Comments by "Jake Johnson" (@ElectronFieldPulse) on "CNN"
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@小肉肉-w2e - A collapse of the US would inherently be multi-dimensional, nothing short of an amalgamation of severe failures would bring down the U.S. Which means that there would have to be considerable pressure applied externally or internally. Americans are never going to have another Civil War and destroy their own country again, and I don't see any country being powerful enough to significantly hurt the US without taking unacceptable casualties. Perhaps in 50 years China might be able to dominate the US economically, militarily, and culturally, but we are a long way off from that yet. China will definitely surpass the US in GDP soon, as it already has by some metrics, but the actual median income per citizens is still 4x lower than the US. It will take a considerable effort and a long time to gain parity with the US standard of living and income. There are just so many people in China, it is a miracle they have done as much as they have in such little time. Militarily, I don't think China will surpass the US in my lifetime. I just don't see it happening. And that might be a good thing if it signals that Bejing doesn't want to wage any wars or participate in any imperial action. If China was smart, they would let Taiwan go, focus on their economy, and everything would go smoothly with them. As far as global hegemony, it is already falling apart. We are in the early stages of a multi-polar world, which kind of sucks in a way. History has shown time and time again that if there are multiple strong powers, they inevitably get into conflict of some sort. With Pax Americana, the world has only gotten more and more peaceful since 1945. As far as cultural domination, which the US has now, China just doesn't have a chance. Their inward looking culture is basically dominated by a strain of Han ethno-nationalism. They believe they are superior, the historic leaders of the world, and that the past few hundred years have just been a hiccup in their long time spent at the top . I don't see that kind of culture spreading beyond China very much at all. I know I wrote a book in my response, lol, but I find this so interesting. China is very powerful, but they are trying such a weird hybrid system of communism and capitalism, it will be very interesting to see how China progresses in the future. Not to mention, since they are richer now, they will naturally start demanding more political autonomy and power through the ballot box. Right now it is a very small portion who long for democracy, but I see it growing very soon.
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