Comments by "afcgeo" (@afcgeo882) on "Preston Stewart "
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Preston, I was born and grew up in Russia, but served in the US Air Force, including a deployment in AFG. It’s not really comparable, even to remote FOBs. Russian forward bases lack infrastructure (housing, food, clean water, showers, etc.) on permanent basis. Ours did not. If you were at a remote location, you were there for a week, two tops. Then you came back to a larger base for a while. Not the Russians. They don’t have the logistics for it. They get supply trains, but they’re not getting the big stuff or quantities. There are no C-17s, C-130s or even Chinooks full of stuff coming their way. All their stuff is brought by stake trucks or flatbeds. That’s why they went into towns for toilet paper, food, soda, booze, batteries. blankets, etc. They have no PXs. They don’t do MWR. There are no movies, no gyms… nothing.
Without the ability to go into a town they have nothing, which feels like a prison.
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@Oddball_E8 You’re not arguing! You’re trolling! You haven’t presented ANY evidence for your claims at all! I’ve been in the US Air Force for 22 years now. Trained and fought all over the world, including in Svandinavia. Most countries operate from dedicated military facilities, but have back-up plans to operate their fighters from alternate air fields, including unimproved, and from highway stretches specifically designated for that purpose. Even the US has a few of these, although it has little to no need, due to incredible numbers of small, paved airports everywhere. In Europe, the Cold War doctrine created this use in every single country, in the West and in the Warsaw Pact as well. It’s LITERALLY normal, and if you bother to do some research, you’d find it to be true. Sorry that your ego bubble was burst by reality, but Swedes aren’t at all unique in this.
You were saying that Sweden uses highways as its regular operational sites fir its air force, which is 100% a lie. It doesn’t. It occasionally trains its air force on how to use highways as air fields, in a WAR EMERGENCY. This is because Sweden doesn’t have many developed airports throughout its country. Most of Sweden is sparsely populated and heavily forested. It has no major cities in its interior, so no airports either. Almost all of its airstrips are on the East Coast. Most are general aviation, about 400m - 2,000m long.
Sweden didn’t make its highways into runways. Quite the opposite. It designed small airbases called Flygbassystem 90 and then converted their runways into highways and roads, along with hard stands for heavy aircraft. That’s what’s unique about Sweden.
Any country can operate from highways, but only Sweden built these small bases and converted them to highways. By the way, most of the Bas90 system has been shut down and eliminated since the 1990s.
That brings the main point - Ukraine didn’t! They don’t have these layouts, hard stands or maintenance hangars on their roads. They don’t have the heavy forests to hide them. They don’t need STOL aircraft. They are a MUCH larger nation, with a lot of vast, open areas. They have lots of existing airfields and plenty of ways to operate the F-16, just as they operate the MiG-29 and SU-25.
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@huntergatherer7796 It’s Slovenia, not Slovakia, and they supplied T-55S, modified by an Israeli company in the late 1990s. They have a 105mm British rifled, stabilized gun that can shoot modern sabot rounds, a fire control computer, so it can fire on the move, a laser warning and defense system for ATGMs, ERA, modern tracks, an upgraded suspension, and a new (at the time) 600hp engine.
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@yakinthebox You mean not Bosnia, Korea, Côte d’Ivoire, Chad, Burundi, Somalia, Angola, Mozambique, the Congo, Haiti, or Indonesia.
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You’re incorrect on point 3. From the US Dept of State on the US Security Cooperation with Poland, “Together, the United States and Poland maintain a forward posture to defend the Alliance and counter Russia, which continues to undermine the rules-based international order. The United States leads the enhanced Forward Presence (eFP) Battle Group in Poland and deploys a rotational Armored Brigade Combat Team under Operation Atlantic Resolve, funded through the European Deterrence Initiative. Currently, approximately 10,000 U.S. personnel are on rotation in Poland. Poland is a regular contributor to NATO missions, including the eFP in Latvia, the tailored Forward Presence (tFP) in Romania, and NATO air policing missions in the Baltic, Iceland, and most recently, Slovakia. In 2019, the United States and Poland signed two joint declarations that listed planned locations for enhanced U.S. military presence in Poland and in 2020 our two countries concluded an Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement (EDCA). The EDCA supplements the NATO Status of Force Agreement, further streamlines the functioning of U.S. forces in Poland, and establishes a mechanism for cooperation on infrastructure and logistical support for enhanced rotational presence. Additionally, the United States is building an Aegis Ashore facility in Poland as a contribution to NATO Ballistic Missile Defense.
President Biden made a historic announcement at the June NATO Summit in Madrid that the U.S. Army V Corps Headquarters Forward Command Post, an Army garrison headquarters, and a field support battalion will be permanently stationed in Poland. These forces represent the first permanently stationed U.S. forces on NATO’s eastern flank and will improve our command-and-control capabilities, interoperability with U.S. and NATO forces, and management of prepositioned equipment.”
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I’m sorry… why are we listening to an Australian general? Australians are good guys and I worked with them in Afghanistan. As individuals, they are capable warriors. However, as a military force, Australia is woefully undertrained, underfunded, inexperienced in any type of combat, and incapable. At best, they can defend their shores (which no one seems to care to invade). They simply lack the power to project, militarily, outside of the Oceania region and play small support roles for NATO operations. The general clearly lacks an understanding of how NATO and specifically the US militaries plan strategically and what their actual capabilities are. Lets just say this, if Russia had invaded Australia instead of Ukraine, there would already be a Russian flag over Canberra.
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Prigozhin is many things. He’s a thief, a pimp, even a restauranteur, but what he is not is a military strategist. What Wagner is doing is following direct orders from the Russian MOD. They fight limited battles on behalf of the Russian Army, nothing more. That’s why no one on either side will be paying any attention to his “predictions”.
That said, you can throw out prediction number one and number two. No one in Ukraine wants anything to do with Belgorod. It has no use other than to motivate Russian citizens to support the war. Prediction number two was said by Prigozhin in order fir Wagner to get more funding, ammo, etc. Ukraine will not try to encircle Wagner. It will keep Wagner preoccupied in Bakhmut until mid-Summer, when it will run out of all supples. Why?
Because Ukraine will start with prediction number 4, which will draw major shifts of personnel, vehicles, supplies and attention from Bakhmut, South, leaving Wagner to fend for itself. That’s when Ukraine will start to push East, just South of Bakhmut, toward Donetsk. Wagner will withdraw from Bakhmut to reinforce Donetsk. The Ukrainians will split DPR and LPR and take Melitopol, cutting off Crimea from Donbas. Will Ukraine hold on all those fronts? That’s to be seen.
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Preston, I think you are giving WAY too much credit to Rusi here. This is a British think tank that’s using the British current military system and the British current way of thinking. The UK military is absolutely unprepared to fight almost anything other than an invasion of the UK at this point in time. They’ve been suffering decades of attrition, underfunding and misappropriation.
This model doesn’t understand the force that NATO is able to field rapidly, using solely its active duty personnel. It doesn’t comprehend the strength that the reserve systems of its members bring to the fight, and it doesn’t comprehend that all of its member states do have systems of call-ups/drafts in place, if needed. It doesn’t understand that NATO fights on land, in the air, at sea, in space and in cyberspace, ALL AT THE SAME TIME. It doesn’t comprehend how nuclear weapons play into a war.
In very short, it simply doesn’t comprehend.
The US alone has over two million military service members. This doesn’t even include the US Coast Guard (but should) or inactive reserve.
So this isn’t just about the high technologies. It’s also simply a large number of personnel.
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Preston, I can see why it would be difficult for a US Army officer to understand what constitutes success in an existential war, a war where you are invaded. The US has never been invaded and doesn’t consider an invasion as a real threat.
In an invasion like Ukraine there is only one strategic goal: recapture (liberation) of ALL occupied territories. Period.
As such, objectives for offensive operations all rest on one goal: taking territory back and giving up none.
Any day when you are capturing back any land at all, even an inch, is a success, as long as you’re doing it in a sustainable way. Slow and steady wins the race.
I also see that you’re not understanding why the US is vague about its plans. Its plans depend on Ukraine’s needs and our partners abilities to deliver. We don’t just give what we want, when we want it. NATO has to do its joint assessments, intelligence agencies have to assess the political and military ramifications and logistics have to be worked out. It’s a dynamic war and with 50 partners, we are constantly hoping someone else will volunteer to take up a task to save us money (so is everyone else.) We have no strategic goal. We are flying by the seat of our pants, as is everyone else in war. The goal is to end the war with Ukraine being satisfied.
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@ I don’t know it he knows it or not, but the reason that German manufacturers make so many cars all around the world and re-import many is money savings, primarily labor costs. What you think of as German products of Ford and GM were often actually American or joint in design. There were even American cars sold under European brands like Renault back in the 1980s. All through the 80s, 90s and 2000s, there were American small cars sold in Europe. The EU killed it with tariffs and since they’re small priced and have small margins, the exports to the EU stopped. You saw joint models like Ford’s Mondeo/Fusion, Kuga/Escape, Focus and Fiesta. Chrysler sold Neons, Voyagers, Jeeps, etc. GM sold a high of 500,000 cars in Europe in 2005. Since then, US automakers have stopped marketing and designing cars that could work in Europe, but ironically, European cars have grown in size to match much of the American market. The finances simply don’t work. If Americans only drive small cars then European cars wouldn’t sell in North America, would they?
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In think you, and most other people are a bit too… limited in knowledge to understand.
You think that Ukraine can either be a part of Russia proper, be a vassal state (partner/ally) or be completely independent. In reality, Russia didn’t want any of that.
What Russia was looking to do was to resurrect a USSR-type of arrangement, where Ukraine, Belarus, Russia, and others become a union, under the general leadership of Moscow and under the military protection of Moscow. The inly way to get there was for Belarus and Ukraine to voluntarily request such a state. It was already started between Putin and Lukashenko - The Union State. For this, Putin needed a leader in Ukraine who would play ball. That plan went to shit in February 2014 with the Maidan Revolution, so Putin put his Plan B into play - dissent of Donbas. That plan was a longer-term, strategic one. He hoped the dissent against Zelensky would spread, but instead, the country prospered financially, and people actually turned away from Russia. So what you see now is really Plan C. If this succeeds, Kazakhstan and others will fall in line, quietly. If it fails, Putin and his party are done for, likely to be replaced by even more hardline nationalists.
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It factually isn’t a problem. All nations capable of spying on others, do so. “Spying” is a misunderstood word. This is actually intelligence gathering. A nation is required to gather as much information on what goes on as they can, for the benefit of their country and citizens. This goes for info on all nations, not just adversaries. Governments keep info from each other, even when in an alliance. Leaders don’t always tell the full truth to each other (shocker, I know). Finding out intent of foreign leaders on foreign and economic policies allows you to prepare your own country in advance.
All that said, the UK, France, Israel, Canada, etc. all spy on the US as well.
All of this hyperbolic guessing does no one any good except it makes money for Youtube and the poster.
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I read a lot of these comments and NONE are coming from knowledgeable Air Force maintainers or logisticians.
The reality is that no, the F-16 doesn’t require all those man hours to generate sorties. That’s just what the US uses because we have the personnel and it increases safety and long-term reliability. We have different airmen specifically trained to arm/disarm aircraft, fuel/de-fuel, crew chiefs, avionics, structures, hydraulics, etc. and they all do major maintenance as well as mission generation. The tale of a Gripen needing just one crew chief and a few untrained airmen is absolutely misleading. They still need to do proper maintenance every few flights and untrained people have NO idea of what they’re doing. That’s all just a sales pitch to developing nations - the primary users of the Gripen. Also, not a single Gripen has ever been used in any combat. They’re completely unproven.
I’ll be honest, a C Gripen may be better than a Block 15 Viper, but a Block 52 will annihilate it all day, every day, in both, air-to-air and air-to-ground missions. I don’t even want to go into the Wild Weasel capabilities, which the Gripen simply doesn’t have and Ukraine desperately needs.
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@hughgrection3052 The central core in a TBX is a high explosive and the external secondary charge is the outside, which is a fuel-rich formulation. There is first an anaerobic explosion of the inner core, then a delayed outer charge aerobic detonation of the dispersed fuel mixture.
The resulting explosive effect is considerably weaker than a conventional explosive like RDX, but it diffuses and delivers an extreme high heat blast. So, the percussive wave blast is a lot smaller, but the fireball superheats the surrounding area, and if you are in a confined space, even a large one, the intense fire eats up all of the oxygen in the space within a second and you die not from the blast, but from the abrupt atmospheric pressure (superheating gasses), followed by abrupt gas expansion due to rapid oxidation and loss of atmospheric pressure. If you are very far from the explosion and in a sealed space you could theoretically die from suffocation as well.
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The Soviet and Russian military doctrine had always been very different than the modern US system or even the older US system that included the draft.
The bulk of the armed forces’ enlisted personnel are draftees. The conscripts are drafted for a one-year term in order to provide them basic and specialty (equivalent to US AIT) training. They are then released and listed as reservists. Russia has no active reserve or guard system. It relies on the active duty and inactive reserve only.
As such, conscription serves to give basic military skills to all men, leaving them in reserves if needed, and to make up the bulk of the active forces at any time.
During the Soviet times, there were very few professional, contracted personnel. Conscripts in all services except the Navy did 2 year conscriptions. The Navy did 3 years. That allowed them to train and then retain members to actually do their work after training.
In 2007 that all ended with a professional force being instituted, though it is still less than 1/3 of the total force.
Officers have always been commissioned from military schools (colleges) and served careers much like their Western counterparts. Military Academies, in Russia, are considered to be graduate level schools, similar to War Colleges in the US. Generally, you’d attend an Academy when you are a Captain/Captain-Lieutenant.
So why did I just write all that? The training, given the goals, is quite limited for conscripts since they’re unlikely to ever be mobilized once they are reservists and the training for reservists is limited because they’ve already had one year of service. The entire system is predicated on having very large amounts of very basically trained men to defend the country if attacked. A competent force to invade simply doesn’t exist in large enough numbers to deal with a peer nation. Yes, they could fight a developing nation, but not a large force.
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@gerri577 Palestinians in the West Bank never had problems rebelling before and Hamas isn’t a rebellion. According to Hamas itself, it couldn’t care less about the Palestinians. It is simply an extremist, self-serving organization.
Also, every person arguing with a “trust me” is an uneducated moron.
I’ve been to the West Bank and Gaza. The West Bank looked like Beirut, with major shopping malls, architecture, actual street infrastructure, art, even luxuries, e. Gaza looked like Central Africa, with nothing. Not even regular electricity or running water, and this was because of their government (Hamas), not Israel.
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@erockoutdoors633 You digress.. Indeed. That’s all that you do, as yes, you ARE being a drama queen. Ukraine us repairing bombed tracks within hours, but apparently in your brain, they aren’t and can’t, or… only Russians aren’t and can’t.
Also, an NLAW hasn’t destroyed even a single airborne helicopter to date, and even in direct attack mode, it would not. An NLAW is not a Javelin, which is a “fire and forget” weapon that tracks its target or a Stugna-P remotely controlled missile, all ATGM weapons. An NLAW may be effective against helicopters in terminal operations (taking off or landing), but it’s pretty useless against one in flight, even at low altitudes. More so because the helo will warn the pilot of a lock-on and because using an NLAW that way is an extremely expensive gamble.
All of that shows that you know little to nothing about the realities of either train track repair or employment of ATGMs, but are very opinionated on both subjects.
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@ Again, the ICC turned away Palestinian assertions of ICC jurisdiction until 2015 and that motion was made SOLELY by the Palestinian Authority and not by Hamas. In 2015 those two territories were independent of each other, with separate governments. As such, that jurisdiction can ONLY be applied to the West Bank at best, although considering it isn’t a state, it can’t pass that legal test either.
As per Palestine signing, from the ICC website itself: “On 2 January 2015, The State of Palestine acceded to the Rome Statute by depositing its instrument of accession with the UN Secretary-General.” And that brings us back to the UN because it was the UN vote in 2012 to include Palestine as a non-member observer that allowed that motion to proceed. And again, “the State of Palestine” in the UN is reserved to the Palestinian Authority, which was not, and is not the elected government of Gaza.
In July of 2024 Fatah and Hamas signed an agreement (Beijing Declaration) to move toward a unified government for both regions and once that happens, and that government is recognized at the UN, can the ICC have legal jurisdiction over Gaza.
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Sadly it’d FAR from everyone, and that’s the big issue. A HUGE percentage of the Russian populous loves that this war was started. Yes, they were misled and brainwashed from… birth, really, but that’s irrelevant because they do, in fact, want this war. It’s not just Putin like so many of us believe. It isn’t certainly all Russians either, but it is a majority of Russians that support the expansion of Russian power through force. Russians are simply a pragmatic bunch, much like Trump, who believe that brute force is what gets the power, and that the ends justify the means.
To be honest, historically they aren’t wrong. It’s how humans have always lived. The physically strong dominated the weak. While much of the Western want to evolve past that, most of the planet is pragmatic about it and believes that’s just not human nature. It’s a dichotomy between the “First World” and others.
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