Youtube hearted comments of Tim Trewyn (@timtrewyn453).

  1. Good job, Jake! Thanks for standing up for Ukraine.
    121
  2. Well said. When HR1 and LR1 trip, one takes a look at the TR1 differential relay flag. Transfer of all load to TR2 should have happened automatically.
    13
  3. Take a good rest, brother. You have been awesome!
    6
  4. Thanks for organizing this, Jake!
    6
  5. Superb work, Daniil!
    4
  6. Thanks!
    3
  7. Kind regards.
    3
  8. It is not the case that every person, or even most persons, in Ukraine who speak Russian is loyal to Russia. I personally know several who want nothing to do with Russia. The Russian language is widespread in Ukraine and many grew up there with it as their primary language because of Soviet influence. And now my Ukrainian friends are learning a great deal of English, which certainly will not endear them to Russian leadership but will strengthen the bond between Ukraine and the West. In Kherson, Ukraine will need to innovate with multiple shore installations on both banks for not only boats but eventually larger barges for bulk supply of forces on the left bank. Once these forces push the more common and prolific types of Russian artillery out of range of the selected portions of the river, then pontoon bridges and even artificial islands can be used to form a web of repairable crossings to increase the flow heavy equipment southward. No doubt the system will be attacked, but like the electric utility system, it is possible to offset losses with timely repairs. The long distance to Kherson is an advantage for Ukraine, increasing the difficulty of Russian eastern and southern forces reinforcing each other. Russia may very well decide it needs to cede more of Kherson oblast to maintain control of its land bridge to Crimea. Ukraine needs to be developing a potent, permanent riverine engineering capability to maintain sovereignty. They might as well get started on it now. It will force Russia to increase its logistical effort over a longer distance and thwart much of its investment in the defense of Zaporizhya. One wonders if decommissioned American littoral combat ships would be of any use to Ukraine.
    3
  9. Thanks!
    2
  10. Thanks Jake for the logical argument for postponing ATACMS. I still think there have been and will be occasions where their presence and/or use could deter or counter Russian attacks. They would need to be a part of a strike package that would burden Russian AD, improving the likelihood of success while also improving the survivability of any piloted aircraft in the strike package. While Ukrainian AD and heightened electric utility repair capability can do a lot this winter, there may be something to ATACMS presence and use that could improve winter conditions for the Ukrainians. ATACMS could also pose a threat to MIG-31 bases. Currently MIG-31s and their very long-range air-to-air missiles provide a very serious CAP, limiting UAF operations. In the months ahead this CAP could begin to enable the re-emergence of Russian air power as Ukraine draws nearer to Russian borders. MIG-31s are also very fast, presenting a challenge for UAF AD. Like the ME-262s of WWII, their vulnerability is when they are low on fuel and on RTB or are in the open at their base. Not only the aircraft but their supporting base infrastructure would be more exposed to ATACMS as part of a strike package of UAVs, decoys, ECM, and HARMs. I'm not sure how the MIG-31 threat can be dealt with without threatening MIG-31 bases long range. F-16s do not match the air-to-air missile range of the MIG-31. It really takes F-22s, maybe F35s, to sneak up on a MIG-31. The downside for the MIG-31 is that it is not stealthy and it cannot turn hard to evade a missile. Ukraine can usually know where they are. Checkout Ward Carroll's latest piece with Justin Bronk.
    2
  11. Thanks!
    2
  12. I think the captain and crew would appreciate two to four CIWS or similar be included for final self-defense. It is a lot of eggs in one basket for a submarine to take out. There would have to be a sensible unit cost for the missiles. It looks like another ship for asymmetric conflicts where the other side has no significant capability to take it out. In planning for a peer conflict, losses must be assumed. That always favors distributing offensive weapons to as many separate platforms as possible. In my field of electrical engineering, it is called sectionalization, something the Ukrainians have increased to maintain electric power to more services when generators and substations are under attack. It's good to do brainstorming like this because it can bring about serendipitous improvements. It does look like it could be a concept for mothballed heavy hulls that might be economical (funny how that often does not work out). There are places of hybrid warfare in the world, like contested economic zones, where a ship that can ram a thin hulled ship has some utility. It keeps bringing one back to what a good, versatile ship the Arleigh Burke is. The interest seems to be paring those capabilities down to frigate scale so you can have more of that capability more distributed. When a frigate gets taken out, there is less loss of life and weaponry than when a destroyer is taken out. I suppose the everyday challenge is for a frigate to match the habitability of a destroyer, simple things like being able to sleep well when there is a lot of pitching. Good conditions at sea can help retain more of a good crew and keep them in a better state of readiness.
    1
  13. Thanks!
    1