Comments by "" (@12q8) on "Joe Scott"
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@factnotfiction5915
Uranium constitutes 1.8 ppm of the earth crust. That is roughly 100 trillion tonnes.
Economically exploitable reserves are currently ~6 million tonnes. With improvements of technology that number will increase. The ocean alone contains a few billions tons of it. Seawater extraction of uranium is already done, but it is not cost competitive yet. Other abundant, but not yet exploited resources are uranium bearing phosphate rocks. As for now uranium is almost exclusively sourced from pitchblende.
0.7% of uranium is fissile uranium-235. That’s the isotope that is used in nuclear power plants (usually in the form of uranium dioxide, where the U-235 has been enriched to a few %).
0.7% of 6 million tonnes is ~40,000 tonnes. One tonne of uranium-235 yields ~80,000 trillion J (80,000 TJ) of thermal energy. So we have 3,6 billion TJ contained in currently known reserves. Assuming 30% overall efficiency that is ~1 billion TJ.
We use 600 million TJ energy every year, one quarter of which is for power production, one tenth of which is generated by nuclear power plants. That would be 15 million TJ per year.
So my estimate is that known pitchblende reserves alone can supply nuclear energy for another 70 years.
Keep in mind energy demand increases, and even if all the uranium is accessible, we will need more to power the entire earth.
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