Comments by "TruthWarrior" (@Truth-warrior-j3e) on "Starmer Gets TERRIBLE NEWS and SPIRALS Out Of Control!" video.
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Well that statement is going a bit too far. The claim about a £22 billion “black hole” in the UK’s public finances is based on findings from a Treasury audit conducted after the Labour government came to power in 2024. This audit revealed an estimated £21.9 billion overspend on government departmental budgets, including extra expenses for the asylum system, transport, and public sector pay.
However, there is debate surrounding this figure. Labour officials argue it represents an unexpected shortfall they inherited from the previous Conservative government, while some experts, like those from the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), point out that much of this overspend was foreseeable. Conservatives have also accused Labour of using this figure to justify potential tax increases.
The term “black hole” is controversial, as the extent to which this gap was truly unforeseen is disputed, and some financial pressures could have been anticipated with better forecasting.
In conclusion, while the figure is not entirely fabricated, its characterization as a “black hole” may be somewhat exaggerated, depending on one’s political perspective   .
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@azazel_5319 Not exactly right - you rounded up by quite a bit - but your point is still valid. The 2024 UK general election brought significant changes in the political landscape. Here are some key details about the results:
1. Labour Party:
• Labour won 33.7% of the total vote share, which is a slight increase from their 2019 result of 32.1%. However, this is still lower than their 2017 result of 41%  .
• In terms of seats, Labour secured a commanding majority with 412 seats, which is 63% of all available seats in the House of Commons . Labour made significant gains in constituencies previously held by the Conservatives, such as Tamworth and Finchley .
• Notably, Labour had a huge breakthrough in Scotland, winning 37 seats (up from just 1 in 2019) due to major swings from the Scottish National Party (SNP) .
2. Conservative Party:
• The Conservatives suffered severe losses, winning 23.7% of the vote share and securing just 121 seats, a historic low  . This represented a loss of 251 seats compared to their 2019 result.
3. Liberal Democrats:
• The Liberal Democrats had one of their best performances ever, winning 12% of the vote share and 72 seats . This was a notable increase from their previous elections, with significant swings in several former Conservative constituencies, particularly in the South East .
4. Reform UK:
• Reform UK also saw substantial growth, capturing 14.3% of the vote share, although they only won 5 seats . Their presence had a notable impact on right-wing voters, splitting the conservative vote in many areas .
5. Other Parties:
• The SNP suffered major losses, winning just 9 seats, down from 48 in 2019 .
• The Green Party made gains, securing 6.39% of the vote share, and won 4 seats, the highest in their history .
6. Voter Turnout:
• Voter turnout was 59.8%, the lowest in over two decades, down from 67.3% in 2019 .
These results reflect a significant shift in the UK political landscape, with Labour achieving a strong victory, the Conservatives suffering a historic defeat, and smaller parties making record gains. The devil however is in the detail. If your wish is for Reform to succeed then it might just be a fools gold to go for the Labour vote (the stated aim of Reform). The detailed data suggests that this will not work. At least what I have seen anyway.
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