Comments by "Dale Crocker" (@dalecrocker3213) on "Could this man replace Putin? Hear Russian journalist's answer" video.

  1. 1
  2. 1
  3. 1
  4. 1
  5. 1
  6.  @KK-qi6mt  The outcomes you predict are possible, although not probable. The reasons for this war are principally commercial, as is the case with most wars. They centre upon the vast mineral wealth of Donbass where there is coal, iron, gas, oil, lithium and other rare and costly metals. America wants these and Russia- which discovered and exploited them, is reluctant to give them up. The results of the war depend almost entirely upon how much money America and its allies are prepared to spend on continually re-arming Ukraine. I think they are already throwing good money after bad, and know it. Russia has no wish to take the whole of Ukraine. Putin knows this will mean a permanent and costly civil war. He just wants Donbass and Crimea. It is impossible, really, to say how much objection there is to the war among the mass of the Russian people. I tend to think not much. Younger people in the larger cities, students and so on, resent it and the high casualty rate does not go down well but when you start to analyse these numbers they are only a relatively small percentage of the country as a whole. The war so far has largely been about reducing Ukraine's army. After the Maidan unrest of 2014 the West spent billions on creating a new, large Ukrainian army. To Russia it was clear that this army was intended to be used to retake Crimea and Donbass. It therefore launched a "special operation" aimed at destroying this army, whatever the cost. This has now been largely achieved and round two has begun. So far Russia has thrown mainly inexperienced troops and ancient equipment into the fray. What reserves it has one cannot say, but I suspect they are considerable. I predict a very heavy bombardment soon, followed by a mass invasion of at least 500,000 men. If Ukraine does not surrender Russia will seek to take and hold much of Eastern and Southern Ukraine and to defend it against all comers.
    1
  7. 1
  8. 1