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Patrick T
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Patrick T" (@patrickt49) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.
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When I flew to Korea in Oct of 2019, Korean authorities were stopping incoming passengers to get themselves checked for fever and "flu-like" symptoms. We also had to fill up a medical questionnaire. When we asked my younger brother's gf, who is Korean, to translate. She said that there is a mysterious illness from China circulating but they don't really know what it is. Little did we know, that it was most likely the beginning of Corona. Either way, the Chinese really screwed up big time on this one, and their ridiculous attempt to cover up, divert attention, and gaslight everybody is truly appalling.
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It's a superficial "up yours" to the Western developed world which is actually propping up the world's economy.
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"Just as all creatures wage the battle of life with the best of weapons given to them by nature, the Chinese wage theirs with their foremost weapon - acting. They have no talent for warfare. They are not inventive. They cannot compete in industrial organization. They are at heart seemingly immune to the loyalties by which national unity might be achieved to them greater strength. Thus about all that is left to them protectively is their remarkable ability to detect the emotional susceptibilities of opponents, and to attack these with the display best calculated to achieve the desired results. The display may be designed to induce sympathy, to mollify anger, to inspire generosity, or to flatter conceit. But the Chinese are adept at deciding what method is best, and before this talent many a sturdy diplomat has given way against the accusations of his rational self in the manner that Samson melted in the arms of the cooing Delilah. " -"Ways that are dark: The Truth About China" by Ralph Townsend (Former US consul who lived in 1930s China)
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@TheRandomMuffinMan It's one thing to have civil unrest, it's quite another to have civil war. Just because you have unrest doesn't mean it will always lead to the latter.
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@RD-jc2eu Yup. The state sponsored squad of liars are back.
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China has no more face to loose on the international stage. Everybody including the people that they constantly bribe know this. Also, some analysts said that Zhao's wife who recently ranted on twitter might have also contributed to his demotion.
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@djbabbotstown The word "collapse" can be interpreted in multiple ways. Collapse can be "political" or "economical" as well as "social". If you look at China's real estate sector as an example, and the fact that you have so much inventory not being sold and incurring debt then yes, you could say that that "system" has "collapsed" in that there are not enough buyers to prop up the economy so now, the CCP has to get involved and save the industry at a cost to them, which could potentially lead to other "collapses" further down the road of their financial system. The "collapse" you're most likely thinking of is civil strife and violence on every corner of the streets. North Korea is essentially a "collapsed" country but you don't see that kind of activity because they're a police state.
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There's also people with VPN who can bypass the great firewall so inevitably word will spread.
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Spoke to coworker from China back in 2018. She told me back then that China was no longer booming and had stopped booming for a while now. Jobs were scarce and being an older lady, she now had to compete with graduates that Chinese Universities kept churning out. To top it off, where she came from in China, some factories were shutting down.
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I have a classmate from China. When I talk to him about issues plaguing China his eyes open wide and say "how did you know that?" Because the typical Chinese doesn't know what's going on in their own country. Oh the wonders of censorship...
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Because the Chinese currency is questionable. It's not transparent.
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Peter, can you do a demographics analysis on Southeast Asia? It be interesting to see where they are at and where they are going in terms of a manufacturing base. Thank you.
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Quite rich for a homeless person since he can be afford to be homeless overseas as well.
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Successful in creating chaos. What's their ultimate end goal? Other than to piss everyone off?
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@QuizmasterLaw Nobody cares if you wrote an 8 page essay refuting someone. If I wrote a 20 page essay refuting what you wrote, would that make me an authority over everything you just said? No. So why not break down "what he got wrong" and refute it.
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What was funny about it?
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"With absolutely no advantage to be gained by lying, in a thousand instances where the explanation is of no importance one way or the other, a Chinese will relate the most absurd sort of cellophane lie. High and low, coolie, or general, they will lie naively, reassuringly, always affecting surprised pain at your doubts, when within an hour or so the truth is certain to crop out." - "Ways that are dark: The Truth About China" By Ralph Townsend (Former US Consul who lived in 1930s China) This problem is unfortunately innate in their culture.
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@Alex-vr4wu it's Ryan not Brian
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What exactly do you need to "see" to believe? Grassroots videos of the protests by Chinese citizens not enough for you?
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Rare earths are all over the world. And US and Japan have a monopoly on those refining technologies. China produces a crude version of those things and still rely on Japan and US for refinement. Who are THEY kidding when those can be manufactured elsewhere?
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For a country playing the "long game" a lot of their decisions are knee jerk reactions. J6st look at the one chold policy and what a diaster that was. Look at China's housing market. Does that seem like playing the long game to you?
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@binbi8177 China isn't helping anyone but themselves you bot.
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Reporting on the Chinese economy collapsing is no different than reporting on a train that you know will crash. Just because it hasn't happened yet, doesn't mean it won't in the future. All the signs are there and there isn't going to be any improvements made in the future and even if there are, it's already too late.
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'face' - inability to face reality, and justify incompetence, bad actions. Therefore, they can't course correct which is why they never change their ways.
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@1.4billion65 What is so funny about what he says?
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@jfkst1 "Just as all creatures wage the battle of life with the best of weapons given to them by nature, the Chinese wage theirs with their foremost weapon - acting. They have no talent for warfare. They are not inventive. They cannot compete in industrial organization. They are at heart seemingly immune to the loyalties by which national unity might be achieved to them greater strength. Thus about all that is left to them protectively is their remarkable ability to detect the emotional susceptibilities of opponents, and to attack these with the display best calculated to achieve the desired results. The display may be designed to induce sympathy, to mollify anger, to inspire generosity, or to flatter conceit. But the Chinese are adept at deciding what method is best, and before this talent many a sturdy diplomat has given way against the accusations of his rational self in the manner that Samson melted in the arms of the cooing Delilah." - "Ways that are dark: The Truth About China" by Ralph Townsend (Former US Consul who lived in 1930s China)
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You are aware that the Chinese use a lot of propaganda to keep their economy going right? It's the reason why so many greedy people invest in their country. You can't separate false impressions from actual reality over there.
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@realisticadvisor9931 Love this comment. This is what Chinese propagandists do as well. They assume that because you don't know, the burden is on you to find proof.
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That's a more apt way to call it "rabid dog". At least wolves are more calculated and coordinated. Another one I use is "foaming in the mouth nationalist".
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Going back to school then getting my ass out of Vancouver. I hate what this place has become. The fact that people fool themselves with slogans like "best place on earth" is laughable when you see how ridiculous expensive and boring this place is. Not worth it to live here. It's perfect for transnational criminals working for foreign governments though.
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@MargauxMachek And this is why, people are trusting them less and less assuming they haven't lost complete trust. When lying becomes your primary MO, doing business wherein transparency is expected becomes a very very big problem especially for investors.
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@Beremote What is the difference between corporate espionage and IP theft? Isn't the end goal the same? You're just using different words to define the same thing.
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They're 3rd world. Examples of developed countries in Asia are Japan and South Korea.
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@ICDeadPeeps He's a geopolitical analyst/historian, not a high ranking head of the CIA.
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BRICS is a joke. They literally can't agree on anything.
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It's all for show for their people because the masses believe in "Muslim solidarity" - The leaders however, know better. The quality of information they recieve is certainly better than the ignorant masses.
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@user-kc1tf7zm3b Largest exporter of cars? That's only because they aren't meeting their sales targets domestically and they have a surplus of cars so they're desperately finding markets of offload their inventory.
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@raggedcritical China has no "softer" approach. They just lie and do it just as bad as they did before.
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People are still lining up to get into the US. Nobody is lining up to go to China.
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@Lupine. "This absence of lusty physical exhilaration evidently accounts for the poor showing of Chinese in warfare, and with this in mind, any talk of the Chinese being a world power as soon as they gain adequate scientific knowledge is ridiculous. As a matter of fact, China for more than seventy five years has had very able foreign military advisers, and dozens of elaborate munitions and arms plants have been build under foreign direction. Then as soon as the foreign director's contract has expired in each, and the plant is turned over to the Chinese graduates of American scientific schools, it goes to rust and ruin in short order, or if it remains open, operates very incompetently" - "Ways that are dark" by Ralph Townsend (Former US consul who lived in 1930s China) What about personal experience of people who have lived and worked in China?
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Corrupt to the core and basically a failed state with nothing to offer economically other than their superficial backing especially when China needs a voice to support their demands.
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China's sales numbers suffer because of it. What are you talking about?
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Economic collapses don't happen overnight. It's a long drawn out process that takes years. And we're already seeing the symptoms of it, massive employment being one of them.
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What kind of government throws a fit over an alleged civilian balloon? Who does China think it's fooling at this point?
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There's also automation threatening the hiring process. AI is going to take over menial tasks which leaves people with less and less opportunity.
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They spend to create a false impression and/or when it involves speculation. Makes sense considering that Asians, which include the Chinese are among the most financially illiterate groups of people in North America.
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I've always wondered why my low-end Casio watches were "made in China" but my G Shocks are always "made in Thailand". Now I know why.
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What do you mean by "admiration"? You mean they bought into propaganda?
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Last I checked the rest of the world is still bigger than China. So why not find markets elsewhere? Also, do you really want to deal with their insane government and the terms of doing business in that country? It's not as straightforward as just going to China and selling products there. The CCP wants in on everything and it has the intent of culling foreign competition after it feels it has all the technological "know how" it needs to produce on a massive scale.
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It's honestly a fucking joke at this point.
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