Comments by "Shorewall" (@shorewall) on "6 Countries that Will be Superpowers by 2080." video.

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  5.  @Sebomai-b8i  Yeah, especially because this isn't in a vacuum. The existing powers will still have a say. I would say Iran is too far removed, compared to the others. Turkey is closer, but is kinda going into business for themselves. They are not West European, so for the US, the preference would be for France to exert that influence. To counter that, Turkey would have to play China and US off each other, while also warding off Russia. The best way for Turkey to expand is to side with China in a new order, but that puts Russia against China, since they are against Turkey. And it takes away the great strength of NATO for Turkey. I don't think it's worth it for Turkey in a holistic sense, although for expansionism it a gamble. Whereas for France, all it has to do is reach out and take it, solidifying its Mediterranean Hegemony. France gets to be a big player, allying with Spain and Italy, and the US doesn't have to expend resources in that area. It hems in Turkey and Iran, and it really is a kind of status quo for a western European nation to be keeping the peace in the Middle East. (My pet prediction for WW3 is China, Turkey, and one other [probably Pakistan] going all out to upend the established order. China takes the Russian far east and Turkey tries to push them off the Black Sea. Turkey and Pakistan pincer Iran with help from China, to bring Central Asia under control. Isolate and neuter India. With that base, the New Axis will have secure interior lines to exert influence into the Middle East, Africa, and SEA. Their opponents would be whoever wants to stop it from happening, ala the US, India, Russia, and NATO.)
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