Comments by "Winston Smith" (@kryts27) on "PLA Aircraft Disruptions in Taiwan Double; United Front Deception Fails, Taiwanese Rise to Retaliate" video.

  1. The CCP ups the anti to the point of war. This can be interpreted as a point of weakness as much as that of strength by the CCP. A more prudent strategy is to withold forces to a sudden eruption and overwhelming force and hence victory. Something that Germany did to France in 1940. However, the propaganda coming out of China probably doesn't come to this concept, neither does the tactics of the PLA. The slow upping the anti does give warning to countries like Taiwan to arm itself and to treat threats from China more and more seriously. Further giving time to strengthen interested allies of Taiwan, particularly Japan, and drawing an allied coalition against the CCP; some with the most powerful countries on Earth. A constructive dialogue can't make headway under such conditions between the CCP and the ROC. The CCPs talk reminds me of the propaganda coming out of Nazi Germany. Why not invade Taiwan now by the PLA? Firstly, weather and tides provide only two windows of opportunity per year in this part of the world. Secondly, attacking an island state is much more difficult to achieve than attacking across a land border. The CCP cannot afford politically to lose an armed contest between itself and the ROC. Losing that war will also lose complete legitimacy by the CCP over China, collapsing CCP authoritarian rule. Hence, The PLA is now stronger militarily, but not strong enough to overwhelm Taiwan main island, and will instead gradually up the anti, but provides time for democracies to rearm. Taking Taiwan through political intrigue by the CCP will be catastrophic to the life, freedoms and economy of Taiwan. Wishful thinking the other way is not viable nor practical. At what point does war breaks out? When a military incident occurs which the CCP cannot back down. Likewise with the government of the day of Taiwan. The Taiwanese don't want war but the CCP does. War is a political act; what will give way? Justice and freedom versus totalitarian hegemony?
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