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Tim Trewyn
The Wall Street Journal
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Comments by "Tim Trewyn" (@timtrewyn453) on "Military Strategist Shows How China Would Likely Invade Taiwan | WSJ" video.
The usual cities in rubble scenario?
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North Korea is in regime preservation mode, e.g. nuclear program. If China commences hostilities against Taiwan, South Korea goes into full alert, which probably deters North Korea. The question is would China prompt North Korea to take surprise offensive actions of some kind to begin a dilution of Allied forces. I doubt it. I suspect if North Korea is in on the war they start at the same time as China does in an attempt to overwhelm allied forces. Like Russia, this effort could evolve out of extensive military exercises by both countries. Like Russia, that would be the giveaway that the attack is coming. North Korea would be risking its regime while China could not devote itself to their preservation as they did in the Korean War. I think NK looks for arms deals with China to raise revenue. I don't think the NK regime risks losses in a fight with South Korea and US forces there. Deterrence has worked for decades.
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Helicopters? Really? See Ukraine.
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@tabinerdominguesmarques9715 With such confidence in China and North Korea, one would think Taiwan and South Korea would have been annexed long ago. Yet there they are, still autonomous. I know, change is just around the corner . . . or the next corner . . . or the . . . The fact is, the "crushing" has not happened. Why not? Lack of preparation? Fear of loss?
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@WarriorsIntelect Yes. It is why they failed in earlier attempts and why they have not tried again. In the 50s they found out how difficult it was to invade Taiwan. The Chinese buildup is in large part a reassembly of Chinese dignity after humiliation. Psychopaths in the endless pursuit of victory and respect. A part of the populace gets caught up in that kind of thinking. Most folks want to live and let live. If we can get past Xi's generation of leadership without catastrophe, we might encounter a more businesslike and peaceful China. I have no hope for Russia. The psychopathic dictatorship style is firmly entrenched there. Too many of the people who could change that lose hope and leave for a better life elsewhere. The regime keeps hope atomized in silenced individuals.
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@mrvwbug4423 I agree. I think NK sits back and sells whatever it can to China. Same MO they use with Russia. No serious quantity of NK troops to Ukraine, just arms for money.
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@ensteffo Colonialism has been replaced by global trade, something China, Russia, the US and others engage in. The aggression is the drive to become the sole source and control the spice (Dune), I mean price.
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