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Greg Greg
MeidasTouch
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Comments by "Greg Greg" (@SlowhandGreg) on "BREAKING: NY Democrat Pat Ryan SHOCKS with election win for Congress DEFYING POLLS" video.
The polling companies do what's called poll weighting to try and make them as accurate as possible this is done off census data I have a theory that Covid deaths and long Covid will depress the expected Republican numbers, Republicans have embraced anti vax and are disproportionately affected by the disease and studies have shown 10 long Covid cases to every death. Obviously roe helps and their candidates being crazy we shall see
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Polls use census weighting the thing is no one knows how Covid deaths and long Covid will affect the data over 1 million deaths which are weighted towards elderly and unvacinated studies have shown 10 - 1 ratio of long Covid to deaths. Politics affects the result in the fact that Roe will energise the Democratic base and also focus Moderates minds for a higher turnout than normal plus all the crazy Republican candidates creates fear
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