Comments by "Winston Smith" (@kryts27) on "Business Basics"
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A recent development on the economy of China versus Japan. While Japan's economy stagnated in the 1990s, China's economy is collapsing now. However, this video is about Japan's complex geostrategic situation as outlined. There is good and bad in this for Japan and the Japanese. Firstly as an island archipelago country, Japan's foremost defence rests on it's navy and air force. This is why the Japanese government needs to spend up big for these expensive items; warships and aircraft. Secondly, the quality of Japanese government and military is higher than that of China. Thirdly, as a democracy, Japan also has many allies while the CCP has none except maybe Russia. By the time the PLA attacks or invades Japanese territory or assets (such as ships or planes carrying the Japanese flag in international or Taiwanese waters), it will already be World War Three with a lot of belligerent countries involved, many of those allied to Japan. I think the PLA will have it's hands full from that point onwards. Already, with the recent PLA spy balloon crossing the United States, diplomacy is going to go from bad to worse. Maybe World War Three will start before the 2020s are over, in which case a unified allied military plan for invading the North China plain and taking Beijing might be in order. Let's call it Operation Overlord 2.
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There are several glaring problems with mainland Chinese with savings to invest their money in China: #1 Corruption in the Stock Exchange. Very little legal oversight, a culture of cover up and exaggerated or false economic data make share investment in the Shanghai, Hong Kong and Beijing stock exchanges a roulette affair at least as volatile as crypto currency, so by-and-large, the savvy Chinese investor stays away from investing their money into it. #2 Forcing the money to stay in China. The CCP makes an enormous effort in preventing capital flight out of China, so the average Chinese with money cannot move any of it out of China except by the most creative schemes (which the CCP Big Brother is always out on the look for). #3 Banking. Now putting your money as a Chinese into high interest savings accounts is making the expression ("as safe as a bank") to be an oxymoron. Now, helped by banking corruption and a chronic lack of money at (initially) the local government level, freezing or even stealing people's saving deposits is becoming the norm, rather than the exception. This is all done partially to prevent a run on the banks, but it's punative and helps people decide to store cash in their mattresses, and finally #4. Real Estate bubble Corruption Ponzi scheme. Using current investor's money to pay off bad debts (and not build) in the real estate sector finally exposes the average Chinese investor the folly of buying a house or apartment that not has been built yet. Also the crazy way this has helped inflate the housing bubble to the largest ever seen in human history, which is now exploding with an enormous bang. No wonder mortgage holders are no longer paying. I just wonder why it took so long to work that out. These chickens (1 to 4) are finally coming home to roost for the CCP. Even with their enormous thought police apparatus and electronic surveillance network can they survive this perfect storm?
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