Comments by "Winston Smith" (@kryts27) on "Why a China-US war will take place other than the Taiwan Strait, says a former PLA officer" video.

  1. None of what the PLA colonel said, makes much strategic sense except to strengthen the South China Sea with bases on coral atolls. This leads to a force multiplier effect on conventional warfare in the South China Sea, assuming these bases are bristling with anti-air and anti-ship missiles. Also the PLA can deploy squadrons of warplanes quickly to these island atoll bases from Southern China air bases in a crises, adding to the force multiplier affect and risk to USN carriers operating there. However, when I heard by the interviewed ex-PLA colonel that the PLA might deploy tactical missile strikes against US carrier fleets, in this scenario, I knew that the US has won already if tactical nuclear missiles were used by the PLA (additionally, you do not need a nuclear missile to sink a supercarrier; conventional anti-ship missiles can just as effectively do the job). Almost certainly in retaliation to such an egregious attack, the US nuclear strike submarines in the area will deploy tactical missile strikes against all the PLA bases in the South China Sea (they can do this as far away as East of Japan). A nuclear strike will severely damage these PLA bases in the South China Sea (issues with having fixed military bases), and render them inoperable for a least a period of time (even missiles stored deep in bunkers on these island attol bases will be very difficult to deploy by personnel operating in a highly radioactive environment). In this hiatus of inoperative PLA bases, the remaining US carriers can dominate surface action, sinking many PLAPN ships (undefended by the missing base assets like warplanes), and attack air and naval bases in Southern China. I will call that a very dangerous pyrrhic victory for the PLA and the CCP.
    2
  2. 1