russians were readying for the attack. The feint at Kiev tied down a LOT of Ukrainian forces, at the cost of high losses in a relatively small number of heavily armed, elite Russian forces, whose value is in arriving before they're supposed to, and fighting like demons.
They scoff, with sarcastic "3 days to capture Kiev and end the war," but it just seems to me that they achieved what they wanted, at relatively little cost. There wasn't a long, drawn-out struggle to bring their forces to the gates of the key cities, which they had enough power to grind down, while the more general mobilization got underway. They haven't had any problem slowing down and destroying the counteroffensive. I think the killed-and-wounded are much higher on the Ukrainian side. Even if they're not, the Russians can afford the trade; whereas, the Ukrainians cannot.
I did not know, nor have I double-checked, the fate of the SU's that've been launching the guided air-to-ground missiles. If the 2-aircraft teams that are firing these salvos are being downed at anywhere close to Alexander's claimed 50% rate by Russian aircraft/missiles, that's very bad for the Ukrainians.
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@stephenhenry5072 Some would argue that the manufacture of consent through lies and distortion dates back to the Spanish-American War and the Hearst empire. The BBC has been the establishment's mouthpiece for decades.
UK and Europe have never been coy about censorship. They don't have a 1st Amendment. In the USA, where our constitution supposedly forbids it, the propaganda and censorship have been more hidden, but all the more pernicious, because the majority of Americans believed that the government actually obeyed the constitution.
It's very cringe, thinking back to the '70s, when I laughed at the bald-faced lies in Soviet propaganda, totally unaware of the bald-faced lies in American propaganda. I didn't start waking up until the '90s, wondering what the hell we were doing dropping bombs in Yugoslavia. Then I read my dad's old copy of Heinlein's "Expanded Universe," where he did a deep dive into Soviet logistics and American claims about Soviet power. Routinely off by one or sometimes two orders of magnitude.
I thought Frank Church was a traitor in the 1980s. By the 2010s, it dawned on me that the Reagan administration set us up for a lot of the regime-change BS we've seen unfold, regardless of which party owned the White House. It's abhorrent.
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@litlnote-wu6yv I don't think Russia's goal is conquest. I think they've largely achieved their goal of grinding the Ukrainian Army to dust, depleting both men and armaments, and ending the open war on ethnic Russians in Ukraine. At the very least, they've exacted a heavy price for NATO and Ukraine puppets trashing security arrangements from 30 years ago. NATO solemnly agreed that NATO would not expand to the east, and let Russia have peaceful, neutral neighbors, without Western interference.
It's not Russia who's gone rogue. It's USA and NATO countries, whose domestic and international policies are suicidal.
Words didn't work. Russia resorted to force. Except for Ukrainian and Western propaganda, the whole rest of the world sees this for what it is. As NATO continues pressing, it's losing the last vestiges of high ground it has enjoyed since the 1940s. Look at the USA's national debt. Look at how the madmen in power are spending like there's no tomorrow (a self-fulfilling prophecy). They're driving 2/3 of the world away from the U.S. dollar. When and if BRICS wrests hegemony away from the USA, the bottom will fall out and the house of cards comes tumbling down.
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Antonovsky Bridge: The bridgehead is celebrated like the Normandy landings of 1944. What was it? A crossing by 50 (or 70?) special forces?
Is it just me, or are the actions of the counteroffensive massively over-reported? Chasing away a squad or platoon of infantry on video from a field in the middle of nowhere doesn't mean the Russians are in disarray. It means the Ukrainians have a local, temporary firepower advantage that's probably not worth more than the propaganda value, and likely came at great cost compared to its concrete value, strategically.
I'm not discounting the hearts-and-minds aspect. But hearts and minds are not enough, when actual, concrete wherewithal of forces is utterly lacking.
If you really wanted to win a war of attrition against the Russians, the best strategy would be what the USA's done over and over since WWII: Fund an insurgency, keep the American people in the dark, or better yet, convince them the insurgents are Democrat-ic freedom fighters, bravely resisting tyranny. Throw some economic sanctions their way, to make the public angry at their increasingly desperate and tyrannical government, et voila! An "organic" rise of "democracy." All it takes is some illegal covert aid, a bit of spin,
It all has a limited shelf life. But as long as they can win TODAY, they don't care. If anything, the (un)intended consequences give even more reason for more extreme and more violent measures to "restore democracy" in the future.
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The lack of authorization to strike into Russia tells everyone who's really running the show in Ukraine. It isn't Zelensky. It's the CIA and eggheads in think tanks in the USA and UK, who think they can "play the world" like a game of RISK.
Unfortunately for the USA, the entire government is run by eggheads in think tanks, who think they can just run everything top-down, when NOT running everything top-down was what gave the USA its TRUE power: An economy that dwarfs all others. We don't HAVE to play "revolution in the 3rd world" games with the Chinese and Russians. Just be true to our Constitution, and nations will flock to our side, because things are so much better here than elsewhere.
Instead, we're being dragged down into totalitarian, one-party rule. Former president Barack Obama WANTS that. Now he's attacking the 1st Amendment, which will put him in the Hall of Shame for U.S. Presidents. In fact, he will go down as the worst president, ever.
We don't need to be MORE like the Chinese. We need to be LESS like the Chinese, and get back to our limited government-and-self-responsible citizens, who are free to speak, create, and do business, without being crushed by megacorporations in league with the U.S. Government.
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He's not going to stop until he has real security guarantees, and, with the track record of Ukraine/NATO, that means Russia will guarantee their security without regard for the words coming from the West, including anything Trump says.
If I'm Putin, I don't stop until I KNOW that I can crush any violations of any ceasefire/treaty. There can be no trust, not even with Trump, because his term only lasts 4 years.
Cutting off military aid to Ukraine is a real concession that brings Russia much closer to its goal, more quickly. But I don't see Russia stopping until it has the most defensible front possible. That might be the Dnepr. It might be key high points in a pretty low-rolling landscape, without obvious geographical barriers other than the Dnepr and some (relatively) high points, so any attackers will have to attack uphill.
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