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Winston Smith
Good Times Bad Times
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Comments by "Winston Smith" (@kryts27) on "U.S. Industrial Power Is Back." video.
Detriot depopulated by up to 30% from it's peak. That's never happened to such a large urban centre in my country. I was initally shocked to hear about it's drastically destructive decline.
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Written off Britain a bit too much in this discourse. Germany lost 2 world wars which was very bad for them, economically as well as politically. On the eve of World War 1, Britain had the largest shipbuilding capacity in the world, and had 2 to 1 in capital ships in comparison with Germany's. Even the USN wasn't as large and powerful back then. The German High Seas fleet was unable to defeat Jellicoe's Grand Fleet so the naval blockade retained throughout the war, having a clear factor in Germany's defeat. Even as late as the 1930s and 1940s, British industry was up to the task of defending itself in WW2. Many more heavy bombers were mass-produced in the UK factories than Nazi Germany could ever manage. Further, the British electronics industry in the 1930s was more advanced than the Americans. British radar, for example, was superior to US radar over much of WW2.
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Xi Jinping's turn to Putin and an alliance is a direct response to Trump's nationalist policies, followed by Biden's equally nationalist policies. This alliance is a poor choice by China, emphasised by a long war in Ukraine that it doesn’t want involvement in and the moribund state of Russia's economy. In purely military terms, Russia has fallen behind Western military technology as well which China has extensively copied. The Fujian carrier and J-35 are poor copies of US technologies.
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There is another risk of American nationalism driven industrialization. It will increasingly clash with the EU's own economic plans. China's economic future also looks very bleak (worse than Japan's). Russia (the US old Cold War enemy) may collapse entirely. This leaves again the US as the world's unchallenged economic hegemon, except the world will largely not thank it. Future in Eurasia looks very bad, wars may flourish there particularly with the break up of Russia and possibly of China too. India may be of some hope, but it's useless non-aligned mania leaves it isolated as well. The brighest hope is ASEAN nations. This may transform Indonesia in particular. Africa may develop too, but with 52 nations, it is like what Europe was like (pre 1945) writ large. Widespread conficts and exploitation will be the norm for Africa for some time to come. Brazil and some larger South American countries (and Mexico) in contrast look somewhat better. But there are endemic cultural problems there too. Underlined by protectionism and nationalism as well and cronyism, corruption and dictatorship. South America is politically better than it used to be but still has quite a long way to go. Look at Argentina.
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