Comments by "Harry Mills" (@harrymills2770) on "Tension over Zaporozhzhye NPP Grows, Ukraine Demands NATO Entry; Russia Huge Tank Production" video.
-
2
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
Tough call on the opening moves of the SMO. The scale of the original build-up was enough to raise flags in the West, but I don't think it was enough for them to believe that the Russians would strike at all, let alone strike as hard as they did. Alexander pooh-poohed the idea that the Russians were readying for the attack. The feint at Kiev tied down a LOT of Ukrainian forces, at the cost of high losses in a relatively small number of heavily armed, elite Russian forces, whose value is in arriving before they're supposed to, and fighting like demons.
They scoff, with sarcastic "3 days to capture Kiev and end the war," but it just seems to me that they achieved what they wanted, at relatively little cost. There wasn't a long, drawn-out struggle to bring their forces to the gates of the key cities, which they had enough power to grind down, while the more general mobilization got underway. They haven't had any problem slowing down and destroying the counteroffensive. I think the killed-and-wounded are much higher on the Ukrainian side. Even if they're not, the Russians can afford the trade; whereas, the Ukrainians cannot.
I did not know, nor have I double-checked, the fate of the SU's that've been launching the guided air-to-ground missiles. If the 2-aircraft teams that are firing these salvos are being downed at anywhere close to Alexander's claimed 50% rate by Russian aircraft/missiles, that's very bad for the Ukrainians.
1
-
Antonovsky Bridge: The bridgehead is celebrated like the Normandy landings of 1944. What was it? A crossing by 50 (or 70?) special forces?
Is it just me, or are the actions of the counteroffensive massively over-reported? Chasing away a squad or platoon of infantry on video from a field in the middle of nowhere doesn't mean the Russians are in disarray. It means the Ukrainians have a local, temporary firepower advantage that's probably not worth more than the propaganda value, and likely came at great cost compared to its concrete value, strategically.
I'm not discounting the hearts-and-minds aspect. But hearts and minds are not enough, when actual, concrete wherewithal of forces is utterly lacking.
If you really wanted to win a war of attrition against the Russians, the best strategy would be what the USA's done over and over since WWII: Fund an insurgency, keep the American people in the dark, or better yet, convince them the insurgents are Democrat-ic freedom fighters, bravely resisting tyranny. Throw some economic sanctions their way, to make the public angry at their increasingly desperate and tyrannical government, et voila! An "organic" rise of "democracy." All it takes is some illegal covert aid, a bit of spin,
It all has a limited shelf life. But as long as they can win TODAY, they don't care. If anything, the (un)intended consequences give even more reason for more extreme and more violent measures to "restore democracy" in the future.
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1