Comments by "Tim Trewyn" (@timtrewyn453) on "Operator Starsky - ATACMS Approved by US- Are Days of Putin's Pride Project Kerch Bridge Numbered?" video.

  1. It took a truck bomb to take out part of the Kerch bridge. Ukraine has the skill to devise a set of special weapons and tactics to take it out of service, but it is a big project. Trump's plan to increase US oil production would put pressure on Russian oil revenue without creating inflation due to lack of supply. People might also work on consuming less oil products. If Trump does not do that and then cuts off arms to Ukraine, then Ukraine might as well reduce Russian oil exports.
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  2. If Putin plays psycho, letting him think he is winning keeps him on a course of being weakened. Lloyd Austin said very early on the US strategy was to avoid any risk of nuclear war and to weaken Russia. The dark side of the strategy has been the cost in Ukrainian lives. Providing weapons and financial aid has been the rather limp atonement. The culmination of the war was thought to be the exhaustion of the Russian Army in Ukraine enabling a lower-cost recovery of territory compared to a high-cost counter-offensive against a stronger Russian Army in Ukraine. The depletion of Ukrainian forces is such that allied forces would need to intervene to force a weakened Russian Army into withdrawal. That intervention would probably settle for a partial recovery of Ukrainian territory along a shorter and more defendable eastern border cutting to the Sea of Azov and recovering Zaporizhya and Kherson oblasts. That is a stopping point Russia might accept, and if they don't, Western forces might as well recover Crimea with their amphibious, airpower, and airlift capabilities. For the lifting of sanctions, Russia should have to accept a Western air and naval presence in and near Ukraine. It doesn't have to be NATO, it just needs to deter Russia and satisfy investors.
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