Comments by "Shorewall" (@shorewall) on "Why We're Facing another 30 Years War" video.

  1. The major difference is that Spain relied on Resource Extraction Operations, whereas modern US is cutting edge in every tech field, and tech sharing in those it isn't. Spain was great because they got the gold and plantations of the New World. US is great because they used their head start to make friends with every major power it could, and subordinate them willingly into a cool kids club. Spain had to fight the other major powers in Europe. USA doesn't really have to fight anyone. Hell, they don't even have to fight China or Russia at all. Ukraine is fighting Russia pretty well right now, and a Naval blockade on China would be devastating. I always say, as an American, the US is a blessed country, we have crazy advantages, and we need to make sure we do the right thing. God blesses the righteous, but if we turn from Him, and our leaders and the Elites definitely have, but if the people turn from Him, then we will be blessed no more and suffer even more than others.
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  2.  @clamum9648  People need something to believe in, that is for sure. When I studied Sociology in college, they said one of the 5 features of any civilization we have ever discovered, was Religion. Because people need to explain the unexplainable. Science is great, but it cannot explain everything. There are things we do not know, or don't even know we don't know. And there are other things that are moral judgements, like what is happiness, what is the good life? Science cannot answer that, because Science is a tool, a method. We need to decide what we want, and what we want to be. Equality, justice, these things are not scientific. They are moral, ethical, religious in nature.
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  3. I've been thinking this since his videos about the coming famines in Middle East and Africa. Rather than just starve and die, they will move in mass, to the place where refugees go, Europe. And Europe will either be overrun, or they will defend themselves, and the politics will turn insular. Turkey and the Maghrebi nations will play a pivotal role in this. If Europe can appease them to hold the line, it may work out.
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  4. If Gen Z get drafted to fight in some stupid war, they'll probably just decide to fight here. And a lot of disaffected people will join them. So that is the hardline for the boogaloo to kick off.
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  5. I do think the things are speeding up. Communication is faster, travel is faster, the world is smaller than it once was. Trends happen much faster now.
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  6. On the comparison to WW1, I think back then the populations and patriotism were so healthy and strong that people wanted war. That is different from today. Nowadays most people would probably rather overthrow their own government than go invade or defend some other country. Which is why I like the 30 Years War analogy of this video so much. I agree on nukes, the Major powers have too much to lose, and have thought about it so much, that I don't see them ever using nukes. Even the hardest red line I can imagine, if China invaded Siberia, I question if Russia would use nukes even then. But the smaller, less stable countries, who knows what could happen? As populations decline, I think the US will form a new Global race. Specifically with Hispanic and East Asians being merged into the White Identity. And depending on how bad it gets, like with the colonization of the New World, Americans might go to Japan, Germany, other places, to bolster and repopulate these areas. Especially if those countries don't want just "any" type of immigrants. Aside from that, migrations are something to watch. I have my eye out for the famines and destabilization in Africa and the Middle East to lead to another, much greater migrant and refugee crisis. If Europe does not control it, Europe will be overwhelmed and become New Africa. I think they will choose to work with Turkey, and the Maghrebi Nations in North Africa, to control the situation, but it will turn bloody, and millions will die either way. It will be ugly.
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  7. It already is playing out, all over the World. Africa, Middle East, Parts of Asia. USA is like France, Sweden, or GB from back then, in that we won't be the main front, but we will be involved, and the stress may lead to that long awaited Civil War.
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  8. Something has to change, and it will. That's the reason everyone's so mad and cranky. It is not sustainable. But we don't know what will be the match.
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  9.  @ff9968  Are black people Jews too? Were they kings?
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  10. What makes you think we'd do any better the second time? We just gotta learn from our mistakes, and carry on. That's what the cycle means to me.
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  11. If our tanks still have gas and their wiring, then we'll be better off.
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  12. I think it is wrong. WW1 and WW2 are two separate wars, fought for different reasons and by different governments, separated by 20 years of peace. It just sounds cool to say.
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  13. I think Zeihan is on par with Jordan Peterson, as a new Prophet for this troubled age. It feels like he is giving the better knowledge, than the crap you see on the MSM. I suspect he has his own bias, but the world is turning according to things he has been talking about for a while.
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  14. Who is strong enough to project so much power to destroy another? We thought Russia could, but it turns out they can't. We suspect China can, but that is a dicey situation going up against the US, with a naval blockade really hurting them. Even the US, which has the most proven power projection of all, and many allies, has things that are just off the table in terms of ability to execute. Imagine the US wanting to invade Russia or China? Not gonna happen. The US might be able to do it, but it would devastate the US and guarantee a Civil War or Uprising, especially since they would probably need a draft to do it. The Big players aren't afraid of being invaded. They are afraid of collapsing internally. And this goes for Europe, Africa, South America, all of the Globe. And one failure will pile up into the next, since we are all so intertwined. Poland is buying and developing tanks with South Korea right now, to give you an idea of the complex supply chains that are normal right now. The world will know war, but it won't be one side against another, until Unconditional Surrender. It will be like the wars in Africa and the Middle East from the last few decades. Instability leads to chaos, leads to conflict and war to establish some kind of favorable order.
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  15. Zeihan talks about the US using special forces and drones to engage in limited wars without involving the US population. Especially now that Americans are worn out from Iraq and Afghanistan, and don't want to die for any war the US might get involved in. Heck, maybe even mercenary units, as this video mentioned. The American People want to isolate, but the government, and especially other governments, want the US to stick around. So that is a central issue they'll have to address. Just look at our involvement in Ukraine. I think most Americans support Ukraine, but don't want us to get directly involved in the war. But we are sharing intel, weapons, training, and strategy with the Ukrainians. Same with a potential war against China. US Navy would be involved, but it would probably involve a lot of Korean, Japanese, and potentially Indian soldiers as well, in order to fight that conflict. (I'd say a naval blockade, with maybe China trying to invade into the Middle East directly, opening up a front with India.)
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  16.  @anchorsaweigh9893  I don't think Gen Z wants to fight a war for the Globalists right now. I think most people would rather overthrow the government than go fight in Ukraine or China.
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  17. Honestly, I prefer it this way. I know it sucks, but things are already bad. I'd rather deal with low level chronic war, than high level collective dehumanizing war.
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