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Dale Crocker
A Different Bias
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Comments by "Dale Crocker" (@dalecrocker3213) on "" video.
The government's ridiculous on/off and regionalised lockdown strategies have undoubtedly created conditions which have allowed new strains to flourish. They are the direct result of lockdowns, which studies have shown have no effect on death rates and only slow down the spread of the disease without reducing its actual impact.
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I think you're right to suggest that Covid 19 will eventually mutate into just another component of "the common cold." Evolution would seem to dictate that pathogens of this sort should become more transmissible but less deadly in order to maximise reproduction. In which case the draconian measures you seem to be advocating are likely to do more harm than good. The variants come into prominence as a response to altered conditions. The UK variant has almost certainly resulted from a response to lockdowns as a slight degree of improved transmissibility and more efficient cell penetration will allow the variant which possesses these characteristics to prosper in a situation where fewer victims are available. There is even a case to be made for suggesting that without any lockdowns the epidemic in the UK would be over by now - and with very possibly fewer deaths and hospitalisations than has actually been the case.
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@skindred1888 Your last sentence actually reinforces the point. Things were going relatively well until last month when the UK variant kicked in. The 2020 death rate was 10.2 per 1,000, which is only slightly above the average for recent years. Before 2003 death rates of this magnitude were pretty normal. Even now the death rate is not exceptional. 2000 deaths a day are far from uncommon at this time of year. The only oddity seems to be that so many of them are "with" Covid 19. People seem to be dying of scarcely anything else! I know the idea of doing very little and letting things take their course to a great extent seems totally counter-intuitive, but a case does exist. I am no mathematician, but back in August projections were done by a team with much experience in the field of epidemic mapping which suggested that with an R number of 1.4 herd immunity could have been achieved by October. Those who regard lockdowns as counter-productive on many levels often cite Sweden of course. The death rate and case rate matches ours almost completely. You can more or less superimpose the graphs - until last month when death rates were falling in both countries and ours suddenly our shot up. The Swedish Covid death rate continued in a dramatic plunge and is now in single figures.
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@highpath4776 Why? It's now little worse than a seasonal influenza in terms of deaths and hospitalisations. We have to learn to live with it - which since it seems currently to be replacing influenza rather than adding to it shouldn't be too difficult.
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