Comments by "coucou Brandy10" (@coucoubrandy1079) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
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@don66hotrod94, Have you thought that it could be possible, just possible, that it could be for other reasons ? Something like, war, political repression, religious persecution, etc ? And also that a lot of shit happening there is also mainly our own fault ? Because in the middle east, we weren't exactly fantastic were we ? Perhaps, you should inform yourself more, before saying that. I know the problem very well, Thank you.
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@robertallison9044 Exactly, you are right, maize as well requires a lot of water. That's why we have to use other staples that don't need so much water. Like sorghum, millet of which there's several varieties, and there's others as well. I went to a conference last week, the foreseeable consequences of the climate change on crops, and amongst the solutions advanced was to go back to the varieties that were put aside by the agri-business . Those varieties were adapted to the soil and weather. The snag is the yields are lower. Then, the pesticide problem , with the lobbyists who are extremely active in blocking any legislation on their products. The fact that the standards in the US and Europe are different doesn't help much either. Now ponder this : right now, there's a flurry of FTA's being signed between around the world. And some countries/blocs have lower if any standards. There needs to be a harmonisation of those, and they have to be very high. I'll let you imagine the other problems that will happen.
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Europe is not a country tbw, it's just an economic zone. All the countries have different interests , China only has hers. Yes, it's a dictatorship, but is the EU really that democratic ? Allow me to have my doubts especially with those eastern countries. The UK is in the shit that's very true, but that's because of the politicians who, apart from making everyone laugh, when they come back to their senses, they will be back. They voted out, in my country we voted not to join ! And we still don't want to. The EU is trying to position itself as an alternative to the US and China. Face it, those 2 don't really give a toss about it. They have a problem with each other. So don't think that the EU has much clout on the world affairs.
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@danwilliams4096 I'm sorry ? Most of the migrants come from the Brics ? Let me see : Brazilians ? No. russians ? I hope not ! Indians ? No. Chinese ? No. South Africans ? No. Most come from Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Syria, and from subsaharan Africa. I agree that heavily subsidised agricultural policies are in the African countries' disfavour . But, otoh, nothing stopped them from developing their own agricultural policies . Where did all the money go that was sent for development ? It took a return ticket and back to the banks in the West. Did they really need to import wheat when they have other cereals that grow there and adapted to the soil and weather resistant ? Rice and maize need a lot of water brw. And to make matters worse, we have the agri - industrial giants that tell them which type of rice ,maize that they should plant ! I don't remember which american company, Monsanto ? who wanted to trademark basmati rice ! India and Pakistan were furious and stopped it right away. There's a grain that grows in west Africa, it's called fonio, it grows like wild grass, and you can have up to 3 harvests a year. Now, it's much more nutrious than wheat, rice and maize ! Guinea has a few farms and exports to the neighbourhood. The problem is it's hard work ( as usual it's the women who have to do it) to separate the grains from the rest. So you need a harvester machine and it can be done . As long as the government doesn't pocket the money.
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@hananokuni2580 they account for 40% of the world exports, both. A lot is for the Middle East , and some for western Africa , As for Rotterdam, idk what exactly happens next. Let's see what it gives this weekend as Erdoğan is going to meet putler. The russians are playing a very sinister game. They are bombing Odessa, which is the main granary port, and that is very bad news . At the same time, they are saying to the africans that it's the West who is at fault. Because of the sanctions, AFAIK doesn't concern the grains. And, as you know very well, there's an anti West resentment that's growing up in many countries. For China, you are right about that. This year will be difficult for them because ot the weather now
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