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Doncarlo
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Doncarlo" (@doujinflip) on "Northern Africa, After America || Peter Zeihan" video.
There's still not nearly enough solar energy production and especially storage to power all that desalination. Then the hypersaline brine still needs to get dumped somewhere, which would chew through pump machinery like no tomorrow if it's going over the western mountains into empty desert instead of going downhill back into the sea and killing all the fish around the outlets.
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His predictions on the timeline and severity might be clickbait, but his takes on the overall trends hold up.
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You'd still need to separate the salt from the brine, which is still mostly water. This process is not exactly quick or economical -- there's a reason we still mine for it underground despite every place with a seafront theoretically having unlimited access to the stuff. Also the KSA doesn't have as much money as they'd be comfortable with going forward. They're pushing hard for Neom and other foreigner-attracting projects because as oil demand stalls, their citizenry which is way over the territory's natural carrying capacity threaten to revolt when their buying power driven almost exclusively by oil revenues likewise sees no positive future. It's in the name Saudi Arabia, a polity whose leadership changes directly through blood and burials, and not necessarily a peaceful one at that.
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All his other videos say the US will do fine, as long as pro-facist modern Republicans don't dominate politics and dramatically dismantle the institutions that let America prosper in order to cater to their more narrow has-been ideals.
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I'd still be cautious on how much to rely on past measurements to determine the future. Sea level rise will likely have an exponential curve, and humans are horrible at thinking about nonlinear trends. We may be experiencing something like this with the weather, as in a growing number of places each summer gets more stifling and winters more crushing.
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