Comments by "Tim Trewyn" (@timtrewyn453) on "Ben Hodges - Now is Ukraine's Turn to Strike Back, but When, Where, and How Hard will they Strike?" video.

The Kremlin feels it has to put on a show for the Russian people every day. They are trying to get Russians riled up to improve enlistment in the armed forces so they can overwhelm Ukraine. Does anybody have any sense of the average Russian's ability to get a variety of news that isn't written by Moscow? If the Kremlin sees they are losing the information war in Russia, that would be a vital component to bringing this to an end. Geographically, yes Crimea has that combination of attributes that compels Russia to heavily defend it and Ukraine to take it. That battle could make Bakhmut look small, and I don't know that Russia would ever stop bombing the Ukrainian held parts of Crimea until its own economy went into collapse. Until then attacking Crimea could take considerable pressure off of other parts of Ukraine. Ukrainian air defense would be challenged by the expansion of territory to be protected. Ukraine needs both roads into Crimea, and clearly the Russians know this. I was pleased to hear Ukraine was receiving riverine assets, but they would need a lot of these to effectively supplement logistics via truck on the roads, and the Russians may have a focus on disrupting riverine operations. Ukraine has been collecting Russian tanks. They need to collect Russian boats, not just to get into Crimea, but to get back the rest of Kherson Oblast. D-Day and cross Channel logistics are indeed relevant and informative, and Ukraine will need to establish long-term naval (something like squadrons of road transportable PT boats with drones) and amphibious and/or drone resupply capabilities if it is going to hold Crimea.
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