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Doncarlo
VisualPolitik EN
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Comments by "Doncarlo" (@doujinflip) on "Could TAIWAN repel an INVASION by CHINA? - VisualPolitik EN" video.
Democracy is a fundamental interest of the US. If defending Taiwan leads to breaking the unchallengeability of the CPC on the Mainland, that's what America will do 🇺🇸🇹🇼
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@eternalelysium4944 Actually the US had been reducing its military investments in the decade after the Soviet collapse. 9/11 turned that around.
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Defending Taiwan will be a mostly technical battle of ships and planes, which America has the upper hand in both equipment and experience deploying, and very little opportunity for press camera embeds and plainclothes combatants. If anything this plays into the US military's strengths.
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Huh, always wondered why Panama was a top choice of a business base. I've heard similar with the Russians and Seychelles.
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No, there isn't much of a land battle for the press or plainclothes combatants to complicate the battlefield. Nearly all the coverage will come from seeing Taiwan getting bombarded by the PLA, inviting the rest of us to support Taiwan's defense.
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There was a SEATO before, but that disintegrated with South Vietnam
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Golden Eagle Old generals might capitulate, but pro-unification sentiments might not reach all the way down their chains of command. Remember that Western military doctrine values independent initiative in the absence of good command; if anything the lower ranks (which as a conscripted population includes practically everyone) would self-organize into their own militias, providing the PLA occupiers with one or two generations of armed resistance and disappearing enough of them to raise questions on the Mainland about what's happening to their only sons ⚰️
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China has a "no first use" policy with its nukes, but it might end up using them on Taiwan under the excuse that the PRC considers Taiwan as part of China.
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China is already committing what is basically transnational organized crime with its state-owned fishing hordes stealing fish worldwide. Although Taiwan's equivalent isn't too much better, just much smaller and less blatant.
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@lordcarl3374 HK was never physically defensible, whereas Taiwan has the world's biggest ocean (i.e. open sea and air access) as its backyard. Plus the PRC already had military and armed police presence in HK, whereas in Taiwan it's just an office building of bureaucrats.
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Just keep tapping the right side of the screen (on mobile apps) or drag the time slider
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Reinstitute SEATO?
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Taiwan and Japan are threshold nations when it comes to nukes. If they wanted, they could likely assemble a warhead in a year. It just hasn't been worth the financial and diplomatic ramifications yet.
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That might change though. The ROC long abandoned it's actual intention to reclaim the Mainland, and now the majority of its citizens reject even being called "Chinese". With the PRC's grand fumble on its "one country, two systems" policy, Taiwan is on the path to formally reconciling its de facto independence.
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Although the US also won by coming in after the first punches were thrown. We don't do as well capitalizing on preempted operations.
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Taiwan has a formal partnership with the US, who could convince others to join in Taiwan's defense or at least economically-damaging disengagement with the PRC. It's also logistically trivial to get to with its open ocean, no surrounding countries to get transit agreements from.
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@GamingAccount-ru1gi The PRC wouldn't want to risk it now, even with conventional weaponry. The CPC can't afford anything but a quick and decisive victory as they would inevitably lose trading partners to import food, oil, and other crucial resources from, and most families only have one child which would be societally devastating if a critical mass of them get lost in battle. Plus there's Taiwan's highly defensible geography -- there's a reason the US opted not to invade Japanese Formosa even at its height in WWII. And then afterward the PRC would have to reconcile its not so "peaceful rise" to the rest of the world, the negative ramifications of violently conquering Taiwan would be like Tienanmen x100.
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