Comments by "Tim Trewyn" (@timtrewyn453) on "NBC News" channel.

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  29. I don't know that troops that did multiple tours see it quite the same way as single tour generals who put in a year see it. Did any overall mission commander who served in Afghanistan strenuously volunteer to extend his or her tour of duty in Afghanistan if they also saw continuity of the commander as an issue? Does it really take 20 years to come up with this critique in hindsight? Bush, Obama, and Trump and their NSC's all missed this? Were Afghan Army losses over the last 5 years sustainable? I've heard they suffered over 60,000 fatalities. And the mechanism of payment of Afghan soldiers was wrong. A separate military unit with high integrity should be in charge of pay and soldiers should have to show up in person to draw their pay under those circumstances. How many Afghan prisoners did Trump send to Gitmo? McMaster did not convince me he learned much from this. The Afghan Army and its intelligence and counter-intelligence services needed to be advised to determine the quantity of provinces that they could sustainably hold, understanding those areas would be subject to Taliban espionage and hit and run strikes, and the capacity it needed to conduct espionage and hit and run warfare on the Taliban in territory it held. That might have created a sustainable stalemate with more balanced losses, creating at least a possibility of selected cease fire areas and provincial settlements. Both sides would have been on "Afghan time." But the whole matter of American "tribute" payments to Pakistan, with some of it being rerouted to the Taliban, would have had to have been minimized. Pakistan is seeing the US lean toward India, and they have to work against that for their own interests.
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  37.  @inozz4c  Russia has left Ukraine no alternative. If the supply of weapons is ended without a cease fire and partial withdrawal, then Russia will be advantaged and will expand its control. The supply of weapons preserves Ukrainian sovereignty and most of its territory. The supply of weapons, by causing attrition of Russian forces in Ukraine, actually accelerates the day those forces are exhausted and sets the stage for a cease fire. Russian leadership has demonstrated for 8 years that they are determined to impose their jurisdiction on as much of Ukraine as they can. The war has been prolonged by choice by Russia, because its position is that it will perpetually attempt to acquire Ukraine. A nation with as much land and food as Russia that still engages in the violent expansion of its territory deserves strong opposition. Yes, this is a very vicious situation. Every day the US says Putin could stop this war. But Putin demonstrates he is quite willing to expend his forces and, as much as he can insulate the Russian population from the consequences. OK. It's YouTube. You get to lobby for your side. But consider the image of your side that you are perpetuating and ask what are the long term consequences of making unbalanced proposals. Whatever happens in Ukraine, the long term consequence is that Putin will face a more militarized and adversarial Europe for the rest of his life, and his successor is also likely to face that. Was not life better when billions of Euros of were coming into Russian banks for oil and gas? Was not life better when interventions were carried out on such a more subtle level that Western corporations were just fine being a part of the Russian economy and generating progress. Instead, Russia suffers due to its intransigence.
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  38.  @inozz4c  Fair points you make. Mearsheimer makes some good points, but I think he makes some bad ones, too, or just neglects to consider other important factors. True, one can only say so much in an hour. Russia has more land area than any other nation, and with a relatively small population. I grant that much of this land is not arable. Climate change may increase the amount of arable land in Russia, or perhaps just slide it north. Climate change may not be good for Ukrainian agriculture. I think this is a very important forecast for Russia to understand and talk to the world about, because much of the world relies on Russia for wheat, fertilizer, and other food. Russia has been demonstrating forecasting of climate change impacts with respect to planning military facilities for Arctic operations. This is to say that I don't think Russia needs Ukraine for Russia itself to be a flourishing country. If Russia simply held its 1994 borders, NATO membership might grow, but that does not mean that NATO would take land within those borders from Russia. If Russia simply held its 1994 borders, it would not be experiencing any sanctions at all, and likely would have continued to increase its wealth, even perhaps to the point that wealth inequality within the country might be better addressed. Historians often point to the classical routes of invasions from the West as a rationale for Russian geopolitics. I say Russia's 6500 nuclear warheads have dramatically made the notion of any existing Western European nation invading Russia patently absurd, rendering the historical geopolitical environment invalid. Nuclear weapons change geopolitics. Western European behavior has been to concentrate government budgets much more on social well being than defense. The US has been criticizing Western Europe on this subject for a long time, suffering in many domestic issue while Western Europe has the funds to better address those same issues, such as national health care. The perspective that "Biden" can stop the war implies that the US is the only significant player Russia faces in this conflict. The United States does not conduct the level of trade with Russia that Germany did. Russia may be gaining land full of destroyed buildings in Ukraine, but it is losing hard currency from Germany every day. Russia has proved it can miscalculate. It may be miscalculating the German people as much as the Ukrainians. The general consensus among the knowledgeable is that all governments are oppressive, but Russia is among the worst when it comes to forcing its citizens to mind their words very carefully. This sets up a spiral of poor morale, an unusual level of alcoholism, and self-defeat, and this has been made evident by the poor performance of a large, well equipped Russian military that should have won this war by now even in the face of the very gradual arming of Ukraine by the West. I have no doubt the FSB and other internal security agencies of Russia are ready to impose Russian jurisdiction on the totality of Ukraine, because they are the primary beneficiaries of the Russian system. They set up a system that talented middle class people seek to escape, forcing security services to focus on people try to leave the country. Bad as people may thing the US is, we have a problem with many people trying to get into our country. What seems to be at the root of Russian leadership dysfunction is a predominance of psychopathic values within it. These values explain the otherwise seemingly senseless need for periodic victories over its international neighbors, e.g. Donald Trump touting to his followers "We are going to win so much, you are going to get sick of winning." Yes, psychopathy is everywhere. The average citizen in the US has minimal power, but they do have a vote and they have an absurd number of guns. Russian leadership very much seems to lack the checks and balances that would improve the lot of average people. And there it is, much of my case for why it should be Russia that ends the war now and starts reforming its government and rebuilding what trade it can with the West. But I am not holding my breath.
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