Youtube comments of Peter Jacobsen (@pjacobsen1000).
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Well, hopefully this will make people realize that 'international justice' must be backed up by real power. If you have real power, you get a free pass. This is because we do not actually have any global standards for truth, justice, equality, even if many countries try to find some standards. Additionally, bringing a perceived perpetrator to justice requires that someone come pick him up. To apprehend a suspect, you need power behind you. All countries have their own police and courts of justice, but there is no real 'world police' or 'international court of justice', yet, just a sketch of those institutions. Who knows, maybe it will happen sometime in the future.
And for what it's worth, I think it is highly unlikely that Putin will ever be brought to the ICC. He, after all, has a lot of power himself.
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Hello from Shanghai. My community went under lockdown starting Apr.30 afternoon. We're now on day 13. In my community, we can walk around outside, but not leave the community. Covid testing every 48 hours. Things are obviously tight. No restaurants or shops do deliveries. Community groups are being set up to try and order basic necessities. We have to do this, because you can only order in bulk due to the lack of delivery personnel. Yesterday, we ordered 1800 eggs to be delivered, the minimum order the seller would accept. This all happens on WeChat chat-groups.
We've received two hand-outs from government of basic foods: Carrots, onions, some rice, some frozen chicken. It's enough to keep you alive, but that's it.
I'm slowly running out of drinking water (tap water is not great), cooking oil, and Western food items like butter, coffee, milk, cheese, cream, etc. Forget about snacks and candy, or condiments. I still have some spaghetti, but no tomatoes, some flour for bread making, but nothing to put on it. Apparently, we still have at least 14 days to go of this....
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India is one of those large countries where sports just isn't a big part of the culture (except for cricket). And we are wise to remember that until the 19th century, sports just wasn't a thing, anywhere in the world. I guess it was mostly the British who started playing all sorts of ball sports, badminton, tennis, rugby, football, etc. at the advent of the industrial revolution where people slowly started getting more leisure time.
Now, 150 years later, sports generate about $150 billion annually on a global basis, not including all the gear and sports clothes we buy.
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It is mentioned that a billion apartments are empty, but that is clearly a mistake. Since 2000, when the market really opened, they have 'only' built around 200 million apartments, and most of those are not empty. A better estimate is around 25 million empty apartments, enough to house 75 million people (two parents and one child per apartment).
Another number mentioned is that the real estate sector (and associated value chains: raw materials, construction materials, decorating, furniture, appliances, etc.) makes up 20-30% of GDP. This may have been the case at the top of the market around 2020, but now it has clearly fallen to less than half that number, considering real estate investments have dropped around 35% over the last three years.
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I remember Shanghai in the 90s. Yes, it was so dynamic, bursting with optimism and a desire to live life to the fullest. It was like every day presented new opportunities to reinvent yourself. But it was also much less developed than now. There were still slums in many parts of the city, two girls I knew literally grew up in a shack by the side of my street. They didn't even have running water. But it was also the beginning of Shanghai's wild nightlife, with a few pretty trendy clubs, mostly on South Maoming Rd. Nobody ate hotpot (火锅), or malatang (麻辣烫), or ganguo (干锅). There were no Starbuck's, no Burger King, no XinTianDi, no pedestrian street on Nanjing Rd. But it was a wild time!
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I recognize most of these alleyways. I used to take visitors for walks through this neighborhood many, many times. Many of the houses are poor quality and not worth preserving, but others are large mansions once owned by wealthy merchants and their families. So many stories will be gone, stories of rich men and their concubines, of common Shanghai people, of Red Guards. You can still see their slogans here and there if you look closely. One house even has a big mural on the wall of Marx, Lenin, Stalin, and Mao in profile, but it has since been painted over. It's the end of an era. (Actually, it might have been Engels and not Stalin. It's been 5 years since they painted it)
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I am not in the camp of people who see the BRI as a 'debt trap'. But that does not mean BRI has been a success. Rather, it is my feeling that many recipients of BRI loans/projects have thought "Let's get the money now, then we'll worry about how to pay them back some other day". But that also means that Chinese creditors (esp. China Exim Bank) have perhaps not always done their due diligence. Some of these loans seem a bit risky.
In my opinion, the failure of the Sri Lanka Hambantota Port can be laid squarely on the shoulders of former president Mahinda Rajapaksa, perhaps the most corrupt president ever. He is the one who decided to make a large port in Hambantota, a small town with no industry to speak of. The port was not needed, not in the right place, and not particularly useful, but it did happen to be in Mahinda Rajapaksa's small hometown. There are accusations within Sri Lanka that during his presidency, Mahinda Rajapaksa managed to defraud the country of more than $5 billion and funnel it out of the country. Many officials of his administration are being investigated for graft, fraud and corruption.
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10:20 "This moment (when Columbus took Cuba for Spain) is the foundation upon which all European imperialism grows".
This is simply a false statement! Imperialism, European or otherwise, was the rule of the day for the first 5000 years of human civilization. It is really only in the last 70 years, since the establishment of the UN, that we have mostly agreed on the principles of 'national integrity' and 'territorial inviolability'. Anybody ever heard of the Roman Empire? Ottoman Empire? Russian Empire, Swedish Empire, Viking conquests, Mayan Empire, Chinese Empire, Mali Empire, Gupta Empire, Inca Empire, Khmer Empire, Persian Empire, Egyptian Empire, Mesopotamian Empire? The standard throughout history is conquest and empire. Peace and cooperation is an entirely new idea. Brand new!
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The gaming crackdown appears to be an important part of Xi's philosophy around 'economic development': Xi wants to advance 'the real economy', i.e. physical products that you can export or build, or which can tangibly improve people's lives, like a shovel, or a railway, or a woolen sweater. The online economy seems 'unreal' to Xi, or fake, or empty. This is the case with gaming, social media, streaming, etc. Frankly, I think it smells of 'old man yelling at cloud', not least because the online industries combined generate trillions of dollars every year globally.
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A note on the term 'fermented'. There is no real fermentation going on, but rather oxidation. It is an identical process to what happens to an apple or potato when you cut a slice and leave it out: The oxygen reacts with the cut cells, the color changes, and with it, the flavor. With potatoes and apples, the oxidated flavor is undesirable, but in tea, it creates the distinct flavor of black tea.
Fermentation is a biological reaction caused by living organisms, mostly molds, yeasts, fungi, and bacteria.
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This is a problem that will likely take decades to solve. In China's north and north-west, herders have increased their herds of goats and sheep since the reform and open up period began. Eventually, the number of grazing animals grew to numbers that the land could no longer support, leading to grasses being uprooted and feeding desertification. Mongolia started their economic liberalization later than China, but now their animal herds have also grown much too big, leading to desertification in large parts of Mongolia.
The solution is:
-Penning of herd animals, preventing them from roaming freely over the land.
-Planting of suitable grasses to try to regrow the grasslands.
-Harvesting the grass and bringing it to the animals, rather than the other way around.
-In the meantime, feed will have to be brought in from outside the region.
China has had some success with this practice, but once the desert has set in, it is very difficult to bring the grassland back. It takes years and years and years. But as they say: Never give up!
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The state will not have the money to take care of the old, so it will be up to themselves, through savings, or their children, if they have any.
However, this is a very slow, creeping problem. It will be like walking on a flat road that slowly becomes a hill, and then a mountain. Every day it gets a little bit steeper, but you hardly notice the difference from yesterday. After some years, every step becomes a struggle, but you have already forgotten how easy it used to be years earlier.
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The people who protest this release are people who have never bothered, and couldn't bother, to research the situation and learn the facts. Instead, they prefer to remain ignorant, prefer to scream like petulant children, prefer to express their ill-informed emotions. There is much to learn on the IAEA website (which also has a Chinese version). Here are some facts:
-The waste water has been tested by numerous international bodies and independent nuclear isotope labs, and has been deemed safe for release.
-At the beginning, there were many different (and highly dangerous) radioactive isotopes in the waste, but all but Tritium has since been removed by a number of chemical processes.
-Tritium cannot be removed by chemical processes.
-Tritium occurs naturally in the environment, including in water vapor in the air. Sometimes it falls down as rain.
-The amount of Tritium that falls as rain over Japan every year is more than the amount that is now getting released. Naturally, countries bigger than Japan see much more Tritium falling as rain every year. Don't worry, if you forgot your umbrella you're not going to get radiation sickness.
People who continue to protest in the face of these facts can best be viewed with contempt, or at least with pity. Pity at their embrace of stupidity, their stubborn ignorance, their rejection of rational thought, their refusal to learn new information, their decision to rely on pure emotion.
People like that are best avoided. Run away from them, and don't look back.
EDIT: I will follow my own advice and NOT answer any IGNORANT questions or comments below.
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Although I am European and not Asian, I think rice is one of the best tasting carbohydrates available. I love wheat (for bread and pasta), but after that my favorite is rice. Rice tastes much better than potatoes, corn, millet, barley, sago, cassava, sweet potatoes or sorghum. India, Thailand, Japan all have excellent rice. 😚
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Disparities within the Asian-American group seem to reflect their ethnic/national/cultural background. For example, Hmong Americans, who are among the poorest in America, are also among the poorest within Asia. Not only were they persecuted after the Vietnam War by the Lao government, but even long before that, Hmong have traditionally lived on marginal lands throughout Laos, Vietnam and China. Today, the Hmong/Miao larger group are very much behind other groups within their home countries.
Burmese come from a country which has been mired in authoritarian rule with little economic development for decades, and thus it is not surprising that they come to America with a starting point that is far behind Chinese, for example.
Han Chinese have been among the most successful ethnic group within China for millennia, and so again, it's not surprising that the cultural traits that made them successful within Asia also make them successful in America.
Most Vietnamese that came as refugees after the Vietnam War are actually ethnic Chinese who were persecuted by the ethnic Vietnamese.
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When I first heard of this story this morning, my first thought was that it seemed staged. My reasoning was this: There was a photo and a caption saying that the president was staring down the deposed general, the supposed coup leader. But why would a coup leader, the head of a powerful military grouping, why would he be stopped by a 'stare-down'? If he was intent on taking power, wouldn't he just have detained the president? Why stop after you get into the palace with all your troops? This is what makes me suspicious. Any normal coup leader would immediately take control of the palace, the parliament, the main TV stations. This seems much too half hearted to have been a serious coup attempt.
On the other hand, the president showing himself on social media staring down an ex-general, and then speaking from the palace balcony about people power, that is the perfect recipe for a boost in popularity, just before the elections. Yes, I'm very suspicious.
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Crab Eating Macaques, the species depicted in the video, are not a threatened species, and are numerous in Thailand. They have not congregated in Lopburi because their habitat is under threat, but because they become accustomed to getting easy food in town, negating the need to find food in the wild. If it were really the case that animals move to cities because their habitat is threatened, our cities would be full of wild animals. To the extent that we do see wild animals in cities (rats, pigeons, squirrels, foxes, etc.) it is for the same reason as with these Macaques: Food is easy to come by in cities.
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Once people get power, they really don't want to give it up. For some people, that means arresting and oppressing any challengers. Cambodia, Singapore, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Brunei, Vietnam, China, North Korea, their leaders really cannot accept anyone challenging their power.
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The IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency), an agency of the UN, has been overseeing Japan's efforts to make the waste water cleaner.
The IAEA has approved, and recommends, the release of the waste water into the ocean.
All nuclear energy powers occasionally release radioactive waste water into the ocean, not by mistake but as part of the normal running of nuclear energy plants. Japan does it, France does it, Germany, China, US, etc., etc.
China has complained publicly regarding the release by Japan, but China has representatives on IAEA's team, and China's representative has been part of the approval process. Technically, China and other countries are on board with this action, but at the same time, they can use it as moral posturing.
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Thanks, I noticed that. Hizb Ut Tahrir is a legal organization in Denmark, where the Quran burner Rasmus Paludan is (partly) from. The organization grew a lot back in the 2000s and 2010s, but have since lost a lot of members. After 9/11, they were very successful in recruiting new members among Muslim university students in Denmark.
The organization was invited on TV several times to explain their views, which they did clearly and unapologetically. But it was perhaps that clarity of expression that made people leave them again. They are quite radical. In Denmark, at least, their leadership is highly educated, with numerous people with Master degrees and PhDs. Most members are descendants of immigrants from Muslim-majority countries (esp. Pakistan, Egypt, Palestine).
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@therealdeal3672 1) Most hand soap isn't toxic or particularly bad for the environment. It's primarily oil and sodium hydroxide. And if it were so bad, we would be unwise to wash it down the drain on a daily basis, so that argument is not too solid.
2) Based on the video, those 'specific regions' include areas in the global south. That's quite a distance. Besides, 'shipping only to specific regions' applies to pretty much every product known to man. Remember, these bars of soap have already been shipped once to the hotels, then to the recycler, and finally to the end user. That's triple the transportation.
3) Obviously, people don't come out and talk about soap to strangers, but visiting them and talking to them, it's as easy to find out their hygiene standards as if I visited you in your home. I live in the developing world and have for the last 26 years. Access to soap just isn't an issue.
4) Giving things away for free where a market for those things exist will certainly have an impact on the market.
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It's remarkable how much this memorial looks like something you would see in China. While younger (under 40) designers, artists and architects in China are quite creative and able to make pleasing and interesting designs, the design of this memorial appears to have been made by an older, state-sanctioned designer educated in the old, Soviet-style school. There's a certain design language that we can see for example on Shanghai's Bund at the mouth of Suzhou creek: A pillar/tower, carved concrete or stone reliefs of workers with big muscles, simple geometric figures reaching for the sky, often a reddish granite common in China. While much newer art and architecture in China is made by younger artists, official monuments are still mostly made by these older people, often professors and academicians who have gotten the state's stamp of approval.
As someone who follows modern Chinese art and design, I find this interesting.
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Sitting here in Shanghai, now on my 45th day in lock-down, my mood is not good. I want this to end, the sooner the better.
And what about the risk of increased deaths? It is true that many elderly people never got vaccinated, so they are certainly at risk. But let's look at the data:
Up until now, roughly 550,000 cases (including asymptomatic) have been found in Shanghai over the last few months. In the same time period, about 550 people have died from Covid for a rate of 1/1000, or 0.1%. Should the virus be allowed to spread uncontrollably, perhaps 50% of the nation's population will get infected (based on numbers in other countries). This would mean that up to 0.05% of the entire population may die, for a total of 700,000 deaths. That may sound like a lot, but China has 10+ million annual deaths from all causes, so an additional 700k means an uptick of 7% compared to now. And that's if it all happens during one single year.
Are Chinese people willing to sacrifice other people's lives? Yes, they are! And so are the rest of us. In traffic, during sports and adventure activities, at work, at war, as punishment for crimes. We are willing to sacrifice lives because we feel it serves a greater purpose of living a full life. During these times, that greater purpose is keeping society functional, letting people live their lives and letting them go about their business. I think that purpose is worth a little risk.
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It's so interesting: Countries/cities with high air pollution are invariably places that are at a relatively low level of development, but that are undergoing high economic growth and rapid industrialization. 150 years ago, London was perhaps the most heavily polluted city in the world, then other western cities quickly followed suit. In the 1960s, NYC and LA were struggling with very high levels of smog. Then, in the 1990s and 2000s, China had 7 of the top 10 most polluted cities. Now China has moved to the next level and the air is getting cleaner, but new emerging economies are sprouting: India, Vietnam and others. Eventually, they will also move beyond this phase and new countries will become the 'most polluted'. Air pollution seems to be inevitable in economic growth, but it is just a phase on the way to prosperity and 'developed status'.
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1:00 "Indigenous people track below national averages on most socio-economic measures". I have no doubt that is true, but are they better or worse off now than they were for the first 59,700 years they inhabited Australia? I'm no expert but I'll wager that they are much, much better off now, with much improved health outcomes, much better education, much longer life expectancies, and much better material lives.
Indigenous people in Australia and everywhere else in the world have a right to live their lives the way they want, but if they choose to continue a hunter-gatherer or nomadic lifestyle, they will never reach the level of prosperity that the rest of us enjoy. We were all hunter-gatherers once, but some of us realized there's another, much better, way of living.
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"Anyone with a passport can leave". Most people can leave, but some people are prevented from leaving, including many Uyghurs, Tibetans, some people who have criticized the Party, some people involved in a business dispute, ect. People active in the PLA are prevented by law from leaving the country, people in leadership positions in government must have prior permission to leave. All these limitations apply even if you're just going on vacation to Thailand, or a shopping trip to HK. However, most people don't belong to any of the above groups, so they can all leave.
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I was a little surprised, too, but it is likely because a very large percentage of private enterprises are made up of small factories in the interior, small retail businesses, and restaurants. Those enterprises tend to employ mostly rural employees with low educational attainment. State-owned enterprises and government organs tend to hire better educated people.
Those who work in large and famous private enterprises, like Alibaba, Tencent, Lenovo, BYD, etc., probably have a much higher salary, but they are, after all, only a small minority of the labor pool.
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It is common around the world for indigenous people to have much worse life outcomes than the surrounding 'developed' society. We see this with indigenous Americans in Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Canada, and every other country in the Americas. We see it with arctic populations in Canada, Greenland, Russia. We see it with indigenous populations in East and South East Asia, we see it in Sub-Saharan Africa with the Khoi San and Pygmy peoples.
It seems to me, and this is just a hypothesis, that going from a hunter-gatherer society or a nomadic society to a settled, industrial society is an extremely difficult transition to make in just a few generations. Technically, it's easy, but culturally almost impossible. Perhaps our cultures simply cannot 'leap frog' into a completely different level in less than tens, or even hundreds of generations.
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"Where are all the profits going???"
Profits are what's left after all expenses have been paid, incl. salaries, utilities, machines, tools, raw materials, land costs, taxes.
Profits always (yes, always) go to the owners of the business, incl. share holders.
My question to you is: How do you know if there are any profits at all? The video didn't say anything about that. Lots of businesses are not profitable, and some end up going bankrupt.
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@melonseiiLOVE "Western countries are...unwilling to do so"
-Sydney, Vienna, Copenhagen, Toronto, Paris, Turin, Venice, Milan, Barcelona, Lausanne, London all have platform screen doors on part of their systems, but rarely on all of it. These systems were often designed and built long before screen doors were invented. It is not always easy (or even possible) to retro-fit screen doors on an older system.
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The Libyan civil war had already been under way for a month, with severe fighting, before European forces took action with a no-fly zone and an aerial bombing campaign to enforce it.
The Libyan representative to the UN asked for a no-fly zone; the head of the Libyan National Transitional Council called for a no-fly zone; The Gulf Cooperation Council asked for a no-fly zone; The Arab League asked for a no-fly zone; Lebanon's Ambassador to the UN presented a resolution for a no-fly zone, which was voted on and approved. No member of the Security Council voted 'No' to the proposal.
Yes, the West supplied most of the weapons, the West dropped most of the bombs, but the decision wasn't only the West's. Most of the forces were European, but there was also participation from Jordan, Qatar, Turkey, UAE, with additional support from Kuwait and Sudan.
Any further questions?
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They immediately conclude that residential schools caused this wave of violence, but that is just an assumption. Indigenous peoples around the world are struggling with very high rates of violence within their communities, regardless of whether they went to residential schools or not. We see this all over the Arctic, in Canada, Greenland, Siberia. We see it in Australia and New Zealand, Latin America, among the Ainu people in Japan and many other places.
One possibility is that it is not indigenous communities that are abnormally violent, but modern, urbanized societies that have achieved extraordinary low levels of violence over centuries. In other words, what modern society sees as normal levels of violence are in fact highly unusual in world history.
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@thomaszhang3101 " when China ordered isolation for foreign tourists, it offered free hotel, services and meals,".
That is not true. Visitors had to pay for quarantine rooms. In Shanghai it was RMB 300-500 per night. And there were other costs, of course, incl. special testing clinics. Overall, on average it cost around RMB 12,000 to enter China, not including flight or visa. It was troublesome for everybody, but we got through it. And now, it's almost over. A few more months from now it may be as simple to enter China as it was in 2019.
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@中央山脈-c4i Ok, perhaps I misunderstood you. You mention a 'deal'. What kind of deal, if not a deal about the future Central Committee? So far, you are hypothesizing. That's interesting, but it's not proof of anything.
Personally, Hu looks very confused to me, like someone with dementia. I would say he is halfway between Joe Biden and an assisted care facility. Sad, though, as he is still relatively young, only 79. My dad is over 90 and still clear headed.
Also note that Party elders are mostly there out of respect. Hu doesn't have any official position or membership of any political organ (apart from being a party member). If Jiang Zemin had been healthy enough, he would likely have attended, too.
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"Being told to go back, it happens to us all the time". What does she mean by all the time? I asked three of my Chinese-American friends, only one of them had experienced this once over a 20-year period. Not exactly 'all the time'.
During my 20 years in China, I have experienced this twice, I've been called 'white skin trash', I've been threatened with violence. It's not a big deal, most Chinese people, and Canadian people, and American people are very nice, very friendly, very polite. Only a tiny, tiny minority will say these hateful things. Certainly, it hasn't made me think Chinese people are particularly racist.
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4:12 "But with fewer nomadic herders to move the animals, the land now has less time to grow". In itself that sentence doesn't make sense, as it makes the assumption that animals need more people to help them move. Clearly that is not the case, as animals in the wild have no problems moving long distances without the assistance of humans.
Rather, the real reason for 'the land now has less time to grow', or more accurately, the loss of grasslands, is directly related to the environmental pressure from increased herds. According the the UN Development Programme, animal herds have doubled in size over the last 30 years, putting immense pressure on the land. There are simply more animals than the land can sustain, and this leads to overgrazing and desertification as a result. As marginal lands become deserts, the herders move to more fertile areas, putting even more pressure on them, creating a destructive cycle. The solution to this is a combination of changing lifestyle by moving to urban areas, and a change in the practice of herding. Animals need to be penned (for most of the year) and the food brought to them, rather than the other way around. Only this way can the land stay productive. For this to happen, some form of mechanization if probably necessary, harvesting the grass and storing it for later use as animal feed.
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I can't say I understand it completely, either, but isn't the difference that during WW2, the US had huge capacity for building various arms? They were already at war and were churning out weapons like hamburgers. Now, on the other hand, even with the same kind of deal, the US don't have the industrial capacity to ramp up weapons production so suddenly. So Lend Lease or not, if there is not equipment, there's also none to send.
As the video quotes someone: "The West moves slowly, but in the long run, we have the ability to out-produce anyone, it just takes time". Time, meaning years. Europe comes unprepared because we have just lived through the longest period of unbroken peace in the last 600 years.
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As an 'ordinary citizen' of Europe and the EU, I strongly support keeping sanctions in place, and maybe even strengthening them; continuing to support Ukraine with weapons; continuing to increase our defense spending to at least 2% of GDP; continuing to put pressure on Russia. As an 'ordinary European', I'm done with Russia, for at least a decade and possibly longer. I don't want to trade with them, I don't want to engage in cultural exchange with them, I don't want to talk to them. However, I welcome ordinary Russians into Europe to live and work here, if they're qualified.
As for energy, I'm willing to sacrifice for the Ukrainian liberation struggle. We'll put on some warm clothes, we'll cycle to work. We will get through this, and we will win!
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@MeiinUK China DOES have plenty of ice cream. Apart from popular international brands like Magnum, China has it's own brands: MengNiu (蒙牛), GuangMing (光明), YiLi (伊利), so you're really behind the curve in this respect. Ice cream is much loved in China.
And yes, you should be picky about your Chinese food. Don't let those restaurants 'westernize' their food too much. Genuine Chinese food is much better than the slop that is often served in Chinese restaurants in Europe.
Re. blocked websites: YT, Facebook, Google, Twitter, TikTok and basically all other foreign social media sites are blocked in China. However, many Chinese people use VPNs, even though it's not allowed. In fact, no VPNs may be hosted on Chinese app stores, so people get them surreptitiously.
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China makes a lot of things cheaply and efficiently: Socks, shoes, T-shirts, and they can assemble electronics very quickly and at large scale. But more importantly, America sells a lot of products on the Chinese market. Chinese people love Apple, McDonalds, Starbucks, Tesla, Marvel movies, TV shows, GM cars.
But this visit is by President Macron of France. Chinese people love Dior, LV, champagne, Hermes, wine, Airbus airplanes, Cartier, L'Oreal.
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Shimao seems to be selling some of their best properties, including Shimao International on Shanghai's Nanjing Rd, next to People's Square. I contains a Le Meridien 5-star hotel on a long-term lease + a shopping mall, so decent revenue should be guaranteed. It truly is prime real estate.
(Le Meridien is a high-end hotel chain originally owned by Air France, then UK-based Forte Group, then Granada, then Compass Group, then Nomura Holdings, then Lehman Brothers, then Starwood, and finally Marriott).
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You are touching on a massive problem that more and more countries MUST eventually find a solution to as we go forward:
-We are living longer and longer. This brings with it higher and higher medical costs that will only increase as we find new treatments for ailments that would have killed our ancestors.
-We need higher and higher (longer and longer) education to stay on top of the development cycle. This means we enter productive life later and later. One can imagine that 50 years from now, you need a PhD just to get a regular job.
-We continuously strive for a higher standard of living. This costs more money, not just in consumption, but also in cost of better and bigger housing with all the modern amenities, better infrastructure, etc.
Shorter productive life combined with higher costs. Something's gotta give and we may need to extend working life way beyond 65/67 years. Perhaps we can find a way to introduce 'soft work' for people of mature age: 20-hour work week, or 9 month work year, or 3-day work week, the old taking care of children, the old tutoring children, the old mentoring the young, low stress work, all at a lower salary, but still with enough income to support daily life. Could you have a road work crew consisting of old people, 2 to 3 working together to carry what one young man can carry, and at 1/2 to 1/3 the salary? Perhaps, perhaps not. But something needs to change.
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A little unusual in 2008, but 20 years earlier it would have been commonplace in that part of China. Not so further north, though. I went to a fresh market (wet market) in Guangzhou in 1988 and it was a virtual zoo. Dogs, cranes, turtles, snakes, pigeons, quails, pheasants, raccoons, everything alive and ready to be butchered and chopped up. My friend and I actually ordered raccoon for lunch later. Quite tasty, gamey, and in the Chinese tradition, boney.
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China's central government debt is now at $16 trillion, plus local government debt at $12 trillion, totaling $28 trillion. This does not include the debt held by State Owned Enterprises, which lies at around $11 trillion. If we include that, we end up at $39 trillion. However, China has the benefit of being a centrally controlled financial system, so debt can be cancelled, or money can be moved around, or be issued, for a long, long time. It's not good, but it's not a disaster, either.
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Well, over the next 25 years, there will be 200 million couples (potential couples, if they match up) coming of age who may be prospective buyers of a home. Not all of them will be moving to/living in urban areas, but perhaps 75% will, or 150 million couples. At the same time, approximately 200 million couples will pass away after a long life. Only about 40% of those own property in urban areas, or about 80 million apartments. This adds up to a potential need for 70 million new apartments over 25 years. There are currently around 30 million apartments available (unsold plus sold but empty). This ends up giving a rough estimate of 40 million new apartments needed over 25 years, or 16 million needed per decade. So, the first two decades are covered by available supply, plus a little extra. Only by 2042 will we begin to see a real shortage again. After 2055, there will be so many old people passing away and leaving apartments behind, and so few children being born, that the need for more apartments is negligible.
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Re. Land subsidence: I've lived in shanghai since the mid-90s. Even back then, the local media regularly talked about land subsidence. The article referenced in the video mentions that Shanghai has sunk 3 meters (10 feet) over the last 100 years. And yet, Shanghai suffers much less from flooding incidents now than it did in the past. This all goes to show that despite land subsidence (which is real) or rising sea levels (which are also real), human ingenuity and hard work can easily mitigate the impacts of these environmental threats. Whether Shanghai or The Netherlands, we have not only arrested flooding events, but in both places we have actually reclaimed even more useful land from the surrounding sea. Every year, Shanghai grows bigger and bigger by preventing the silt of the Yangzi River from flowing into to the ocean and instead using it to build up land. The land where Pudong Airport, Shanghai's main international airport, is located was under water just 30 years ago. 1300 years ago, just around the end of the Tang Dynasty, all of Shanghai was just a swampy marsh.
So yes, nature keeps giving us problems, but our engineers are pretty damn good at solving those same problems.
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@petefrys545 I don't know where you're from, but Nazi-, Fascist-, White Power-, Nationalist groups started growing all over central and eastern Europe very quickly after the wall fell. I remember this clearly on a visit to Budapest in 1992, where I was faced with some of those people. Widespread youth unemployment and a general feeling of despair led some young men to join these movements. This was, and is, a trend we saw all over the east, including in Russia. Fortunately, these groups are generally a small minority everywhere, including in Ukraine.
As for Russia, I don't expect the Russian authorities to clamp down on these groups because they often serve the governments interests. Russia is a spiritually rotten wasteland, let's just make that clear.
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I completely agree with the OP, but I don't think there is any nefarious purpose. Rather, they worry that viewers will change the channel if they go too deep into any topic. They understand that to keep viewers in their seats, coverage of any topic must be exciting, colorful, emotional, moralistic, superficial, offering simple solutions to complex problems, lots of CGI and video. At best, they offer 'news-tainment', not education. This is especially the case with US media. Just look at the hosts: They all have to look good, with perfect hair and bright smiles, as if that has any relevance to what goes on in the world and in society.
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It should be mentioned that of the railways built abroad mentioned in the video, the ones in Laos and Kenya are not high-speed railways. Vietnam has recently announced that they will build their own high-speed railway, rather than buying it from abroad, though who knows, they might change their mind.
Almost all the technology for China's high-speed rail system was supplied by foreign companies: Siemens for the sleeper-less tracks and the signal systems, trains came from Japan, France, Italy, and Germany. Since then, China has continued to develop on these systems to a degree where they can now export the technology as their own. One prime example of this is the Fuxing train set, with a design speed up to 380 km/h.
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@bubuneowoo6161 "Please stop exposing your ignorance". Yes, the engine is the same, and still the aircraft is not up to par: Range is only 2300 nmi, compared to at least 4500 nmi on the A320 and B737. With approximately the same fuel capacity, it indicates that fuel consumption is higher per km flown, i.e. worse fuel economy. The shorter range means greater limitations on the routes available to this aircraft. For example, the C919 can fly from Beijing to Bangkok, but not to KL or Singapore. The A320 or the B737 can fly from Beijing to Singapore, Bali, and even all the way down to Darwin, Australia. In the other direction, the A320 and the B737 can fly from BJ all the way to Moscow and Helsinki, Finland. The C919 can only fly to Astana, Kazakhstan.
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@canto_v12 I don't know about 'most countries', but in most western and other developed countries, hate speech tends to be free speech. It is a common misunderstanding that 'hate speech' is punished by law in the west. Hate speech is generally considered protected speech.
It is true that there a limitations in speech, the question is how broad these limitations are. For example, it may seem reasonable to limit 'incitement to violence', but only if the term 'incitement' is very clearly defined with clear limits. To say "I hope xyz-organisation is overthrown" is perfectly legal in democratic countries.
Anyway, let's go back to HK. Before 1997, HK was perhaps the most free region in all of Asia when it came to speech. You could critique and protest against colonial British rule, against the governor, against the police, against the government of Britain or HK. These activities were all protected. People did not need prior permission to march in the streets, though there were rules against stopping or disrupting traffic or normal business.
The National Security Law makes it a crime to 'incite hatred against the Central Government or the HK government'. There has never been such a law in HK before, and such a law does not exist in any democratic/western/developed country. But laws like this are common in authoritarian countries.
You like this law, and you have to live with it. Good luck.
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@suntan8655 But China has practiced this for decades: They make sure they have several different national suppliers of oil, gas, wheat, corn, soy, iron ore, copper ore, civilian aircraft, and other strategically important products. There is nothing wrong with this approach. It is not immoral, or unfair, but completely understandable.
Russia could easily supply all China's needs for oil and gas, but China doesn't want to be tied to Russia.
Australia could easily supply all of China's needs for iron ore, but China doesn't want to be tied to Australia. And so forth....
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@rollinghippo2940 Oil will never run out, for the following reason: As the amount of oil we can extract begins to decrease, the price will go up, because demand is still there. The price goes up, it becomes too expensive for many countries, who will seek other forms of energy. By then, solar, wind and nuclear power suddenly look very low priced, so countries will invest more in that. That causes the demand for oil to decrease, then increase again as demand goes up, and the cycle repeats.
Every single natural resource works like this, including labor, if we consider ourselves to be natural. Fewer workers mean higher salaries, means higher prices, means lower consumption, means higher unemployment, etc., etc.
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It's a bit of a stretch to say that "Travel time between the north and south of Xinjiang will be cut from 3 hours to 20 minutes". Drawing a straight line from Urumqi to Yuli County, which this new highway connect, shows a distance of 250 km. You'd have to drive real fast to go 250km in 20 minutes.
Instead, what this new highway does is make a more straight route through the TianShan Mountains compared to the previous expressway. Yes, there is already one modern expressway between the two cities/areas: It's the G30/G3012 National expressway, which goes around the mountains. Now they have one more, cutting highway travel time between the two cities from 6 hours to perhaps 4 hours. It's very nice, but will it really make such a big difference in investment as the researcher Li Lifan says?
To me, it seems to be more a case of:
1) We do it because we can, and it helps boost our prestige abroad
2) We do it because we believe infrastructure development is always beneficial
3) We do it because any infrastructure investment helps to prop up GDP, whether it generates economic activity or not.
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"In order to have a strong economy, first, you must convince the people and the world, that one has a strong economy." While this may sound a little wacky, it harks back to Chairman Mao, who said something to the effect of "The masses can accomplish anything, as long as they have the correct political ideas, and the correct guidance". We can take this even further back to Karl Marx, who, many years after publishing his theories was both surprised and disappointed that the workers had not yet started a revolution and overthrown the capitalists. He concluded that the working class simply did not have the intellectual capacity to understand his wonderful ideas, not even stopping to consider that perhaps the working class HAD thought about his ideas but decided instead to keep their jobs and fight for better working conditions by setting up labor unions.
One could almost reach the conclusion that Marx, Lenin and Mao were the ones who had the least confidence in the working class they claim to represent.
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Ryan, could you give us an idea of what functions you think government should reasonably have, if any. My suggestions:
-National defence
-Law enforcement and judiciary
-Certain national infrastructure (rail, power grid, roads, sewage, water, communication lines)
-Standards and regulations on safety, units, consumer protection.
-Support for basic scientific research (eg. NASA)
On top of this comes the more 'socialist' functions: Basic education, basic health care, basic social security.
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I think we eventually all have to acknowledge that many of the dishes we consider to be 'traditional' in any cuisine, may not be that old after all. You'd be surprised to learn how many dishes are entirely recent: Pat Thai was invented in the 1940s, many 'authentic' Italian pizzas are from the 20th century, Sushi is relatively new, most Cantonese dimsum are from the 20th century, Chicken Tikka Masala is recent, and that's not even beginning to take into account that Chili, tomato, potato, eggplant, corn only arrived in the EurAsian continent in the 16th century, after the Spanish sailed to South America. There is probably very little food from before the 16th century that would be recognizable to us today.
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I live in China, so perhaps this 'analysis' wasn't for me, but I tried to get through it.
There was no Economic Update, no analysis, no numbers, no mention of growth rates, debt rates, foreign or state investment, no mention of the real estate market, demographics, return on fixed investment, and indeed there was practically nothing that couldn't have been said 10 years ago by a college junior. Some update!
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@xyztgn7292 Look, I personally feel it would probably be good for America to have more immigrants from Asia, rather than fewer. Asian Americans, on average, thrive in American society and, subjectively, improve upon society.
But that is just the opposite view from that of Amy Wax. Would my view be more acceptable, and if so, why is it ok to have one view, but not the opposite view?
Perhaps a debate on the UPenn campus between Wax and another professor on this very issue would be enlightening for all students and faculty.
(Edit: I have a background as a teacher, in Asia, no less)
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I want Ukraine to win as much as DW, but this report is full of holes.
There's no evidence, as far as I know, that the 30 mile convoy north of Kyiv 'came under ferocious attack'. It might have, but we don't have evidence of it. The clip DW shows to prove this is not from that convoy but from the east side of the Dnipro River, just north of Brovary.
'The Ukrainians are a superior fighting force'. I'd love for that to be true, but right now, Russia is making (very slow) progress every day. Ukraine not so much.
Dear DW, don't try to cheer us up. Instead, tell us the facts on the ground, painful as they may be. I'm worried and I don't want to be served sugar to distract me from the danger.
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@KBellate I don't think colonialism is that important in economic terms. Many western countries that were not colonial powers managed to industrialize just as well. Japan industrialized before it became a colonial power, South Korea was never a colonial power, nor were Taiwan or Singapore. Spain and Portugal were among the first, and biggest, colonial powers, but their industrialization process was not nearly as successful as many other countries (like Switzerland, which was never a colonial power).
As for China today, I get the feeling that many Chinese believe that China is 'special', different from other countries that have industrialized and grown quickly, but most international observers see China as following pretty much the same path to development as Japan or South Korea, at least after 1978. And China's size is both an advantage and a disadvantage: The advantage is that huge resources can be rallied toward specific, narrow goals; and that the huge market itself generates growth of a kind that a small market cannot. The disadvantage is that China needs to rely more on itself because the outside market is not that much bigger than the domestic market. For example, South Korea can continue to grow just by relying on exports because the outside market is 140 times bigger than the domestic market. China's export market is only 5 times bigger than the internal market. This means that in the long term, exports can only be a small share of China's growth.
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@Bike_Lion "So this means that the electric companies have to build, maintain, and staff fossil fuel power plants".
Yes, but we already have all that installed. The point is not to replace all existent generation capacity, but to grow resilience by diversifying our means of generating electricity: Nuclear, coal, oil, gas, wind, solar, hydro.... This is all part of building energy security.
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I'll try to give an answer. There is no official list of tiered cities, so people will often disagree.
-First tier: Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen
-Second Tier: Other major cities, especially along the coast: Hangzhou, Suzhou, Nanjing, Ningbo, Xiamen, and some major provincial capitals in the interior
-Third tier: Large cities in the interior, including many provincial capitals
-Fourth tier: County seats and smaller cities, though in the Chinese context, they may still have a population of 1-4 million.
Another way to look at it, used to be popular in the expat community:
-First tier: Has tons of international brands and Shake Shack, Burger King, Starbuck's, McD's, KFC
-Second tier: Has Starbuck's, McD's, KFC
-Third tier: Has McD's, KFC
-Fourth tier: Only has KFC
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The Kiel Institute's account of spending/support for Ukraine only starts from February 2022, not from 2014. So they're not wrong, they just don't start from back in 2014. But what does the US government itself say about its support for Ukraine? Quote from the US State Department website, March 4, 2025, entitled 'U.S. Security Cooperation with Ukraine':
"To date, we have provided $66.5 billion in military assistance since Russia launched its premeditated, unprovoked, and brutal full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, and approximately $69.2 billion in military assistance since Russia’s initial invasion of Ukraine in 2014. We have now used the emergency Presidential Drawdown Authority on 55 occasions since August 2021 to provide Ukraine military assistance totaling approximately $31.7 billion from DoD stockpiles."
So, in fact, the EU is NOT way behind, but on par with the US on assistance to Ukraine.
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@AlphaCovid2020 "how bought raw material became the solution to world enviromental?"
I have no idea, but that isn't the issue I have. In fact, I don't care about Nickel at all. My issue is with the commenters who claim that the EU is somehow unfair, or colonialist. It is neither of those things. It is a simple trade dispute which Indonesia could have had with any country, over any mineral or commodity. There's nothing more to it.
Now, some commenters have said that because it is the EU, that makes it inherently colonialist, or evil, or a 'power play', because the EU is a large economic power, and because some (but far from all) EU countries were colonial powers in the past. And certainly there is a power differential here. While Indonesia is smaller than the EU, it is by no means a small economy. But as much as we would like to see every country, big and small, treated equally, it is clear that that is never going to happen. This is a big reason the EU was established to begin with. So many EU members are tiny economies that would never get a fair shake in trade negotiations, but teaming up as a large group, we have much more power. ASEAN could do this, and should do this. You will have so much power in the world if you turn ASEAN into a real economic organization and give it real powers. You will be much better off when negotiating with China, or the EU, or the US, or India (in the future). This is a good thing, not a bad thing.
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@tenshoneyskin4500 "EU countries, have banned indonesian palm oil distribution".
The EU has NOT banned the import of palm oil, but it is phasing out the use of palm oil as fuel. It continues to import large amounts of palm oil from both Indonesia and Malaysia and other countries, about 5 million tons per year. The EU is continuing to use palm oil for all the traditional uses: soap, detergent, skin lotion, ice cream, microwave popcorn, etc. and this will almost certainly continue for years to come.
As for EU hypocrisy, I certainly agree when it comes to talking about habitat destruction. Europe has mostly destroyed all its natural environment centuries ago, and is only now working to rebuild it. So yes, it is hypocritical for Europeans to criticize other countries for destroying natural forests, when that is exactly what we have already done, and also when we want to buy the produce from those destroyed forests. We are in agreement there.
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@naguoning "Of course in China BYD is slapping VW." Not quite. VW and BYD sales are neck and neck for 2023, with each having sold just about 3 million vehicles, including both EV and gas cars.
I live in Shanghai, and we certainly see a lot of Chinese EVs, incl. BYD, but there are also still a lot of the old brands being sold: VW, BMW, Toyota, GM, Hyundai, etc. These are all popular and respected brands in China, and people like to buy them (still). There is no indication that Chinese people have suddenly decided to reject western brands.
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@sunmanyi3265 Not, not only the president, but also the legislature. After all, both houses have to approve laws, and most policies are also laws (except for the aspects that the president can directly control).
As for 'oligarchs', or private companies, they have their own interests and they will try their best to persuade govt. to favor their interests. So will labor unions, and everybody else. Businesses have a lot more money, but the rest of us have a lot more people.
Policies where Biden and Trump differ: Immigration, trade, tax, environmental protection, international relations. If you follow the news, these differences should certainly have stuck in your mind.
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Generally speaking, most modern innovations have gone towards greater convenience for users: Household electronics, cars, Google search, online music and video, etc. If it helps you save time, helps you relax, you'll want it. That is certainly an argument in favor of electric scooters, AI and drones.
Lab grown meat may well become successful, but it will not replace the meat that is grown on an animal's body. You just can't replicate the flavor of 'real' meat, not least because different cuts of beef taste different, and different breeds of cattle taste different, and different ages of cattle at slaughter make the meat taste different. A can of pineapple slices cannot really replace a real, fresh, ripe pineapple.
Health monitoring tech on your body may become very common, especially if they provide more information. Once they can approximate real diagnoses of a variety of diseases they will probably become ubiquitous.
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"traumas of western imperialism". I find it odd that no countries ever seem to be traumatized by Persian, Japanese, Chinese, Russian/Soviet, Inca, Mayan, Mongolian, Khmer or Arab imperialism. No countries in Europe seem to be traumatized by German, Roman, Polish or French imperialism. Also, most of Brazil's population are the colonizers themselves. Are they traumatized by themselves?
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Hey Bob, I'm in Shanghai under lock-down. Generally speaking, people set up 'shopping groups' online within the community. Food can be delivered, but due to lack of personnel, they only accept bulk deliveries. As an example, I volunteered for a shipment of fresh vegetables a few days ago. We ordered 90+ boxes of mixed vegetables. It took 2 days to get all buyers together and collect money, then 2 days before the goods were delivered. My volunteering consisted of receiving and distributing the goods together with two other residents. We all had to suit up in protective clothing and all boxes were disinfected. It took about an afternoon.
There are shopping groups for all sorts of things: Toilet paper, soft drinks, meat, condiments, etc. My community is 99.7% Chinese, so we don't expect bulk buys of anything Western (butter, coffee, cream, cheese, etc).
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@johnsamu Oh, they had stairs and railings and everything, even back then. While we didn't climb Huashan, we did climb Emei Shan, and it already had all the tourist trappings back then: Stairs, hotels, restaurants, food stalls, convenience stores, even people who would carry you up sitting in a chair, for a fee. Yes, in 1988.
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Re. Rahm Emanuel:
1) We know him as campaign manager during Obama's initial run for president in 2008, and as Mayor of Chicago, and in both jobs he was known to be quite, er, outspoken. So it could just be his personality coming out.
2) I am not one for conspiracy theories, but it is possible that the new Biden admin said "Let's have our own wolf warrior. Not in China, but in a nearby country that is known for having a contentious relationship with China, and then let him rip". It's better to have the US ambassador in China be the 'good cop', developing a friendly relationship, and the 'bad cop' in nearby Japan, spouting mad criticisms. It seems to work well so far, and I'm not sure China knows what to do about it.
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@mascara1777 Fair point, but she lived through the Korean War, the Moon landing, the Cold War, the Cuban missile crisis, the Biafra Civil War and famine, the Vietnam War, the Chinese Cultural Revolution and later Reform and Opening, the Hip Hop 'revolution', the crack epidemic and urban blight, the Ethiopian famine and Live Aid in the 80s, The end of the Soviet Union, the fall of the Berlin Wall. Maybe she just forgot about all those events.
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A: The NYT article does not attribute the surge in electricity use primarily to EVs, but to the growth in data centers and crypto currency mining, both of which require a significant amount of energy. However, EVs do make some contribution, and soon, home heating will, too, as more homes switch to heat pumps.
B: EVs or not, electricity use will continue to rise, essentially forever. We will never quench our thirst for more energy, because energy is a crucial ingredient in helping our economy grow and will continue that way forever. Therefore, as we look into the future, we will be best served by energy that is highly scalable, and with a reduction in cost the more we scale up, like any other product. This is only possible if we use a resource that is virtually unlimited, and (almost) free. For now, fossil fuels are fine, but at some stage they will become too expensive. Nuclear energy is fine, too, but also very expensive. Time will tell what sources will be dominant in 20 years.
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13:00 A little correction: It says Shanghai has subsided 2 meters in the last two decades. This is not correct. Land subsidence IS a problem in Shanghai, starting in the early 20th century, when Shanghai's industrialization began. It became most serious in the 50s and 60s and mitigation efforts began, primarily by pumping rainwater back into the ground and restricting use of ground water.
In the last two decades, Shanghai has seen average subsidence of 5.5 mm per year, or a total of 110 mm (appx. 4.3 inches).
Nowadays, we get most of our tap water from the Yangzi River. A large reservoir was built in the delta back in the 00s, if I remember correctly. The reservoir allows sediment to clear, after which water is pumped to treatment stations before being released into the pipes. Technically, Shanghai's tap water is drinkable, but partly due to old pipes, it doesn't taste very good, and most people buy drinking water in 4-gallon jugs and only use tap water for showering, tooth brushing, etc.
(I have lived in Shanghai since 1996, and while that in itself is not evidence of anything, I have followed local developments closely).
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I'm going to posit that food waste is not a problem:
1) Throwing out a head of lettuce or a tomato is no different from an oak tree shedding its leaves and acorns. Both are plants that eventually decompose. Throwing out a half-eaten steak is the same as a rat dying in a ditch.
2) Wasted food still gets eaten, just not by humans. It gets eaten by other mammals, or insects, or bacteria and fungi.
3) Giving food to those who need it already happens. You give your food to your loved ones: Friends, children, etc. when you eat with them. That's the purpose of buying food in the first place.
4) Giving food to strangers who need it is not so easy. You will keep food at home as long as it has value to you. Say some deli ham, you keep it until it turns bad. Once it's bad, nobody else wants to eat it. Same with old eggs, or old wheat flour. Shelters can't use expired food because it has the potential to make people sick.
5) Giving excess food to people in other parts of the world is only a good idea in places going through famine or severe food shortages. Generally speaking, food should not be given to developing countries, because it disrupts their own food economy: Free food may take away the livelihood of farmers who need the income from selling their crops on the market. Thus, free food can make life worse for people on the bottom of society. People living with malnutrition generally live in areas far from towns and roads, so getting the food to them is virtually impossible.
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@recondax Sure, you are free to use any number you prefer. Regarding basing population numbers on salt consumption, you would first need to know how much salt the average person eats. I don't think there's any data on that, and it might even be impossible to get such data.
If we use your preferred numbers, then we have to use them in other fields, too. That means China's per capita GDP is not $13,000 but $20,000. It also means that China's Total Fertility Rate is not 1.1, but closer to 1.7, higher than even the US, and that would mean a much slower population decline than currently assumed.
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"We have entered 6th mass extinction phase already".
'The 6th mass extinction', also known as the Holocene Extinction event started already more than 10,000 years ago and is ongoing. Humans have brought species to extinction all that time, not only in recent years. What is different now is that we're actually doing quite a lot about it. Up until about 100 years ago, there were no nature reserves, national parks, or protected areas anywhere in the world. No one cared about species going extinct. There were no animal protection efforts, no WWF, no Greenpeace. India did not have a Ministry of Environment, there was no Wildlife Institute of India, no Forest Survey of India, no protection of tigers, or elephants, or any other species.
India and other countries now have a great focus on renewable energy and environmental protection. It will probably get worse before it gets better, but it will definitely get better, slowly but surely, as long as we all work together on the problems.
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@cowubl "why nato bombed yugoslavia, afghanistan, iraq?"
-Yugoslavia: Under UN mandate, not an action initiated by NATO.
-Afghanistan: NATO Article 5: When one country is attacked (USA in the case, perhaps you remember September 11th, 2001), all other members will come to its assistance.
-Iraq: Not a NATO action. As you may remember, two large NATO members, France and Germany, refused to participate.
-In case you want to add Libya, that was also a UN mandated action, initiated by The Arab League, but European countries did the actual bombing.
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@argus-r1j "you seem to think it's unnecessary to transport fruits through this train". That is a misunderstanding of my position. Certainly the train is excellent for transporting fruit. My point is that the high cost of building the train isn't quite justified by the time or money saved by transporting fruit on it.
Let me give an analogy: Every day you take the bus to and from work. One day you decide to spend 3 million on a Ferrari. "This Ferrari is great", you say, "it saves me 10 minutes on my commute to and from work". My question is: Was it worth the cost of the Ferrari?
Jiangxi, yes, I rode my bicycle through there on my first bicycle trip: Wuyuan, JingDeZhen, NanChang, Zhangshu, XinYu, AnFu, YongXin, JingGangShan. Very nice trip, spicy noodles with pickles.
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Very interesting video. I suppose the collection of these sculls is not that different from a modern-day hunter hanging up heads of deer and moose. Why do modern-day hunters do that? Why don't they hang up sculls of rabbits and pheasant and pigeon? I know several hunters, and to them, killing a deer is hard, it's something you don't do every week, or even every year. Hunters hang these heads up to celebrate their kill, to show others what good hunters they are. They take considerable pride in them.
So, we can then put ourselves in the shoes (did they have shoes?) of these Neanderthal people. Their lives would have been precarious, it would have been a constant struggle to get enough food for the whole band/tribe. Killing a large animal like a woolly rhino or an ox would have meant ample food for the whole band for days on end. It could have meant the difference between death and survival for some of the children. In addition, these are very scary, dangerous animals. The Aurochs was a huge animal, it probably killed many hunters in its struggle for life. It may have been much more dangerous than a Grizzly. Imagine yourself with 4-5 friends using sharpened sticks having to kill a Grizzly for survival. You have to do it, even though you know it could end your life.
Then, once you have succeeded in this major hunt, is it any surprise that your band would place extra importance on that kill? Is it any surprise that you would display those skulls as a sign of your greatness as a hunter?
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@thomaszhang3101 "COVID had little effect on the fabs and did not cause any noticeable change in chip production."
Most auto manufacturers cancelled their chip orders because they worried that the lock-downs would mean lower sales for a long time. Once they changed their mind, it was too late.
"America blocked everyone from selling high end chips to Huawei, effectively killing the company. "
Yes, that is correct, but the chips made just went to other phone manufacturers, like Oppo, Vivo, OnePlus, XiaoMi, etc., etc. So the total number of chips made for the phone industry didn't go down.
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@harrysmith8515 " it is better to focus on comparing one party vs two party". Ok, let's do that:
-One party states: China, North Korea, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Myanmar, Singapore, Brunei.
-Two or more parties: Japan, South Korea, Mongolia, Taiwan, Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia.
All these countries have such different economies and levels of success that you cannot draw a conclusion based solely on one- or two/many parties. Here's a better comparison:
-States with open economies and free markets: Japan, South Korea, Mongolia, China, Taiwan, Philippines, Cambodia, Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Brunei.
-States with closed, or planned economies, or strong market barriers: North Korea, Myanmar, (up until 1978) China, (up until 1982) Vietnam, (up until 1992) Mongolia, (up until the 90s) Cambodia, (up until the 90s) Laos, (up until the 90s) Indonesia.
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Zaydan Alfariz "Most of the European HSR are upgrades". No, they're not. In order to make an HSR line, you need to rebuild the entire track to accommodate the high speeds.
"And it's not even the same as Chinese tech". Considering almost all of the technology used in Chinese HSR was bought/transferred from European companies (Alstom, Siemens, Bombardier) and some Japanese companies, we can conclude that yes, it is literally European technology, from the cars, to the tracks, to the signal systems, to the power systems. China has since built on top of that and now own most of the new IP themselves.
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@YourSherlock So many people have replied, I can't remember everything you wrote.
Indonesia has a big population, yes, but we're talking about the Jakarta-Bandung line. A person going from Banda Aceh to Medan will not use this line. A person going from Yogyakarta to Surabaya will not use this line. Only people going from Jakarta to Bandung will use this line. Therefore, the 250 million number is irrelevant.
The 30,000/day is not 'gas lighting from indonesian businessmen'. It's an estimate from Kereta Cepat Indonesia China, the company that BUILT THE LINE! In the original feasibility study, the number of riders was estimated to be 60,000/day.
And no, 'most of the 250 million' do not live in Jakarta. Along the line, including Jakarta and Bandung, there are about 35-50 million people.
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@frogger832 Yes, I agree that is a good point (about power differentials), but it seems to me that it is those with power (in a university setting) who can use that power to put forward controversial opinions. Someone with less power might be censured immediately.
The concern expressed here is that Amy Wax will use her power to punish students who disagree with her. But I don't think that argument holds water, because even if she had not expressed her view, she might still have held that view, and she might still have discriminated against some students, and nobody would have known why. So then we're back at square one.
I think we need controversial opinions, we need intellectual push-back, we need our world view to be challenged, that's how we advance society. And we need to challenge the views of others. Otherwise, we'd be back to when the Church decided what we were allowed to think, believe and say.
If it is indeed true what Dilshad says that Amy Wax has been asked to debate this issue, but refused, then that is a problem. But it is a problem that can be solved by publicly declaring her a coward who is too weak to defend her views.
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@frogger832 Yes, I would certainly support an investigation, but the problem is in proving racial/ethnic bias. But it's a law school, there should be plenty of experts available in that regard.
"I dont exactly know why you are giving her such a wide berth". It's because that's what I do with everybody. Now, I should mention I'm a little older, in my 50s, and I wasn't always so willing to give people the benefit of the doubt. But nowadays I'm happy to listen to all sorts of wacky, even extreme beliefs (at least once), whether they are politically left or right, religious, social, conspiratorial, etc. However, I never believe anything at face value and always try to preserve a good amount of skepticism. The wilder the ideas, the more skeptical I become.
In addition, an idea such as that held by Amy Wax was new to me, so I had to think it over for a while to develop a good counter-argument. Of course I could have dismissed it out of hand as plain racism, but that's not an argument against her position. That's just a label.
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@HemantKumar-id3jg But I never claimed that India and the West would become allies. I think most people in the west are aware of this. India is a large country that can develop its own strategic significance. But I don't think India is fundamentally hostile toward the west, certainly not in the way China is and has been since 1949. We've always known that China is hostile to the west, partly for ideological reasons, and partly because China wants more control of East Asia, where there happens to be some important allies of the west.
We recognize that India probably wants to be the dominant power in the Indian Ocean, and will want to exert some influence over parts of South East Asia, East Africa, and the Middle East, but that doesn't have to be a problem for the west, as long as that influence is not directly damaging to us.
Additionally, India is a democratic society with lively, pluralistic public debate (unlike China). That is something we can understand and sympathize with, even if the opinions and ideals of Indians might be very different from ours. Frankly, I just feel much more comfortable with a powerful India than with a powerful China (or a powerful Pakistan, for that matter).
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@easternrazor3749 You mean in the Donbass region? Yes, admittedly, I have not been following that closely. I thought there was a stalemate between the two sides, both lobbing grenades and bombs at each other. Both dug into ditches that they defend.
Essentially, that is a civil war, like in Ethiopia, or Myanmar, or Syria, or Libya, or Yemen.
But to your statement about the media hiding stuff. For people who really want to know the details, there are other ways to get information than just watching the evening news. Not everybody is interested in what goes on outside their little neighborhood.
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@wang06411 No, let me educate you, even though you should really reject ignorance and educate yourself:
-The original waste water from Fukushima was full of very dangerous and radioactive isotopes. I imagine you know this.
-Over the last 10 years, a massive operation overseen by the UN IAEA has sent all that waste water through many chemical cleaning processes that removed all the most dangerous substances. This is a time consuming process, which is why they can only release the waste water now.
-The only isotope that cannot be removed through chemical processes is Tritium, a kind of hydrogen. So that is what is left in the waste water: Tritium.
-High concentrations of Tritium can still be very dangerous, so they have diluted the waste water until it reached low, safe levels.
-Additionally, almost half the Tritium has decayed to other elements. The half life of Tritium is 12.3 years.
-The concentration of Tritium in the Fukushima waste water is so low (especially after further dilution) that it poses no danger to the environment. Seafood from the sea around Japan and in the Pacific has shown no dangerous levels of radiation. Tests have been made regularly over the last 10 years.
-As a liquid, tritium moves easily through the environment just like water. Tritium occurs naturally in the environment in very low concentrations.
-Sources of tritium include commercial nuclear reactors. Tritium may be released as steam or water from these facilities. This happens from nuclear energy plants around the world. It is not by mistake or because the nuclear plant is faulty, but is a natural part of making nuclear energy.
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@canto_v12 Nowadays, most candidates get the majority of their campaign funds from small, individual donors, but of course, political organizations can contribute, too. Nevertheless, there are numerous examples of candidates losing to others who had less money to play with. In addition, people like Bernie Sanders got hardly any corporate donations, and he made it very far.
It is legitimate to critique the American campaign system, but it should be done rationally, and not simply be pronounced as some kind of conspiracy. If anything, in countries where the next leader is chosen by the previous leaders without public input, the system is much closer to the definition of a conspiracy: A few people getting together with a plan to decide the next leader.
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@merrick6484 But you're not saying anything different from what the guy in the program said. China's property market is in a major crisis. As you say, prices are falling, but sales are also falling. Homes that people already paid for are not being completed. There are roughly 30 million empty apartments on the market. Developers are struggling, local governments are having problems making an income from land sales, and are struggling to find money to pay for their expenses. In some localities, local governments are telling their SOEs to buy the land so the government can get an income. These are all real issues, very serious issues that weigh down on the national economy.
"Houses are for living, not for speculation". Yes, but all those people who have bought a house that is still not complete and that they cannot move in to, how does that help them? And those who speculated in buying many houses, they still own those houses, many of which are still empty.
You write that the government reduced inflation, but China didn't have a problem with high inflation before, so why would it be necessary to bring it down?
Frankly speaking, your comments sound like something 阿Q would say: Every defeat is really a victory. If you're Chinese, you must know 阿Q and the author 鲁迅.
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@jadenhau "More and more people are living in poverty". According to Eurostat data, poverty has remained relatively stable, though the most recent data are from 2022.
"during the last election the unthinkable happened". What, nobody got elected? That would have been unthinkable. Or is it rather that the people who got elected are at odds with your political views? News flash! That's what happens in a democracy, you don't always get your way.
"they are becoming less and less happy". Of the top ten countries on the World Happiness Report, 6 are happier than in 2019, while 4 are unhappier than in 2019.
I may 'sound' ignorant, but the empirical data clearly shows that you are, in fact, the ignorant one. Feel free to do more research going forward, rather than simply depending on your own 'feeling'.
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@royalroyal2210 The vote of no confidence was fully in accordance with the Ukrainian constitution, and was taken by the democratically elected members of parliament. After the vote happened, Yanukovich left.
Yes, there are some similarities with Jan. 6 on the street: Large crowds protesting violently against the government. In both cases, the legislature took the action that was lawfully theirs to take.
In theory, the Ukrainian government could have then stepped down and called for new elections, but instead, the president decided to leave the country. It's very likely he felt he was in grave danger, but that is what he did. Was it somewhat chaotic? Yes. Was it also lawful? Yes. In fact, this kind of action happens on occasion in other European countries, even in recent decades, but it is my understanding that under the American system, this option is not available. The Ukrainian political system is more similar to the European system, but less so to the American system.
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@KBellate Many interesting points, but let's go back to the topic: " what is the point of this decoupling". As I see it, it is the attempt among the world's different economic and industrial power centers to preserve jobs, industries, technologies that are important to them, and to preserve a high level of wealth and social development. Actually, the idea is not to decouple completely, but to de-risk, i.e., to try to ensure that no single country can hurt you disproportionally, by spreading out the risk over several different countries. Another important consideration is also who you do business with: Doing business with your family or your best friends can make you more secure; doing business with people who have expressed hostility toward you, or who have said they want you down, that is more risky. So more business with friends, less business with those who dislike you.
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@DccAnh "the lack of western tourist affect no one." That's true in economic terms, and this has been the case since domestic tourism really took off in 1999.
However, the question is what other effects the meeting of different cultures have. Sure, you can choose to be isolationist, and China has done this many times in history, but it always seems to end badly. Tang Dynasty was open, Song Dynasty closed down. Ming started more open, but quickly closed down, Qing started closed, then was forced open by foreign countries, then China closed down in 1949, before opening again in 1978. We all know the effects.
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@drdiabeetus4419 "they could be taking the real numbers and inflating them to the same degree as the population". Yes, that is true, but there are some numbers that are verifiable, among them trade figures. Those figures come to light on both sides of the trade equation. Both the buying country and the selling country keeps track of this. So we can be pretty sure that China's trade figures are relatively accurate.
So if GDP is only half of what the Chinese say, but trade figures are what we see, that would mean that China's annual GDP growth is twice what we're being told, ie. 10% rather than 5%. China had a trade surplus of $1 trillion (verifiable numbers) in 2024, so if their GDP is only $9.5 trillion, it would mean growth is 10.5%.
Many other figures are verifiable: Agricultural imports, oil and gas imports, etc. If China's population is so low, they would be consuming twice the amount of calories/capita we are being told, and burn twice the amount of fuel/capita we're being told, both of which would indicate a very wealthy economy.
You simply cannot make up your own numbers without it skewing the picture somewhere else. You MUST be able to make all the numbers fit into a bigger equation.
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-"New Productive Forces" = A focus on high-tech industries like EVs, PV panels, wind power generators, batteries, AI, biotech, etc.
-"High Quality Growth" = Supporting growth in the areas mentioned above, not supporting growth in gaming, education, social media, APPs in general, entertainment, life-style services and products.
-"Chinese-Style Modernization" = Whatever the Party says it is.
-"Further Comprehensive Deepening Reforms" = Move away from free-style private sector growth and into more state-directed development.
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@calvinblue894 "on the overall..the government still wins..and have most of the say". Yes, I agree with you that the PAP has abused the law to stay in power since independence. Your democracy still needs some improvement, but at the base it has the tools for change. And let's not forget that apparently, most Singaporeans prefer to vote PAP. It's not a terrible party, but not perfect, either.
I'm familiar with Amos Yee. And generally, I will agree with you that Singapore has some of that authoritarian style we see here in China. It's still better, though, kinda half way between the Chinese style and the Taiwanese style.
You make a lot of references to social problems in North America. Those problems are real. I'm not from there, though, but from Europe. I'm quite happy with the way European society functions. It's pretty nice, but I also think Singaporean society is pretty nice. A well functioning society.
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"fields that can contribute to world peace, help fight diseases, save climate change by employing advanced green technology etc."
This sounds very nice, but can you give an example of any space mission from any country from any time period that has ever helped achieve any of these goals?
I just don't see any evidence that space travel, and doing experiments in space, can do anything for medical research, world peace, or the climate, and I don't think anybody has seriously suggested that this is even possible.
Space travel is primarily about space, living in space, traveling in space. It has little to do with earth.
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@DuxSupremus "So China is already cultivating more land than the US is. "
I think you may be misreading the numbers:
USA
Total area (metric, I'm European): 9.8 million sqkm. of which 16.8% is arable. Of the arable land 44.5% is farmland, which gives
Arable: 1.64 million sqkm
Farmed: 0.73 million sqkm
China
9.6 million sqkm. of which 11.3% is arable. Of the arable land 54.7% is farmland
Arable: 1.08 million sqkm
Farmed: 0.59 million sqkm
So the total farmed area in China is 80% the size of that in the US.
In any case, the population of China has always been very large, because even in ancient times, they were able to feed a very large population. This is due to the very fertile soil and good climate conditions in China. The US obviously also has excellent soil, but not quite as good climate. Yet, the US could easily feed a population twice or three times its current size.
As for China, 1.4 billion is probably surpassing the point at which the land is not longer able to feed its population, so there's no doubt they have problems.
Communists have always had an obsession with self-sufficiency. They were very focused on that in USSR, and today in N. Korea, China, Cuba, etc. There's a certain level of paranoia inherent in communism, especially in relation to food, as if they are constantly worried that other countries will not want to trade with them.
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Most recent tests of the Fukushima waste water, monitored by the UN IAEA, shows the radiation level to be 63 becquerels of Tritium per liter.
The World Health Organization recommends an upper limit of 100 becquerels per liter of drinking water. Therefore, the waste water is RELATIVELY safe, but not completely safe. There is no such thing as 'completely safe'.
There is background radiation everywhere in our world; even 'pure' drinking water that you buy in a shop has a small amount of radiation in it, as does all the food you eat, and all the air you breathe. A very small number of people die because of that. Nothing we can do about that; it is just a part of existing in the world.
The Fukushima waste water could, in theory, be drunk without problems. But again, if one million people each drink one glass of it, straight from the storage tanks, probably one person will die from it, the rest will be just fine. Once it gets diluted in the ocean, that problem is basically solved.
The risk that seafood should be contaminated from this is basically zero.
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@sleepingtoss Yes, Zeihan has said many times that China has overestimated the population. This is based on the Wisconsin researcher Yi FuXian, who has written books with this claim. But there is no real evidence that that should be true.
By 2050, the Chinese work force will be 65% of the population, as opposed to 70% today. In total numbers: 980 m today, 750 m in 2050.
But that is not what Zeihan is saying. He is making two major claims: 1: By 2050, the population will be halved (This is simply not possible, barring natural disasters). 2: By the end of this decade, China will seize to be a functioning state. That is also a ridiculous claim. Worst case, China's economy may be shrinking, but even that is highly unlikely.
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Hmm, could be anything: Flu, Appendicitis, food poisoning, lightning strike, Ebola, accidentally superglued himself to the floor, AIDS, Panda attack, violent assault by wife, cold, eating too many 蟹粉小笼包.
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"the superiority of western model." It's science, not politics. If you think physics, chemistry, biology, all of which were first developed in the west, if you think they are somehow not valid exactly because they were developed in the west, then feel free to reject them and try something else. Physics, chemistry, biology work, not because they are western, but because there is a real-world evidentiary basis behind them. And who knows, maybe it was just a coincidence that they were first developed in the west; there is certainly nothing particularly western about any of these sciences.
Re. the Nobel Prize: If you are so resentful of the Nobel Prize, why even mention it? Sounds like you are full of envy.
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@BegissoR What else? Supermarkets are full? That's great, you can buy food. Oil and gas prices up? Also great, but what if your customers won't buy your oil and gas? We're only at the beginning, I think. There is a growing feeling in the west that we can no longer have a reasonable relationship with Russia, in trade, culture, diplomacy, anything. People here want to cut all ties, forever. It's just too much trouble to engage with Russia, so why even try.
Perhaps relations can be improved, someday in the distant future. We'll see.
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It looks like a perfectly fine aircraft, but in one respect it underperforms: Range.
A320neo: 3,500 nautical miles
B737MAX: 3,500 nautical miles
C919: 2,250 nautical miles
It will still be attractive to some airlines, but the range limits the variety of routes it can operate on, and airlines look at that, too.
From Beijing, the A320neo and B737MAX can cover all of East Asia, South East Asia, South Asia, Central Asia, and even go all the way to Dubai or Moscow. The C919 can get to Bangkok or Phuket, but not KL or Singapore, it can go to New Delhi, but not Mumbai or Sri Lanka, it can go to Astana and Tashkent, but not Ashgabat, to Omsk, but not Yekaterinburg.
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@bobcharles7716 No, it's a conclusion made by people who don't have much knowledge of Chinese history or of world history. Just one point: If you do not engage with the rest of the world, how can you know if you're stronger, and why would it matter? Comparative strength only matters if there is engagement, whether it is cultural, military, trade or otherwise. Apart from short trips by Zheng He, China rarely went outside East Asia until the 20th century.
There is no doubt China is an illustrious culture with a proud and rich history, but 95% is putting it too high. Think of all the troubles starting long before the Han Dynasty, with invasions from the north, invasions from Tibet, and numerous internal uprisings, again, and again, and again. Splitting up and reuniting, again and again. Like other countries, China has had its problems for thousands of years. Now, China is on the upswing again, but the world is a different place than it was before.
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@wl6020 Ok, fair point. The Chinese Bureau of Statistics conducts a census every 10 years, last one in 2020. If you look at the census results, which you can find on Bureau of Statistics website, you can see how many women were born each year.
We also know from The Chinese Bureau of Statistics that the average age of marriage for women in China is around 26/27.
Based on this information, we can easily find out how many women can get married over the next 20+ years.
The number of women reaching the age of 26 will decline to its lowest in 2029, when only around 6.2 million women will turn 26. After that, the number of women increases (again, based on census results) until it will reach a peak in 2038, with 9 million women reaching age 26. Those 9 million women are currently 11 years old and have been counted in the last census.
After 2038, the number of women will decline rapidly over the next several years until 2046, when only 5.8 million women reach age 26. After that, the census can no longer help us, but The Chinese Bureau of Statistics does sample censuses every year, counting about 1% of the population. Based on that info, we can estimate that by 2048, there will only be around 4.5 million women reaching age 26.
I hope this clears up any questions.
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Sahra Wagenknecht's party, The Left, holds 5.3% of seats in the German Bundestag (parliament).
Sahra Wagenknecht is a good example of the 'horseshoe theory' of political partisanship: The further people/parties get from the political center, both to the left and the right, the closer their political positions align with those of their political opposites. Like a horseshoe, the ends meet.
Sahra Wagenknecht, while being on the socialist left, shares several political and social views with those on the political far right: Opposition to NATO, in favor of Russia, opposition to EU's support of Ukraine, opposition to Israel, opposition to immigration, opposition to the German Covid-19 response (incl. vaccination policy). While these are all legitimate views, it's interesting that two political groupings that, on paper, are so far apart still have so much in common.
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@Diegomkz " a big part of industrialized countries consume things that are not necessary". Yes, there is no doubt that we in the developed world overconsume to a large degree. I agree with that. And I suspect that many of the people who decry overconsumption also happily order a bunch of clothes on Shein on a regular basis. Nothing against women because of that, but it shows that our desires often override our more thoughtful plans.
I used to be part of a large cycling community, many of whom took pride in their zero-carbon transportation mode. And yet, many of them also bragged about the 4, 6, 8 bicycles they owned, completely needlessly.
If you want to fight overconsumption, you have to fight the human desire for admiration, respect, love. People can't help themselves.
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@yashwardhansable5187 Your example addresses inequality. I'm discussing growth, not inequality. You can have growth and equality, or growth and inequality, or no growth and either.
However, let's use your example of country B, where people all earn $300, but with no growth. Every year they make $300.-
Country B imports some (maybe just a few) goods from another country, country C. C has growth, C has technological development and they make new smart phones every year. Eventually, their phones cost more than $300 and people in B can no longer afford them. B starts falling further and further behind. Eventually, B becomes an underdeveloped country, compared to C, and falls into perpetual poverty.
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@harveytheparaglidingchaser7039 The sixth mass extinction, a.k.a. 'The Holocene Extinction' has been under way for 15,000 years and includes extinction of megafauna done by our ancient ancestors (woolly mammoth, etc.) and the deliberate extinction by hunters in the 18th and 19th centuries of several species, the Dodo, for example (the flightless bird, not the YouTube channel). We became aware of this problem over 50 years ago, which is why the WWF was established. In recent decades we have become much better at mitigating and preventing the extinction of further species. There are large inter-governmental initiatives underway to prevent species loss, something that has never happened before, and countries across the world are working to protect endangered animals. Yes, there is still species loss, but it's not always due to human activity. Yes, we have a problem, I recognize that, but I am optimistic that we're moving in the right direction.
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Re. The AI wave: It is possible that one or two AI giants will eventually emerge, but it is equally possible that it will all fizzle out like so often before: Many years ago, when media in the US started talking about nano-tech and nano materials, the word 'nano' suddenly started popping up everywhere in China. Supermarket shelves would be stocked with nano-toothpaste, nano-shampoo and nano-socks, and more companies would start subsidiaries with the word nano in their name. That eventually all came to nothing. Later, when Bill Gates mentioned the 'Internet of Things', everything became about IoT for a number of years, and now we no longer hear much about that, either.
In the end, the success of Chinese AI ChatGPT, at least as a consumer application, will depend on whether they can monetize it, and whether they can make it popular. Time will tell, but I am a little skeptical.
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Very nice video, but it is an exaggeration to call it a 'luxury wardrobe' for the following reasons:
-The wood used is from the Paulownia tree, a very fast growing tree, the wood from which is cheap, soft wood, mostly used for making wooden crates. This wood is not distinguished by its strength, color or grain pattern.
-The technique used in this video is basic, semi-industrial cabinet making, not even close to the high level of craftmanship associated with Japanese master cabinet makers.
Is the result a useable chest of drawers? Yes, certainly. Is it 'luxury' or fine craftmanship? No, not even close.
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@nooonanoonung6237 Yes, it is a trend, mostly because people are more wealthy than 50 years ago (and 100 years ago, etc.) while at the same time, food is cheaper due to the large-scale industrialization of food production.
Candy used to be a rare treat, but now we can eat candy every day, if we want to. Snacking on chips and other carbs is common.
Our lifestyle choices are what make us slim or fat. I gained 27 pounds during Covid. Didn't really notice the change until one day in April 2023 I couldn't fit my clothes. So I designed my own diet, and in the 10 months since then I've lost 25 pounds. Wasn't even that hard, though it did involve eating around 400 pounds of carrots during that period (3 large carrots a day, every day). Fortunately, I like carrots, and they're cheap.
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@qwkl2450 Re. video games, as I remember, there were several explanations or reasons given: It takes time away from studies, it's bad for the kids' physical health, it fosters a bad national culture (the govt. wants people to appreciate traditional culture). I think those were the main concerns.
Re. freedom of speech, yes, in private you can say what you want. Online, you may get censored or your account shut down, and if you persist, you could be arrested and charged with "Picking quarrels and provoking trouble" (寻衅滋事), which is a crime in China. Social stability is very high priority in China, which is another way of saying that you're better off conforming.
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@qwkl2450 First, I'm not Chinese, I just live in China. (I'm from northern Europe)
1.) My view is that the Zero-Covid Policy is a mistake. My view is that locking people up in their communities is more harmful than it's useful. And certainly, in my community, many people agreed with me. Those people were all Shanghainese. The Shanghai government was not interested in a long lock-down, the order came from Beijing (and you-know-who). I wouldn't say it's evil, it's just wrong.
2.) We can certainly have a balance between freedom and stability, and most countries have such a balance. But all countries differ slightly in whether to emphasize a little more freedom, or a little more stability and I prefer a little more freedom even if it means the occasional street riot or crazy anti-government demonstration. Personally, I like the balance found in the Nordic countries, Singapore is fine, HK was very fine, Malaysia a little too strict, Thailand a case study in itself with a constant change between military coups and democracy. China is much, much too strict. Your view will differ, as will the views of everybody. As for 'strong government', I only want one that has the mandate of the people. Otherwise, 'strong' just means oppressive, like a father who beats his children and wife when they don't behave the way he wants.
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I have already made my position on the pandemic management clear: NO lockdowns, NO Zero-Covid policy, anywhere. As for Shanghai specifically, I think the Shanghai govt. was right and the central govt. was wrong. They should have let the virus run through the population, just like they've done in most other Asian countries. In the long run, that's the right way to go, in my opinion.
As for the US, I prefer our Nordic system with a good social safety net and our political system of representative democracy which usually results in coalition governments. USA has a different political and economic system, but I don't think it's oppressive, not even a little bit. I would say it emphasizes personal liberty and personal responsibility. That makes it more chaotic and potentially more dangerous, but also more free. Some people like that, others don't. Most Americans seem to like it. Those who don't are free to write articles criticizing the system, and they do that all the time, in all the big newspapers. Lots of freedom = lots of debate and disagreement.
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n ll I don't have a golden solution to make Laos develop faster, but we don't yet know if this railway line will make a big difference to economic growth.
Tourism is important to Laos, of course, including tourists from China. However, it should be mentioned that Yunnan, with a population about the same as Thailand, only sends 1/3 the amount of tourists to Laos.
Then there's hydro-power, which China and Thailand have also helped to develop, and forestry/timber, which both Vietnam and China are very interested in.
Generally, Laos should try to get into labor intensive manufacturing like all Asian countries have done in the early days. But those manufacturing bases require flat land which is mostly in the south, where the train doesn't go.
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I like John Stossel, but I think he's building a bit of a straw man here: I don't think many people will claim that electric cars will solve all environmental problems. There are other reasons to buy an e-vehicle, not least of which is the amazing acceleration and relatively low noise. From an environmental/climate perspective, it is true that some of the electricity may come from a gas powered plant, but it COULD also come from wind or solar. Your regular 95 octane gas cannot come from wind or solar. With respect to the emissions caused by manufacture of the cars, this should be seen in relation to the emissions caused by a regular car, not a pair of shoes.
Yes, those who claim that electric vehicles will solve all our carbon emission problems are clearly wrong, but how many of those people are there really? Our road to a more electrified society is still long, but we have already come far. Most railways worldwide are now electric as opposed to diesel. Nobody in the developed world uses kerosene lamps indoors and few heat their home using firewood, though that is always pretty comfortable and romantic. These developments, including the electric car, have happened incrementally over decades and they will continue to happen incrementally. And even those grumpy people who complain about it now will enjoy it when it happens; that I am sure of.
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4:30 "We take on images that we learn as children, to hierarchize people on the basis of their gender, skin color".
Well, this is one possible hypothesis to explain racism, one of several. It is not a hypothesis that evolutionary psychologists would agree with. On the contrary, fear, suspicion and dislike of 'the other', 'the outsider', 'the stranger' is built into us from birth as a mechanism for protection. Later in life, usually beginning around the onset of puberty, this can develop into racism, xenophobia, and other bigotry.
What we need to do is learn NOT to be suspicious or have antipathy towards out-group people. This can be learnt with relatively little effort, also beginning around puberty, but it needs to be learnt.
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1:03 Chemicals added: Monosodium Glutamate (MSG), Sodium Phosphate, spice extract.
-And why are they bad? MSG occurs naturally in lots of foods, including mushrooms and tomatoes. Sodium Phosphate is a leavening agent, just like baking soda. Spice extract is, well, spices.
It seems to me that there are certain chemicals we accept because we are used to them in our kitchen, like Sodium Chloride (salt) and Sodium Bicarbonate (baking soda), but if we are not familiar with their names, we think they are probably bad. They are chemicals!! Oh no! But all food is fundamentally made of chemicals.
Personally, I do not eat a lot of processed food, but that's because I like my food fresh, I like it simple and I don't enjoy eating crisps, Cheetos, and other snacks. But I just don't believe that eating processed foods (in moderation) is bad for me.
Almost all food, including the food we cook at home, is processed in some form. Cooking in itself makes your food processed. Cheese is processed (including 'processed cheese'), as is all forms of alcoholic drinks.
Eat food in moderation and variation and you'll be alright.
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@canto_v12 I'm just going to quote the ACLU (American Civil Liberties Union):
Do I need a permit?
-You don’t need a permit to march in the streets or on sidewalks, as long as marchers don’t obstruct car or pedestrian traffic. If you don’t have a permit, police officers can ask you to move to the side of a street or sidewalk to let others pass or for safety reasons.
-Certain types of events may require permits. These include a march or parade that requires blocking traffic or street closure; a large rally requiring the use of sound amplifying devices; or a rally over a certain size at most parks or plazas.
While certain permit procedures require submitting an application well in advance of the planned event, police can’t use those procedures to prevent a protest in response to breaking news events.
-Restrictions on the route of a march or sound equipment might violate the First Amendment if they are unnecessary for traffic control or public safety, or if they interfere significantly with effective communication to the intended audience.
-A permit cannot be denied because the event is controversial or will express unpopular views.
You live in the US where you enjoy all sorts of freedoms, but you are quite happy to deny those same freedoms to the people of HK, just because it 'seems necessary' to you from afar. HK worked very well with these freedoms, and now they're being strangled, newspapers closed, people imprisoned, just for speaking their mind.
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Richard Wolff sounds like he's addressing people without a high school education, or people who couldn't care less about what's going on in the world, or people who are, erh, differently abled. And why would those people listen to a professor talking about BRICS?
BRICS is mostly a talking club. They meet regularly and discuss issues of common interest. It is not an alliance, it is not a trade grouping, or a political grouping. The two biggest members, India and China, make up 75% of the group's total GDP and 85% of the total population. India and China do NOT have a good relationship and are unlikely to develop one in the next several years. Russia and China are sort of best buddies, and Brazil and South Africa are mostly members to get some trade benefits. And we shouldn't forget that South Africa, Brazil and India all have good relationships with the US, though by no means as allies.
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@Christmas12 Well, it's hard to say with certainty, but in my 20+ years in China, I have never heard anyone saying they were traumatized by colonization, whether it is western or Mongolian. Yes, there is resentment against the Japanese and to a much lesser degree against westerners, but resentment is not trauma, and in any case, that resentment is quite rare (some Europeans also have a bit of resentment against Germany, but it is rare).
Additionally, I also haven't heard of trauma from Indians, Malaysians, Singaporeans. Surprisingly, even the Vietnamese seem to have already moved on from American aggression and French colonization.
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@where2rage Yes, so disturbing, and hurtful. But the news piece says that the FBI is looking into this. For what purpose? If sending these texts is not illegal, why investigate?
For what it's worth, I'm guessing, and it's just a guess, that these texts were sent by young trolls, or shit posters, as they sometimes refer to themselves as, to get the reaction we see now. And then they sit at home, laughing, thinking 'haha, I can't believe I did such a crazy thing'.
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@bhaskarjyoti "80% is emitted by the developed countries". The combined 'West' (USA, Canada, EU, UK, Australia, NZ, Japan, S. Korea) emit 29% of CO2, so when you say 'developed countries', you must be including BRICS countries, which as a group emit 47% of total CO2.
The numbers are from 2022. The sources are the International Energy Agency, an international agency whose members include Brazil, India, China, S. Africa, Indonesia and others.
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@spectrumboy5992 "serious pressure on the limited resources we have". Actually, we have almost limitless resources. Some types of resources are being depleted, like timber, but others are completely unexploited because we haven't yet found a way to use them. Think of Lithium: Just a few decades ago lithium was an obscure element with little use, but now it looks like it will be crucial for future development. Same with Silicon: Once useless, now very important. Same with Uranium: Once useless, now very important. We have only just begun to discover all the uses for rare earths, and we have hardly started discovering so-called meta-materials, materials that don't really exist in nature, but can be made in a lab.
At the other end of the spectrum, trees used to be important for building almost everything and for energy. In the 16th to 19th centuries, many European countries almost ran out of trees and forests for building their navies. But now we use other resources, like steel and cement, and forest coverage in many parts of the world are growing. We used to be short on guano for fertilizer, but now we make it from other things. One day, oil may become a marginal resource, because we have found better and cheaper ways to make energy.
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@ZweiZwolf But you will agree that after 1978, China started a massive economic liberalization and let private citizens start their own businesses, which led to the greatest wealth increase in China's history.
The entire hospitality industry is mostly private, social media and tech is mostly private, retail is mostly private, real estate is (or has been) mostly private, agriculture is partly private, with some state owned farms in the 中原, 西北 and 东北 regions. Light industry, incl. electronics, bicycles, electric bikes is mostly private, textiles, apparel and shoe industry is mostly private, tourism is partly private.
Chinese socialism was tried from 1949-1978. You tell me if you think that was successful, or even better, ask your grandparents.
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It is to a large extent how students are educated in China, though mostly in lower grades. By high school, there is much less 'group shouting' and by university, it's gone. Partly, rote learning is beneficial in a society where you have to educate millions of children with few resources, and partly, it instills deference to authority and group conformity. Those values are part of traditional Chinese culture, but they also tie in with what the government wants from its people.
" if this impedes breakthrough creativity". It's very difficult to quantify this, but based on my 25+ years in China, I would say: Yes, it does. So far, China has had all the ideas come to them from more developed countries and they are now getting to the stage where they have to come up with their own ideas to advance. This looks to me to be more difficult for them (though it is by no means easy for us in the west, either).
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@StudyTrainAchieve37 Well, I suppose if we assume that the share price is highly dependent on the popularity of Elon Musk, but I don't think it is. Lots of rich people are highly unpopular: Jeff Bezos, Bill Gates, The Koch brothers (though their company, Koch Industries, is not a listed firm), the Walton family, Mark Zuckerberg. Lots of unpopular rich people.
I think stock price is determined by a belief in future earnings, and that is also the consensus belief.
Is Tesla at risk of going bankrupt soon? I don't see it, but I'm happy to hear your arguments for why that might be the case.
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Perhaps some media would, but you could fairly say that Western countries have failed to control the outbreak as a choice. In my country of Denmark, a full 50% of the population have gotten infected in just the last 7 months! But we would rather be open, we would rather face the risk of getting infected in return for the freedom to move around, go to work, spend time with family and friends, socialize, travel. We understand that life has risks.
(btw, in those last 7 months, 0.06% of the population has died from Covid, or about one in every 1650 people)
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I notice most commenters try to make moral arguments for or against the war. Wars are not about morals. They are about power. Who has it, who wants it, who is best able project it. So in Ukraine it is only, yes only, about who is stronger, not about who is right or wrong, or moral, or good, or justified, because all sides can find perfectly good justifications for their actions. I like to think we in the West are ultimately stronger, and so I hope we can win this war. We're gonna have to pay a high price for it, but I believe it is worth the price in the long run (say next 50 years).
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Since robots don't go shopping, it will still mean a big reduction in economic activity. Imagine a future where 90% of a jobs are taken over by robots. The remaining 10% of jobs held by people will only produce products for other humans. Robots don't shop, don't go to restaurants, don't eat at all, don't travel, don't go to the movie theater, don't drive cars. They are as useless for economic development as a rice cooker. In fact, the benefit of robots is similar to the benefit of other machines: Air conditioner, TV, PC, mobile phone, vacuum cleaner, washing machine, microwave. They are great to own, but they do not themselves contribute much to the economy. In that sense, they should be seen more as capital than as labor.
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Problem is the five permanent members with veto rights are loath to give those rights away. They all understand it's not equal, but self-interest overrides principle (for all five of them).
Expansion: I like it, but not everybody does. Giving India a permanent seat will not be approved by China, Giving Iran a permanent seat will not be approved by the three western members, but perhaps we can still make a compromise. My candidates are:
Japan, Indonesia, India, Iran, Turkey, Ethiopia, Egypt, Nigeria, Germany, Brazil, Mexico. Everybody gets both a few friends and a few enemies, but at least these countries represent a huge number of people, religions, cultures, economies and regions.
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Joe Rogan is a typical Gen-X'er. I'm the exact same age as Joe Rogan and his way of talking and his view of the world is not uncommon among us. We're not really too left or right, not very ideological, we were (are) often accused of not caring about anything, but we just had a more mellow view of everything. And we liked dark humor, gallows humor, jokes about the most terrible things. We went to high school during the AIDS epidemic and the famine in Ethiopia (and Live Aid/We Are The World). We cared about those things, but we also made lots of jokes about them. Just trying to cope and get along with everyone.
18:00 Johnny Harris: "Not everyone who has a point of view has ideas worth hearing or debating in our society". This is really the crux of the difference between Gen X and Millennials, of whom Johnny Harris is one. Gen X'ers are happy to hear everyone's ideas, but may remain skeptical of all ideas. Millennials, well, I don't really understand what they're about, but they seem to be more restrictive in what ideas they will allow to even be aired, as if there are ideas that are damaging by themselves.
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@sleepymeow7156 My point is that your system is no better at choosing leaders than a democratic system, which is what you claim. You claim that the Chinese system is meritocracy-based, because that is what the govt. tells you with online campaigns and little, cute cartoons. But it isn't. It is based in traditional Chinese culture where you rise by making connections to other powerful people, grant the right favors and give gifts to others to 'make friends', join the right organizations, say the right words as told to you by the Center and 'The Core of The Center'.
Your political, economic and social ideas are irrelevant, because you never let them become known in public until you reach the top, so no one can know what your vision is before it's too late.
Now, I have no doubt that you agree with whatever your leaders say, having no real opinion of your own, other than what you're being told.
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Based on the examples shown, BBC, NYT, Der Spiegel, these cartoons all focus on the poverty that is still prevalent in India, despite much progress being made in recent decades. Perhaps Indians don't want to be reminded that poverty still exists, and they feel their achievements are being diminished by being reminded of this. These emotions are understandable, but also exaggerated. Maybe an 'honor culture' is still common in India, a culture where people easily feel insulted and therefore lash out in anger. The west has more of a 'dignity culture', which is why you constantly see cartoons making fun of national leaders. These leaders have to accept the ridicule, and they do, as do most other people.
Whatever the case may be, none of these cartoons are racist. At worst, they may be classist.
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Important context regarding AMBER alerts:
"To be labeled an AMBER Alert, there must be reasonable evidence that an abduction has occurred, the child must be believed to be in imminent danger of serious bodily injury or death, there must be enough descriptive information about the victim and the abductor, the child must be under the age of 17, and the child’s information must be entered into the National Crime Information Center system (Guidelines for Issuing AMBER Alerts). If these guidelines are not met, an AMBER Alert cannot be issued, and the child is labeled as a runaway."
So, not all disappearances justify the use of an AMBER alert, even if hundreds of thousands of children disappear every year. I have no data from the US, but in Europe, most child disappearances are either runaways, or a result of abductions by a divorced parent or other relative who doesn't agree that the child is living in the right place/family.
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@darvidkoh2707 I live in Shanghai and I know the subways here very well. They're good, but I wouldn't say they blow my mind. For example, the constant security checks implemented since 2010 are really annoying. Some lines and stations are showing their age, especially along line 1 (opened 1995) and 2 (opened 1997). They could really use an overhaul. Same with that underground shopping mall in Peoples Square station. It's messy, chaotic and way too inconvenient to get down to the platform on line 2.
The Shenzhen Metro is nice, perhaps nicer than Shanghai's. Beijing Metro is not particularly nice. Many others are quite fine.
Now for Europe. Many metro systems in Europe are also old, much, much older than any system China has, and they are showing their age, too. But there are also new systems that are at least as flashy and modern as those in China: Bilbao, Brescia, Copenhagen, Rennes, Toulouse, Lausanne. All of these are built around the same time as Chinese metro systems and they are every bit as modern. The station entrances also tend to have much better designs, where Chinese metros are often designed to be utilitarian, with with little concern for urban aesthetics.
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Only the media concerns itself with 'President Putin's state of mind' as if they're psychologists. It's infuriating that the media thinks this is all about someone's mental state. It's not! It's about geopolitics, great power competition, and about who is going to win on the battle field and win in the greater world. Stop with this pseudo-psychology. Putin's state of mind is, at best, of marginal importance.
Let's look at recent history and foreign leaders who have been deemed 'mentally unstable' or 'terminally ill' by the media: Kim Jong Un, Putin, Saddam, Gadaffi, even Trump. If we don't like them, it must be because they're insane. How ignorant, lazy and pathetic!
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@PhillyKid07 Oh, I've heard about these incidents, mostly on AirBnB. Yes, it sucks. People will make inferences about you because you're the same race as perhaps some previous guest who trashed the place and was also black.
It's a major societal issue, and a psychological issue. People seem to find it difficult to see others as individuals instead of as members of a group. It's like if you see someone with a MAGA hat, it might be easy to suspect that he is probably a racist, but we can't really know that until we talk to him.
There is no quick solution to this problem, but we need to keep talking to each other, get up close with people who are different from us. Then, slowly, over time, will society improve. Until then, people like you, who belong to a visible minority, will continue to occasionally face this kind of adversity.
Best of luck. (PS: I'm not American)
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A few notes:
Tastien, the 'Chinese McDonald's' in the video currently only has 10 stores nationwide; 9 in Beijing, 1 in Guangzhou. China has had McDonald's and KFC clones for decades. Since the 1990s, the Taiwanese chain Dico's, and for almost as long, a plethora of small clones in 3rd and 4th tier cities and below, small local chains often named something like 麦肯基 (Mai Ken Ji), which can best be translated as McKentucky, serving approximations of food from the two big US chains.
The Nike competitor Anta has existed for decades, but mostly popular in 3rd and 4th tier cities, serving consumers who couldn't afford to buy international brands. Their logos are designed to be close enough to Nike's swoosh to make it interesting, but not so close as to invite copyright lawsuits. Going from a low-end brand to a high-end brand is going to take a lot of effort, no matter where you are. Could you imagine Walmart becoming a desirable, exclusive grocery?
Luckin Coffee has a very viable business model. They are to coffee what Domino's is to pizza: Cheap, quick, and everywhere. But few people would claim that Domino's Pizza represent a high quality Italian dining experience.
The video highlights the use of patriotism/nationalism by several of these homegrown brands. This can work for short periods, but I think history tells us that long term success cannot be built on patriotism alone. Americans buy Toyotas, Europeans buy California Wine, Japanese buy Hermes scarves. There's no reason to believe that Chinese people will be any different, at least not in the long term.
What we're seeing now is Chinese consumers realizing that they can no longer afford to buy foreign premium brand goods, so they buy the next-best thing: Local, cheap and cheery, good-enough brands.
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