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Harry Stoddard
The Majority Report w/ Sam Seder
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Comments by "Harry Stoddard" (@HarryS77) on "John From S.A. Gives Trump A 20% Chance Of Winning" video.
The polls were basically right. They predicted the national results. They were just off (within the margin of error) in a few states.
8
538 had Clinton at 33% and now has Trump at 12%. It also projects a 4% chance that the map turns out the same as in 2016. Guess what? It's a pretty different race. Hillary was loathed. Biden is not. Trump's attempt to get people to hate Biden just made him look like a loving father. This election comes after 4 years of Trump's disastrous, corrupt administration. People are angry with his inability and unwillingness to take seriously issues like covid and police brutality. Trump skated by within the margin of error last time thanks to the EC. Things look quite different this time.
7
You are correct. Currently 74%.
2