Youtube comments of DasBubba (@dasbubba841).
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@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311
1) Casualties are hard to discern, because both sides are tight lipped about figures. Civilian casualties are probably equal to or more than military casualties for Ukraine, though. The Russians themselves have suffered heavily, based on visual equipment losses (the VDV especially). Though, a lot of those were front loaded at the start of the war, and due to heavy entrenchment of both sides, I'd say casualty figures aren't that high (for both sides) as of late. Also to note is that Ukrainian morale hasn't suffered due to casualties.
2) Inflation is rather uncomfortable in the West, though that has flattened out recently. It also hasn't led to any decrease in support from Ukraine's largest backers, namely the US, UK, and Poland where public support for Ukraine has consistently remained high.
3) The EU has made serious efforts to soften the blow the onset of winter will have. This has included stockpiling energy, diversifying suppliers, and reducing consumption. Also, said blow won't be felt equally in the EU. Ukraine's most consistent and impactful backers, notable Poland, are not dependent on Russia. The US, the largest backer (and supplier of the very effective HIMARS) is not dependent on Russia at all, and any crisis the EU may face will not impact them at all.
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@schuschnix5261 Sanctions do work. They don't destroy a country, but they make it far more difficult to carry out objectives. North Korean and Iran have militaries that are basically stuck a Cold-War technology level. Cuba's economy is tiny, and dependent on tourism (and cheap oil from Venezuela).
Sanctions make it harder for Russia to assemble sophisticated weaponry. Yes, they can smuggle chips in from third-party sources, but that is expensive and slow.
Europe is hurting, but it's temporary. Oil and natural gas aren't sourced from only Russia. Energy sources are being sourced from other suppliers like Qatar, the US, and Saudi Arabia. The longer the war goes on, the weaker the dependence becomes, especially as LNG infrastructure is constructed. What happens when Russian suppliers are replaced? The EU was Russia's largest market BY FAR.
And if Russia hasn't mobilized by now, they never will because the political cost of doing so outweighs the costs of potentially losing the war.
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Yes, the Nationalists at the time, were the legal government of China, the whole of China. However, they lost the civil war. They didn't totally lose, since they still survive on Taiwan, but they lost control of the mainland. Thus, the CCP has become the legal government of Mainland China. The ROC lost control through internal war, and thus the CCP has "earned" the right or mandate to rule China. However, they never finished the job. They couldn't conquer Taiwan through war, so they have no right over it. They have no right to prevent Taiwan from become it's own country since the war is over. Taiwan and China are two different countries. Bottom line, the ROC has no right to claim all of China since it lost it through war, and the PRC has no right to claim Taiwan and prevent it from being a country on the international stage since it failed to conquer it.
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Putin is a risk taker, but he is not stupid. The fact that he has maintained power for longer than I've been alive (I'm in college) illustrates this. He made a very poor gamble, but to give up and thrown in the towel in unthinkable.
This is because I'd say it is not Putin that has the fragile ego, but the entire Russian citizenry that does. Russia is an immensely proud nation that has suffered immensely. The economic situation is terrible (even before sanctions), having probably one of the greatest wealth gaps in the world, suffocating corruption, an ageing population, terrible living standards for the average Russian, and HIV epidemic caused by a dysfunctional healthcare network, crumbling Soviet-legacy infrastructure, and the list goes on and on.
Pride is all Russians have left. Unlike the Germans, whose defeat in WWII forced them to come to terms with authoritarianism, and who had an economic miracle to promote optimism for the future, Russians never had that. Only stagnation and endless recollection of the "glory days".
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@jpowens2253 They tried that in Afghanistan (taking the major cities and supply routes). It didn't win them the war, because the Soviets were seen as invaders. Also, they didn't secure the border, so tons of weaponry were flowing into the country.
So far, the Russians haven't done anything to try to secure the borders with NATO. The west hasn't seen any action, and Odessa is still held by Ukraine. Until they secure the border with Poland and Romania, NATO weaponry and foreign volunteers (ahem, basically unmarked NATO troops) will continue to pour into Ukraine.
Even if Kiev is surrounded, so what? Aleppo was surrounded for years before it fell, and the FSA wasn't a fraction of the force that the Ukrainian Army is. How much can Russia afford to besiege a huge city like that? All the while Western Ukraine remains unoccupied. Russia isn't the Soviet Union of old, they don't have unlimited resources or manpower. They're under biting sanctions and are bleeding money to pay for the war. They can't get needed components to produce advanced systems like cruise missiles. Heck, their entire civil aviation industry is effectively grounded due to lack of Western components and even jet fuel.
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@Alfaspring Taiwan also has numerous MANPADS that are just as good as the Chinese versions. A naval invasion is not easy, and in urban and mountainous terrain like Taiwan, it becomes much more difficult. This won't be a second Desert Storm, since Taiwan can hide their tanks and heavy weapons in caves, warehouses, or in dense forest cover. Unless the PRC wants to flatten Taiwanese cities (Which would they wouldn't do because it would piss off the Taiwanese citizens even more and anger the world), the ROC could hide much of its heavy weapons and only bring them out when the PLA is landing.
The Taiwanese airforce would likely perform hit-and-run attacks. Yes, they would be worn down, but at the start they could prove quite a problem.
The Taiwanese capital ship fleet isn't much of a threat, and is only there to support American ships. Their fast attack fleet however could be very damaging.
As for landing, it would be difficult for the PLA. They don't have a lot of experience, and their amphibious fleet isn't that large. Yes, they could commandeer civilian ships, but these require a port to be useful.
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I wish, but funnily enough, war and the threat of it is actually what drives humanity to aim higher. If we were all unified, there would be no real driving motive to push us forward. We would stagnate. However, if you were the United States, the idea of say, China, landing a base on the moon would press you to start breaking out your astrophysics books, because you don't want to be seen as technologically backwards. So, the US is going to land a base on the moon to match China's. And, perhaps, land one on Mars just to one up them.
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@archiij1707 The VDV did take heavy losses, as Oryx suggests. Vehicle losses include 106 BMD-2s, 46 BMD-4s, 2 BMD command vehicles, 44 BTR-Ds, and 10 BTR-MDMs. Because Oryx only counts visual losses, actual losses are likely to be higher.
The VDV are good troops, I'm sure of that. However, they were misused, tasked to take a heavily defended airport that was useless for Russians. It's like having someone swim the ocean just to get a sandwich. The result is that they were decimated, and they haven't really been seen in the conflict since.
At the end of the day, the airport they took and defended with their lives was useless, and they had to abandon it anyway.
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No. The problem with authoritarian countries is that, while the excel in some areas, they heavily lack in other areas.
The late USSR, for example, led the world in rocketry, physics, heavy industry, and advanced weaponry such radar and AA systems. There was a reason why they were consistently ahead of the US for much of the space race.
However, they were far behind the US in computer systems, agricultural machines, aerospace and naval technology. Again, while the USSR was the first country to put a probe on Mars, their probes had a far shorter life. The Soviet mission (Mars 6) lasted 7 months. The US mission (Viking) lasted over 6 years.
China's innovation has grown because of free trade, and having access to Western institutions of higher education. As China tries to decouple, it's own domestic innovation will stagnate. Theft is present, of course, but that isn't innovation. Theft of technology will always leave you at least one step behind.
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@yuichi7178 Numbers are misleading. After the fall of the USSR, Russia did retain thousands of tanks. However, due to post-Soviet recession, most were put into "storage". Basically, they were put into a warehouse and left to rust for thirty years. Little to no maintenance. I also assume there was a great deal of cannibalization going on, to keep active tanks in service, resell for exports, or to siphon off to the black market.
In sum, it would take months, if not years, of work to bring these tanks back into active service standards. Most aren't worth it (too old and rusted) and anyways Russia lacks the resources to.
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China has it's real estate bubble, which could blow at any time. It has rampant corruption, major pollution problems, and crumbling infrastructure. It may have it's raw GDP, yet still has many people in crippling poverty. Standards in health care, food, manufacturing, and construction are weak, and easily bypassed by corruption. China has a large military, but tech-wise it's backward. China has real potential, but it won't be a true superpower for a while. When their aircraft carriers and cruisers can be found in Hamburg and Venice, we'll reconsider.
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@patrickcloutier6801 Those examples aren't really good. The 1894-95 war was against the Chinese, who lacked their own naval tradition, and were terribly corrupt and poorly trained and led.
The Russians had the disadvantage of geography and poor leadership, and they could not combine their fleets. They were also undergoing serious internal problems, which prevented them from taking advantage of the fact that, for all their victories, the Japanese had taken serious losses and were on the verge of bankruptcy.
And, let us not forget, when the Japanese themselves faced a well-organized, modern, and serious naval power, the US, they lost the war and their empire.
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@taipizzalord4463 Not quite. Hyperinflation only occurs when the government tapes down the money printer. Russia is doing the opposite. They're artificially strengthening the ruble. It isn't sustainable in the long run, and is designed to LOOK like sanctions are failing.
The problem is, basically Russia's entire domestic industry has collapsed without access to foreign components. It's aerospace sector, manufacturing, retail, auto sector, ship building... gone. The only thing that is prospering right now is oil and gas sales (making Russia a glorified gas station), but that's only temporary. Even Russia's energy sector is dependent on Western parts for it's production machinery. These are things that don't become noticeable immediately, but start to hurt more the longer they go on.
For example, see the new Lada car? Looks pretty good, and it's cheap. Doesn't have air bags, an anti-lock braking system, modern safety systems, or any electronics basically.
Whoever is looking at the ruble and saying "Western sanctions are failing, therefore they should be lifted" is at best, a mouthpiece for the Russian government, or worse, an idiot.
Perun does a good video on it, so check him out.
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@archiij1707 Oryx is not perfect, but given the state of things, they've done a pretty good job. They are far more reliable and trustworthy than either the Russian or Ukrainian MoDs, who are naturally tight-lipped about losses.
The Russians, no matter what metric you look at, HAVE taken heavy losses. Equipment losses are a decent marker for troop losses, as many crews don't escape their vehicles when it gets destroyed (especially something as thin-skinned as the BMD line). That equipment will take years to be rebuilt, even longer given the state of the Russian manufacturing sector. The VDV, like the rest of the Russian Army, suffered heavily in their Kiev campaign. It is why they retreated from Kiev, and are now focused on more limited objectives in the Donbass (which itself has become a meatgrinder).
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@Gozerthegozarian1984 One, support for Ukraine is bipartisan and there is still widespread support for Ukraine across the US. No major political candidate has reducing aid to Ukraine as a campaign statement, precisely because it is unpopular with the general public. Economic concerns about inflation are divorced, in the public's mind, from support to Ukraine.
Two, if Russia could do that, they would have already done that. Destroying a dam is not easy. They are pretty big and sturdy, for obvious reasons. What Russia could, and already is doing, is attacking substations and powerplants which is easier. Ukraine is pretty quick to repair systems and blackouts have not impacted war support in the populace (historically, systematic bombing does not generally break morale).
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@Gozerthegozarian1984 Systematic bombing doesn't generally break a populace. In World War II, cities in Britian, the USSR, Germany, and Japan were leveled in massive air raids that killed tens of thousands of people. None of those countries surrendered because of it (Japan had to be nuked twice).
Russia lacks the ability to level Kiev with the armaments it has, even assuming Ukraine's air defense network does nothing. Electrical infrastructure is pretty quick to be repaired, and Russia has wasted valuable munitions that could have been used on a military target.
Even assuming Russia could destroy every dam on the Dnieper (which it can't do), it changes little. In fact, it would largely destroy the RUSSIAN held bank. Also, Ukraine has troops on the east side of the Dnieper, so they could simply advance from there.
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I'd counter:
1. While Ukraine did not do significant damage to the Crimean Bridge, the damage was enough to force repairs and require that the volume of traffic over the bridge be slowed. This is especially true for rail, which as far as I'm aware has not yet been restored. Rail is the Russian Army's main method of moving supplies, and I have no doubt that this contributed to Russia abandoning Kherson. Without supplies reliably flowing through Crimea via the bridge, Russia's position in Kherson became untenable.
2. Reliable figures are hard to come by, but I can assure you that Ukraine has not mobilized its entire population. Manpower is not the issue, rather weapons, kit, and ammunition are. There isn't enough kit to reliably equip everyone, so mobilization is done in phases in conjunction with troop rotation. This means that veteran soldiers are given R&R, can train mobilized, and keep up morale while new soldiers are given weapons and training.
3. Attacking towards Kiev from Belarus is dumb, even for the Russian Army. If Russia couldn't take Kiev in Feb/March when they had significant numbers of well-trained troops and was relatively unfortified, then it is pure stupidity to try now. Especially considering that the Belarusian Army is useless at best, untrustworthy at worse.
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@MrFlatage Huh? First of all, I may be an American. I might not be, but does that matter? Second, the US Navy has the largest fleet in the world by tonnage. The submarine incidents you mention have happened up to almost two decades ago. The submarines are all repaired and back in service.
Two, hypersonic missiles are vastly overstated. This is mostly by the underfunded Russian Navy, which seeks to sell its missiles. The missiles are very large, which makes them easy radar targets. Two, their speed, which limiting reaction times, makes maneuvering extremely limited. Inertia and friction would rip the missile apart if it tried any extensive turns. Three, you have to locate a battle group in order to sink it. It is a lot harder than it seems. You may know vaguely where it is, but precise targeting requires over-the-horizon radar (which can be destroyed by aircraft or missile strikes) or scout aircraft (which can be shot down).
You appear to be blindly ranting. Nothing wrong with it, except no one will take you seriously.
No warship since the Civil War has been lost by the US Navy. The USS Pueblo was a surveillance ship (and the crew most certainly were not begging).
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@casbot71 I think we can all agree here that if it was just a Taiwan vs. China, China would win in the end. In theory, they could blockade Taiwan and eventually starve it into submission. However, the situation is not as straightforward as that.
If the Chinese invaded, the Americans would likely step in. The mere prospect of them intervening prevents the PRC from attacking now. If the Americans did step in, the Chinese would have to back off, since there would be no way for them to take Taiwan if US troops and aircraft are there. It would bring the war to China itself, which is something the Communist Party doesn't want. The status quo benefits the Chinese for now. Taiwan, for them, is a rather useless island besides it's strategic placement. They use their trade ties with the US to prevent them from stationing advanced weaponry on the island that would threaten the mainland, and in return, the Chinese leave the ROC to themselves. A war would change that, and would bring an era of prosperous growth to an end.
Taiwan, no matter who is in power, be it the KMT or DDP, is going to unify with the PRC. Both despise and fear Beijing. The KMT is not supporting immediate unification. The DDP is not supporting immediate independence. Both parties are content only with keeping Taiwan de facto independent. The future is a long ways away, and politicians, PRC or ROC, are really only concerned with now, not later.
Bottom line, nothing is gonna happen. The status quo fits both.
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@keenanmadams8316 China is the same as us, fool. You think they are giving out all that money in the goodness of their heart? Of course not. They're just in debt as us, more corrupt, and less efficient. And much less kind and gentile. Remember that when you default on your loans and they occupy your ports. Also, American doesn't give a shit about Iran's markets. They're shut in, with their backs to the wall. Russia is already selling them out. China would sell Iran out in a heartbeat if Trump relaxed tariffs. They'll just build infrastructure through Russia and Kazakhstan, bypassing Iran.
The Taliban have accomplished nothing in 18 years of war. The average American feels nothing while they starve up in their mountains. They've already had to give up most of their original positions, and most aren't even the Taliban, just impoverished villagers fighting against the government.
We haven't even entered Iran yet. We won't have to. The Saudis and Israelis can do it for America. I heard the Jews are quite good at blasting insurgents with tanks. No one cares about Palestine, and no one will care about the evil Iranians who threatened the region. And hell, if Iran does manage to build and lob one nuke at Israel, they'll glass Tehran in an instant. Forget the insurgents.
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Unknown, given shipments from NATO and captured Russian equipment.
The amounts of T-64s have decreased due to battlefield losses, with the only source being Ukraine's Kharkiv plant or their reserve depots (old T-64Bs can be upgraded to the BV standard).
The T-72 has become a far more common sight these days, with old T-72s in storage being brought back to service , ex-Warsaw Pact tanks being donated, and a large amount of Russian T-72s being captured. Ukraine had, pre-2014, largely retired the T-72 due to parts being manufactured in Russia and preference of the domestically manufactured T-64.
Ukraine captured dozens of T-80s after the September Kharkiv offensive, with the 4th Guards TD having abandoned most of their equipment to prevent being completely encircled. These include T-80BV, U, and BVM variants. There are no UD variants, with Ukraine having sold their stock to Pakistan in the '90s.
A token amount of T-90s were captured, but outside of propaganda pieces, they aren't being used, likely due to lack of spare parts.
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Taiwan is separate from the governance of Beijing. Thus, they are not apart of the PRC. The CCP, the government of the PRC, has never controlled Taiwan, thus having no legitimate claim to the island. The people of Taiwan have no desire to be under the control of the CCP. Taiwan is a country of Chinese, yes. They are China. But, they are separate from the CCP. There can be two Chinas, despite what everyone thinks. The reason that China (The PRC) does not want a sovereign ROC or Taiwan (However you view it) is because that might encourage other areas of China to split. Tibert, Sinkiang, or even Manchuria could split, thus lessening the power structure of the Communist Party. Whatever de jure "thingamajig" lenses you wish to view it from, there ARE two Chinas. The People's Republic of China, and the Republic of China. The PRC is a one party oligarchic state that is a mixture of a free-market and government-assigned directives to meet target marks. The Republic of China controls Taiwan, but is a democratic republic with a market economy. They have separate governments, political processes, and their own armed forces and engage in diplomatic relations (For Taiwan, this is largely under the table) with other countries.
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@Trubripes In that war, most of the fighting was done, at the end, by the US and China. South Korean and North Korea had, by then, largely lost their armies (North Korea's army had been destroyed in 1950).
In this war, it is only Ukraine and Russia doing actual fighting. NATO is not expending lives, just weapons. The US has no incentive to have Ukraine lose, Ukraine, for obvious reasons, wants to fight until victory.
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Had COVID not happened, I'd say we were due for a slowdown in late 2020, early 2021. However, COVID did happen, governments dumped a ton of stimi money into the economy. Avoided a technical recession (minus the early 2020 COVID lockdowns) but knocked everything out of whack. Then we see the asset bubble, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Gaza adventure, Houthis in the Red Sea, massive debt growth, China's collapsing real estate sector....
I mean, we're not underwater YET. But something has to give. And, it appears that things are starting to give way.
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@patrickcloutier6801 And yet Japan still lost the Pacific War. While they had made impressive leaps in naval development, they were still far behind the Americans in various aspects, such as damage control, radar, fire control, and overall material quality. Also, their designs were rather primitive (Sticking as many guns on a limited hull as possible).
A functioning navy is not something that can be conjured up overnight. Modern warships are highly complicated pieces of machinery that required skilled personnel. China of 1992 was largely a coastal defense force, consisting of missile boats and small frigates. The rapid construction of ships may look impressive from a paper view, but leaves many questions. Immature design (more to a ship than missiles and guns), lack of skilled manpower (especially qualified officers), and poor quality construction. China is especially backwards in terms of submarine technology, with their subs widely said to be some of the loudest.
However, these aren't issues that are readily seen in peacetime, but become very apparent in the event of war.
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In short, Russia is bad and is not as strong as it hyped itself up to be.
The endless drive of garbage "Russia Stronk" propaganda couldn't withstand the power of a Javelin warhead smashing through the top of a T-90, or Ukrainian tractors pulling multi-million dollar Tor missile systems, intact, from the mud.
The war reveled what many people couldn't believe: Russia isn't a great power. It isn't a modern, civilized nation. It is a rusted shell of the fallen USSR, trapped in the past by a mafia-like oligarchy keeping its impoverished citizens doped up on vague hopes of imperial glory.
Russian propaganda can't keep up with it, so it comes off as increasingly schizophrenic and insane, only fooling contrarians who wield it in dumb political battles against their own political establishments. If they're favored leaders were in power, doing the same thing as their "enemies", they'd be Russia's greatest detractors.
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@Peter-qr2qd Well, it is much different for the Philippines. Their army isn't nearly as strong or well equipped as the ROC. They are also stretched out over hundreds of islands.
The ROC, though closer to the mainland, has a much stronger army, equipped with tanks, heavy artillery, and SAM systems. Taiwan can concentrate it's firepower on a single, large island that has plenty of urban, forest, and mountain cover to hide its forces. Unless the PLA wants to level the entire island (which it won't do), it would be difficult to hunt down every tank and gun piece. The ROC could hide their heavy weapons in obscure warehouses or in caves, and the PLA lands, they dart out and pummel the landing force. The PLA would lack heavy weapons, and would rely on air support, which would be harassed by ROC SAMs. They could then do this and wear down the Chinese until either the Americans intervene, or the Chinese determine that the island is too painful to take.
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Fallacy. Ukraine had it easier since, one, fighting was happening on their territory, much closer to mobilization centers, two, Ukraine had a large pool of veterans of the war in the Donbass, and three, they've had seven months to sort out mobilization issues.
To note, manpower was never the issue for Ukraine (defensive wars are pretty good about that), rather equipment was the problem. The same is increasingly applying for Russia. 300k new troops are all fine and dandy, but they're useless if there is nothing to equip them with.
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Socialism is a failure because it contradicts human nature. The Soviet Union was not "deliberately" destroyed, but instead fell on it's face due to it's own inefficiency. By the end of the Cold War, the US was rapidly outpacing the USSR in economic and technological development. There were rampant shortages, goods were of inferior quality, and the war in Afghanistan was proving draining. Nationalist sentiments were rising, and eventually, Gorbachev put it down. If it was so successful, it wouldn't have been deliberately destroyed. Socialism is a failure, as seen in Venezuela. Hyperinflation, massive shortages, an oppressive government.
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@Danny-ss8il Most of NATO's fleet is coastal. It would just be the British Navy, the French, and some Italian, Spanish, and German ships. NATO has one aircraft carrier, since the Queen Elizabeth hasn't yet gotten all of her F-35s. The US has ten, and another ten amphibious assault ships. Even with commitments elsewhere, two or three could be mustered. The US also has a massive submarine fleet that would severely degrade a combined NATO fleet. There would be command and language barriers to be overcome. Who would command a NATO fleet without the US? The French? They have the one real aircraft carrier. Or would it be the British?
A NATO navy isn't designed to operate in the high seas seriously alone. There aren't enough ships. You might blockade a small section of the US coast, but there is still thousands of miles to cover. The Pacific Coast is completely out of range. The US Navy would also not allow China to do anything. There wouldn't be any weapons transfers, since such weapons couldn't be used by Europe. Also, China wouldn't enter the war since they hold valuable trade relations with the US, and the threat of nuclear war.
The best that would happen would be a draw. There is no way that Europe could get even close to the US seaboard, never mind actual fight in America. Canada? They would stay out, since they would get overrun in a few weeks.
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@Danny-ss8il The US has strength in the fact that it has a huge military, and of a single command. The Queen Elizabeth was designed to fly F-35s, not Saab Griffins. The Griffin was designed for a land runway, not a carrier. The Queen Elizabeth is big, but not that big. The F-35 is also produced in America, and most of the parts are American. I mean, you could reverse engineer it, but it'd be extremely difficult if you don't have the blue prints and the software for it. It'd take years, and by then, it'd already be obsolete.
The Chinese will sell weapons to anyone, as long as they have the cash. However, they mostly sell outdated junk. Their weaponry would be useless because NATO trains on European and US weapons, not Chinese. NATO would have to develop logistics and stockpile spare parts and train personnel to use this equipment.
Russia would probably leverage both sides. Perhaps territory in Ukraine. Ukraine and the Baltics would be furious and would keep their armies in their own borders to guard against Russia. Countries such as Poland and Hungary are more pro-US than pro-EU. Poland especially remembers being sold out by Churchill. The US could manipulate that to at best cause distention and unrest. At worst, it may cause Poland to declare neutrality. Poland may wonder why they should fight for the UK.
The US could go on war economy as well. The construction of the Gerald R Ford-class would accelerate. The US would find little issue in the production of F-35 aircraft, since they are produced in America. The US would copy foreign parts to supply their fleet. While I doubt the US would invade Britain, it could seize overseas islands like Bermuda. The Fifth Fleet in the Arabian Sea would also block oil supplies, and while that might piss off some countries, they wouldn't support Europe overtly. Fuel shortages would cripple most economic functions in Europe.
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@SunriseLAW So the J-22 is not a stealth fighter? Well, not wrong there. It is a hunk of trash. Anyway, your comment is still stupid. Italy, the UK, Turkey, South Korea, Japan, Denmark, Norway, Australia, Israel, and the Netherlands are both buying and constructing F-35 stealth planes. The only other stealth fighter craft the US uses is the F-22 Raptor, whose production line ended about a decade ago. The B-2 Stealth bomber is limited in number and was last built over a decade ago. The F-117 was retired 8 years ago. Meanwhile, the Russians have been building the Su-57, but have halted production on it because it's too expensive. Also, Turkey and Japan have been designing fifth-generation stealth fighters of their own.
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I'm surprised by how many people see Russia as a world power, with an advanced military. Russia is, at best, a regional power. It suffers from immense corruption, wealth inequality, population decline, and a near collapse in healthcare and infrastructure. It's power is boosted only by its nuclear stockpile and large natural resources.
So many people swallowed the idea that Russia is a powerful juggernaut, that it is immune to "Western degeneracy", with armies of tough, macho Russian men. They cannot stomach that Russia simply isn't that, and blame any battlefield reverses as fake news, while playing up meagre Russian successes.
Russia has failed in this war, simply put.
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It'd be interesting, and this is probably really far out, that Russia would purposely start a war with the US, with China, take as much of Ukraine and the Baltics as they could, cut a deal with the Americans in that they'd be able to keep a good portion of that land as at least a sphere of influence, and then turn on the Chinese. It would secure their European sphere of influence, while also destroying their "ally" and arguably their most serious enemy.
I mean, for Russia, China is much more of an existential threat. Vast Siberian natural resources which the Chinese covet, while also historically (at least Outer Manchuria) being Chinese or in their sphere of influence. Ukraine would be nice to have, but I'm sure the US would trade it in a heart beat if it meant that Russia would abandon the Chinese. Taiwan is of far more value to the US, strategically, economically, and culturally.
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@complicatedjason One country? Do you geography bro? The Soviet Union is dead. All of Georgia, Armenia, and Turkey (a NATO member) are between Russia and Syria. I'm guessing you're Russian since you attempt to mitigate Russia's cross Continental aggression by placing America solely in the spotlight and placing the blame on a single country in a game which everyone plays. But hey, since the US is so big, powerful, and rich, it is okay to blame the US. Ignoring the fact that Russia invaded Afghanistan, Georgia, Estonia, and Ukraine, plus got involved in Syria and countless other Central Asian wars in the past 35 years.
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In the US, corruption usually takes the form of political lobbying and pork barrel legislation, things that aren't "technically" corruption, but skirt around the edges of the term. The thing is, very little of it is actually illegal, just sketchy. It works in the framework of the state.
In China, corruption is more of "rent seeking" and patronage. Bribery is pervasive as officials leverage their official positions to seek money and influence. Traffic cops, for example, are notoriously corrupt, and will use the slightest excuse (claiming that a truck is overweight) to demand a ticket (a bribe). Government officials sometimes work with organized crime to extort local businesses as well.
That is one example, but there are many, many more. From construction to military procurement to housing to banking, it is there in China and the people feel it. It is encouraged by the opaque government structure (lack of transparency and accountability) and anti-corruption measures are usually an attack on political rivals (while your faction is shielded from corruption probes).
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There was a video from Economics Explained that kind of alluded indirectly to this. Elon Musk is a sort of "middle class rich", where he has significant "paper money", but really doesn't have a lot of "liquid cash", that he can blow on a private jet of sorts. Putin is a "rich rich" guy. I'm sure that he only actually owns small stuff like his Lada. The thing is, with such a corrupt and opaque country as Russia, political power is easily turned into riches through the state. State dachas, government jets, control of the security services to be your muscle, etc. Think of all those state assets, state-owned enterprises, and their shoddy book-keeping. So much opportunity to become filthy rich, if you have the right connections...
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Well, you can argue that. I would say the F-35 is better, simply looking at who made the J-20. The Chinese really have no experience with aircraft design. Most of their planes are Soviet-based. The J-11, for example, is the Su-27. It even uses Russian engines because the Chinese ones were too weak. The US has been designing planes since they first came out, so they've gone through the entire development process, all the hurdles and learned the mistakes. China, although an impressive power, is very new. They're building aircraft and ships as fast as they can, to complete with the US, yet in about a decade, most of their ships will be totally obsolete, plus prone to mechanical faults due to their quick build.
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@robertwilson214 Okay Robertivich from Idaho Oblast. Ukraine has roughly 200,000 active service troops. Russia had about 150,000 when they started the conflict. Add another 20-40k for separatist troops (they're scraping the barrel).
Ukraine cannot deploy all of their "troops" because they lack the supplies to sustain those numbers. Thus, Russia isn't facing over a million Ukrainian troops (active plus reserve).
Russia likewise won't deploy all of it's possible troops (they're not fighting a war apparently lol), though just about every active unit has seen some sort of action in Ukraine, even units from the Far East. Precise troop numbers are hard to come by, due to the opaque nature of the Russian military, opsec, and the use of "auxiliary" troops, like Wagner, the Chechens, and the separatists.
This is why the Russians are falling back to the liberal use of mass artillery, to make up for their shortages in manpower. It's why there have no longer been any "grand" offensive sweeps.
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Oh, quite the contrary! Syria, though irrelevant itself, is located in a strategic area. Between Iraq, Israel, and Turkey, all of whom are quite prickly! Russia wants a base in the region, one, for prestige, and two, to screw around with American interests in Iraq and Saudi Arabia.
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@ЗаметкиизРоссии No, the CIA did not oversee who got the weapons. Pakistan did, and more often than not, those weapons ended up in the hands of some less than savory people. The CIA didn't really care at the time, as long as they were being used to shoot down Soviet helicopters.
However, after the Soviets pulled out, the CIA stopped sending spare parts and new weapons into the region. Of course, many Stingers were sold on the black market to Iran or China, but that was fine. If the US wasn't willing to lose it, they weren't going to have given it to the Afghans.
Regardless, by 2001, any advanced weaponry from the '80s had been destroyed during the Civil War, or otherwise rendered unusable due to lack of maintenance and parts. The US didn't have any problems with Stingers because they'd all become useless by then.
MANPADS are not like AK-47s, where you can leave in the closet and it'll be fine. They need constant maintenance, and parts are expensive. Even junky Strela-2s, basically useless by this point, require proper storage and care or they'll become inoperable.
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@scarl_awm9546 The US didn't care for Afghanistan. It's nothing, no resources, not really a strategic area past '91. You think the US is obsessed with the "country", but it isn't. The US didn't care for Afghanistan before 1979, and only saw it as interesting because it offered an opportunity to bog down the Soviets. As for the Taliban, it was Pakistan who funded them. The US preferred people like Massoud, who were more nationalist than religious, but since the aid had to go through Pakistan, the Pakistanis got the choice of who to pick. They picked the Pashtuns and religious fundamentals.
Unlike Iraq, Afghanistan has little, and most of that was bombed out by the Soviets and never rebuilt.
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Poverty is the natural state of humanity, which seems to have been forgotten. After the Second World War, many in the US became quite well-off due to the advent of new technology, a growing economy, and access to previously exclusive higher education.
Of course, fifty years ago, there was no internet, no cell phones, Uber, or many of the things that are seen as "must-have" . Less things to spend income on, so the markings of wealth were nice homes, cars, and clothes.
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@hzc8942 The Chinese have no experience with amphibious operations.
Taiwan is also largely mountains, forested, or urban. This isn't the wide, clear areas of Iraq. Taiwan could hide its amour and artillery within forests, caves, or in civilian buildings. Unless China wants to flatten Taiwanese cities (which would draw in the Americans if they aren't in already), they would be hard pressed to hunt down ROC heavy weapons. As the wars in Yugoslavia proved (Modern warfare hasn't evolved all that much from then), it can be very hard to hit targets in wooded areas. If a PLA force landed, the Taiwanese could then pop out, blast the invaders, and run away. A hit-and-run tactics. The PLA would have air-support, but little else. Their helicopters would also be threatened by MANPADS and truck-mobile SAMs.
Only an idiot would think Taiwan would surrender in a 100 hours, unless they gave up the hour war started (which I doubt).
Although the PLA has evolved much from the days of the Civil War, it cannot take on Taiwan in a war if the Americans are in. American reinforcements and supplies would make an invasion impossible.
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@hzc8942 It doesn't matter what the defense minister says. If the Chinese do attempt an invasion, Taiwan won't lie down and take it. They may not win the war, but they would bloody China enough to perhaps reconsider trying to conquer the island. It isn't a small island.
If Taiwan is invaded, and if Chinese missiles start raining down, I'm quite sure the KMT and DDP would forget their differences and unite for a common purpose: Fighting off the communists. Taiwan isn't going to let their democracy get squelched out. The pro-CCP fifth column is a loud, but small, minority. They would likely lose a lot of legitimacy during the war (if not executed for treason).
I'm confident the Americans would intervene. It isn't in their interests to let Taiwan fall (not when they pledged to defend it, with nuclear weapons), and let the PRC have a bridge to the wider pacific. If the Americans get involved, any hopes of the PLA taking the island are gone. The Americans would flood it with troops and advanced weaponry and aircraft. It would then become a base for bombing strikes into the mainland. China would then have to call it off, or risk igniting a third world war.
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You seriously believe that? Is that what RT is saying now?
If that was what Russia intended, they're fools. Ukrainian units aren't being "pinned", they're defending fortress cities. Russia is a maneuver-warfare army (they're failing at even that). Their doctrine isn't built to engage in urban warfare. That is how Sumy, Mauripol, and Chernihiv haven't fallen after over a MONTH of fighting. Ukraine's situation favors attrition, since THEY aren't under sanctions, and armor isn't their strongpoint. They're biggest strength is the fact that they can obtain advanced Western anti-tank missiles and MANPANDS, while Russia has to rely on its rapidly diminishing stockpiles, and whatever their defense industry can cobble together (which is very little).
The longer the war drags on, the weaker Russia gets. Their capabilities are degraded, their equipment is lost or captured, their precision weapons run out. Meanwhile, Ukraine further mobilizes, gets more man-portable weaponry, captures more Russian equipment.
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@sinoroman People say that, and have been saying that for over two months, but nothing has materialized. If Russia was actually going to win, they'd have won already.
Every day that passes, every day that Russia can't get Ukraine to the negotiating table and get a peace treaty, is a day where Ukraine gets stronger and Russia gets weaker.
People have this mythical view of Russia, that it is a great military power, a superpower who defeated the Nazis. Truth is, Russia is a decrepit, rotten, rusting remnant of a superstate that fell apart 30 years ago. Industries are plundered for their wealth by oligarchs, who then stash their money in Swiss banks. There is an epidemic of HIV/AIDS, infrastructure is crumbling, people are leaving for the West...
Russia will lose, and Russia may not survive it. Perhaps that's a good thing, and maybe its people will take a hard look about the state of affairs that they put themselves in.
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@keenanmadams8316 China won't go anywhere. They're entire economy is a ponzi scheme. The world hates America, yet will gladly buy American food, cars, technology, and weapons. And when someone gets invaded by their rival, it is always the US that has to bail them out. Vietnam was bombed to bits in the Vietnam War, yet they are the most vocal for an American presence in Asia. Why? Because China invaded them. There is Taiwan, who loves America, and is afraid of being enslaved by the Communist Party. Your friend China is just a wolf dressed up like a sheep. Sri Lanka lost their port to a Chinese debt trap. But oh, America is the bad guy. Whatever. Just ignore Tienanmen Square. Or Tibet. Or Sinkiang. America is bad! You'll be begging for us when the Chinese enslave you. You'll demand that our troops come and liberate your land that you whored to the Chinese. Not anymore. We'll deal with the Chinese on our terms. Because despite what you may think, America is still strong, and will be strong. Iran wails under the sanctions. Iranians suffer because their clerics are too arrogant to deal with Trump. They are so desperate they'll whore themselves to China. They'll sign 99-year leases to China. And when they're too broke to pay, they'll demand we kick the Chinese out. But we won't help you. We'll laugh at you ungrateful primitives. We'll reform as we always do, and go to space. You can live in your mud hut, and get genocided by the Han. The Chinese are smart. They know strength. They'll thank us too, for being the perfect boogyman. Like Iran was for Saudi Arabia and Israel, we're the boogyman for Iran, so they'll run and cry to China, and sign over whatever they want, so that the clerics can live in luxury.
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Who "protects" Maduro: Russia, who is quite far away and quite overrated as a world power. If the US attacks, the Russians will conveniently dump them. Then their are the Chinese, who although strong militarily and economically, cannot project their power past Asia, so won't be able to do anything.
All of Latin America, except for useless Bolivia, despises Maduro. His people are fleeing the country en mass. Jeez, as long as the guy hates America (I wonder why), third world idiots will support him. Whatever, it just makes it easier to get the oil of the country.
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@M8143K Russia is not stupid. They do have an excellent R&D base, and a strong military-industrial complex. However, their low relative GDP and high corruption means that advanced military equipment, like the Su-35, Su-57, and T-14 tank, are produced in very low numbers and are geared towards export. While the US jealously guards its military secrets and has not exported the F-22 (and stopped exporting F-35s to Turkey for fear of compromising its stealth), Russia actively seeks out buyers for its most advanced military equipment. However, even China, which has been a longtime buyer (perhaps thief) of Russian weaponry, has been investing in domestic production.
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@TuanNguyen-uq8gz Huge, yes, but very, very spread out. The Tokyo Metro Area, with a population of roughly 38 million, has an area of 14,000 sq km. That population size is comparable to the ENTIRE state of California, the most populous state of the US. California has an area of about 403,000 sq km. Given the fact that many people commute from small towns (with a low cost of living) that are too small to host public transit, you see the issue here.
Most of America is just not that dense. Many people live in distant suburbs, or in rural towns out in the "boonies". Public transit, in the US, is just too expensive to benefit too few.
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@ibrahimbinngahfab4248 One, most nations are secular, or at least have separation between church and state. Argentina is one of these nations, thus religion does not apply in this context.
Two, there is another word for what you're saying, and that is aid. Again, you'll be hard pressed to find willing donors for the amounts needed. Especially since many rich countries, like the US, are under pressure from their populaces to restrict foreign aid in light of recent economic hardships caused by the pandemic.
In sum, no one is going to bail Argentina out of this mess. It was a crisis brought on not by the IMF, but by their own lack of fiscal discipline.
You take loans as an investment, which for a country is public infrastructure or projects that will spur economic development, of such that you'll be able to repay that loan. People or nations lend money to gain money themselves. They expend capital into projects with the expectation that they will receive their money back, plus interest (which is a fee for their trust). Like it or not, it is simply how the world works.
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@vinm300 You are correct. I think a lot of the mentality is that the British governed their colonies loosely. British America offered very little gold, so the Crown let the colonies govern themselves. There were also relativity few natives to exploit. New Spain, or Mexico, on the other hand, had a lot, and I mean a lot, of gold. There were also very large populations of natives, even after many died of smallpox. Spain made a lot of revenue from gold, so they held a tight fist on the colony. When the British tried something sorta similar in North America, the Americans revolted. In Spanish America, a lot of the caste system survived the downfall of the Spanish Empire, and even remains to this day. Hence, we see the weak Latin American democracies.
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That isn't how the real world works, sadly. People want something out of their efforts. Patriotism will work for a short while for some people, but after time, it ebbs and they want something to feed their families. Also, the advanced T-14 and Su-57 do need some materials imported. Russia is a big country, but they do need to import some things. And again, with people being conscripted into the military, there needs to be people working the fields, in the factories, and performing basic functions like policing and health care. Total war works in the short term, but after an extended period, debt, inflation, and corruption skyrocket. A united EU would be able to tolerate this more than Russia due to their greater population.
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@emilycanfield2634 Well, yes and no. You see, the President is elected separately of Congress. Thus, Congress could be Democrat, and the Presidency Republican, vise versa, or any combination of the House, Senate, or Presidency being of different parties. This is made more complicated by the fact that House members serve two year terms, Senators serve six year terms, and the President four. Some elections are also held at different years.
Currently, the House (our lower house of Congress, the legislature), is led by the Democrats. The Upper House is led by the Republicans, as is (obviously) the Presidency. Sometimes all three are of a party. Sometimes just the Presidency is of one party, and both Houses are of the opposite party. This leads to A LOT of political bickering.
Voting is done largely along party lines, but not always. Some issues have bi-partisan support, or individuals (Republican representatives from liberal areas, or Democrats from conservative areas) cross party lines.
Hopefully this clears things up!
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@calebr7199 The USSR was inflexible, and backwards. The CPSU had become a bloated behemoth, full of factional infighting and blind adherence to whatever was party doctrine. It's ironic that you mention computerization since the USSR lagged behind the West in computerization from the beginning, and only lagged more as time went on. They eventually had to resort to copying Western technology.
The Politburo prioritized heavy industry and the military to the expense of all others. Especially prestige projects, like the space program. This is why while the USSR built a potent nuclear weapons program and could send a man into space, it could not manufacture a decent bra.
The key objective should always be the improvement of the lives of the common folk, the working class, the backbone of a nation. I'd rather be a working class citizen in Norway, rather than the USSR. In the USSR, you could not strike. You could not express dissent. For a party that was supposedly concerned about the working proletariat, the CPSU was full of intellectuals and bureaucrats.
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Lolwat? Is this a joke? Russia and China wouldn't sacrifice a dime for Iran. Russia is even dealing with Americans to sell out Iran for sanctions being lifted. China is doing the same. The US has NATO, Japan, South Korea, ANZAC, Taiwan, Israel, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, India, Qatar, Iraq, Ukraine, Sweden, and Thailand who are just itching to blow the shit out of either China and/or Russia because they did some shit in the past.
Russian and Chinese hardware are a joke. The five Israeli-Arab wars and the 1991 Gulf War are a testament to that.
The US also has far more nukes than Iran could ever dream of getting its hands on. If the US is nuked, Iran would be glassed.
I'll have to take this as sarcasm because if you actually believe this is true, God be with you friend.
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Nothing is ever going to bloody happen. The PRC will never step foot on Taiwan, and Taiwan will never do anything. For all their bravado about uniting "China", the Communist Party doesn't have the guts to risk fighting the Americans. And losing everything. It's not worth it in their eyes to fight over a small island that would bitterly resist them anyway. The PRC doesn't need Taiwan. It's content to let them sit out in the ocean, doing what they do. As long as they don't "declare" anything, they are chill. Taiwan is already independent, and will always be. The PRC just doesn't want anything official, because that would lead to other places like Tiber, Xinjiang, or even Manchuria or Inner Mongolia declaring independence and fighting separatist wars. That is a big no-no. The CCP is okay with the status quo, as are KMT and DDP. I mean, it's not like there are ethnicities in different states, like Germany and Austria, or Albania and Kosovo.
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@GyanRajPrak Really? Prove it. Socialism has the Holodomor, The Great Leap "Forward", the Great Purge, The Cultural Revolution, The Kronstadt Mutiny, The Gulag, forced collectivization, oppression of various religions, oppression of ethnic minorities, the Iron Curtain (where you were shot for trying to flee to "capitalist" West Germany). If socialism was so good, why are there countless atrocities, and more so, why did it collapse?
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@felixii4931 Uh, yeah, it does. Of course, rather simplistic, but that's the basic premise. Many workers, the value of your labor is lower. Fewer workers, you're value goes up. Much demand for work (big mega project or something), your value goes up. Lower demand for work (recession), your value goes down. You can, of course, tilt the scale a bit, but it's just simple economics.
Fool.
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@Unwise- In many dictatorships, to lose power is to lose your life. In your rise to power, and in your efforts to maintain power, you make some serious enemies. If you were to, say, retire, you'd be giving up that power which makes you safe. Then, someone else may take that power and see you as a liability. For personal reasons, or in case you might decide retirement sucks and you want your power back.
Wars for dictatorships are a gamble. They can either unite the country and boost your legitimacy (if you win), or you look incompetent and lose any legitimacy you have. Mao used the Chinese Civil War and the stalemated Korean War to gain immense legitimacy and prestige. Said Barre of Somalia, in contrast, after losing the war with Ethiopia lost any scrap of legitimacy he had left and basically lost control over his country.
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@richardl1708 Yet some of the most innovative inventions have been discovered from war. The development of the atomic bomb, while being the most destructive device, led to the advent of peaceful nuclear energy, which if used properly, led to a highly efficient source of clean energy. GPS was originally meant for the US Army, it quickly branched out into civilian uses. The Internet was for the US Armed Forces, but after the Cold War became a staple of life for almost everyone. Many medical practices, such as cranial surgery to reduce swelling, was formulated during war (specifically, the Iran-Iraq War). The Trans-Continental Railroad stalled for years in the US Congress, but the needs of the Civil War encouraged its construction. War is a nasty phenomenon, but it has lead to massive leaps of technological development. War itself does not necessarily need to occur, for the threat of the Cold War encouraged the US and USSR to invest in development to try to one up each other.
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It's a very, very simple answer. They're lying. You see, the political fortunes of local and provincial party leaders have been based on economic growth. The higher the number, the more likely you are to get promoted up the party ladder from some nasty post in Yunnan to somewhere comfier on the coast. As well, people who don't meet growth targets at best have their careers frozen. At worst... demotion.
Even back in '08, Chinese leader Hu Jintao basically said "We don't really know what the real numbers are for the economy" because there was so much manipulation. The legitimacy of the CCP is based on economic performance. As long as the economy improves, no one really minds. When the economy slumps, people are less tolerant of the more unsavory features of the CCP: endemic corruption, arbitrariness, blunt authoritarianism, etc. Social stability, the one thing Bejing really cares about, is at risk.
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@donald8066
1. That range is useless unless the Chinese can locate and track a target. This can be done with satellites (which can be tracked and avoided), radar (which is limited by the horizon, which is a lot shorter than 800nm) or by visually spotting the target (with subs or aircraft). Aircraft won't be much good, as the US has a good naval air defense network, and aerial supremacy is one of the things the US excels at. Subs are the best option, but Chinese nuclear subs are very noisy, and their diesel subs are only good close to shore.
2. The US has no need for non-nuclear ballistic missiles. Cruise missiles are more accurate and can be launched from many platforms, such as aircraft and destroyers, and subs, which is what the US would use to blockade China.
3. Assuming that the US would not defend strategic interests because of political reasons is immensely stupid. Nikita Khrushchev assumed that JFK would not strongly react to Soviet missiles being placed in Cuba, because JFK was young and inexperienced. The Cuban missile crisis happened and the USSR backed down.
4. The US has many successful wars. For instance, The Gulf War. Interventions in Grenada and Panama. China has seen only two wars since the CCP came to power, and one was a stalemate, the other a failure. In 1994, it attempted to intimidate Taiwan, but backed down when the US sailed a fleet through the straights.
5. Your grammar is sloppy and your analysis even more so. The US may have failed in the Vietnam War, but it took ten years for it to lose. The Chinese lost in two weeks, even though they bordered Vietnam.
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@donald8066 The US no longer cares about Afghanistan. In fact, a Taliban victory is a good outcome for the US. They promised to keep terrorists out, and they aren't dependent on US military aid, unlike the previous government. If the Chinese and Russians want to stick their hand into that mousetrap, they can. Beyond terrorism, Afghanistan has no strategic relevance to the US.
It takes more than spying to build a good military. There are logistics, command structures, procurement techniques, manufacturing. You can't just copy that. It takes decades of trial and error, gaining experience, and innovation. And spying will still leave you behind your foe, as they can evolve better counter-espionage techniques, and innovate new equipment and practices. This is why China still buys Russian equipment, and WHY THEY HAVEN'T TRIED TO RETAKE TAIWAN.
And Chinese subs are still louder than their Russian and American counter-parts.
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Yes, the Soviet Union had done some good. It brought a backward, agricultural nation that was heavily impoverished and turned it into a superpower. I won't deny that. Still, it was going to fail. The core tenants of Communism goes against human nature. It allowed for people like Stalin to get into power and turn it into a dictator-state. Every communist country has ended up like this. Communism does not equate to freedom of speech. The Soviet Union did oppress people. The Eastern bloc, for example. Why do you think they were so quick to throw off communism when they saw Soviet power weakening? By the end of the Cold War, the Soviet Union was in decline. You cannot deny that. If it wasn't, it wouldn't have fallen. It was weighed down by a bloated bureaucracy, as you mentioned, and it's failure of an economic system. If you lived in the Soviet times, you'd know there were massive shortages. Goods were of an inferior quality. The United States was outpacing the Soviet Union rapidly. The Soviet Union spent large amounts of money on it's military, to try to keep up with NATO. NATO was by the end, stronger than Warsaw Pact. After the fall, the problems came from the corrupt government. I do know what happened after the USSR fell to pieces. You can blame those problems on corrupt, ineffective Yeltsin. Other countries did not suffer the same effects Russia did. Poland, for example.
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@harrisonreinisch9202 Thanks! I wish I had the time and set up to make a channel, but alas, I am a very busy college student.
As for high speed rail investment, I believe that it really depends on where it is put. Unfortunately, where it is needed most (California and New England) and could actually be viable financially, is where it is hardest to actually put it. Again, for the reasons I mentioned in my first comment.
It would be relatively easy to put a high speed rail network from, say, Kansas City to St. Louis, Missouri. The land there is cheap, flat, and (unlike Cali) NOT earthquake prone. Cost of labor is cheaper and state regulations are not as tight as California. HOWEVER, Missouri only has a population of 6 million. Spread across an area about the size of Romania. The KC and STL metro areas populations are about 2.5 mil and 2.8 mil respectively (counting people in next-door Kansas and Illinois). You start to see the problem here. Too little demand. Missouri as a whole also doesn't have serious traffic issues, thus driving down demand.
Texas is potentially where both building and operating a high-speed rail network could be viable. Texas has less regulations and a lower cost of labor and land. They also have demand for it, between Dallas, Austin, Houston, and San Antonio, cities with massive metro areas. The so called "Texas Triangle". Indeed, there has been proposals to build a network there, but I don't think it has gone as far as California's.
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@harrisonreinisch9202 And yes, national regulations do play a big part. While relatively weak compared to, say, Germany, US federal regulations are strong and enforced. Environmental, labor, and construction regulations all play a big part in cost, both monetarily and in time. More paperwork to read and fill out, plus the added cost of hiring lawyers to make sure you're not in breach of some obscure 20 year old clause that someone just MIGHT sue you over.
China, meanwhile, cares nothing for such regulations and will bend them for something of national priority and prestige (read high speed trackage). Even regulations that are enforced are easily bent or ignored by corruption, which is rampant in China. Not saying the US isn't corrupt, but China makes business dealings in America look as clean as an infant's head.
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@lppoqql China was poor, and fresh from the civil war. I agree to that. However, it success in the winter of 1950-51 came mostly from the US and UN tactical errors, largely stemming from MacArthur's arrogance. They advanced deep into North Korea, and played into China's strengths, which was using mass amounts of light infantry in a guerrilla-style campaign. It worked very well against the US Army, who was ill-prepared for that type of warfare, but not so well against the US Marine Corps, who were better led and more hardened. In the Chosin campaign, the Chinese were able to drive the Marines out of the area and forced them to evacuate via Hungnam, but had four divisions rendered combat-ineffective.
Latter in the war, when MacArthur was replaced by Mathew Ridgeway, the tide improved in the US' favor. The US built a series of strongholds atop hills, and played to their advantages of superior heavy weapons. The battle of Chipyong-ni shows this. The US was also content with a stalemate, because they had no desire to fight China in a land war in mainland Asia.
Now, as for a modern fight, do you really believe China could invade Taiwan with the US fully backing it? Unless they use nuclear weapons (which would leave most of China burned to ash) they won't. The Taiwanese also aren't traitors. Taiwan is under the ROC, the Republic of China. The original government, I may add. No wonder everyone dishes on China, calling them a mob-mentality group. They actually are! At least you can legally access YouTube in Taiwan.
When your bloated oligarch "communist" emperor Winnie the Pooh dies and his corrupt government collapses, the Republic of China will return to the mainland and guard the home and tomb of Sun Yat-sen. You represent a fake, plastic China. A mockery of it! Taiwan represents what China should have been, a true rival to the US, a free, democratic, and just China. The PLA serves the Communist Party, but the ROCA serves the people of Taiwan, and eventually the people of China!
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@jacobisaacs600 War crimes only apply to rich, powerful, and civilized countries like the United States. When a backward, barbarian country like, oh, Congo, rapes it's own citizens, it doesn't matter.
When the US puts people into holding camps, who are pouring into the country looking for money, it is racist. When Turkey plants thousands of land mines on it's southern border, blowing up people fleeing from a brutal civil war, no one cares. Hmm....
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@SunriseLAW Iran is not full of fanatics. I would argue that the Islamic Republic has become more of a military dictatorship of the IRGC. The USSR is very much dead, and Russia is trying to regain much of it's past glory, though it does not change the fact that the USSR is long gone. Russia's economy is very much strained, and it has plenty of demographic issues, like a fluctuating birthrate and an aging population.
As for China, China has drug issues itself, though the PRC has been good at covering it up. China also has issues with an aging population, a massive surplus of men, wealth disparity, corruption, quality control, and false economic growth. China has not passed the United States, and is unlikely to do so in the near future.
I do not think you are an American. No American I've ever seen uses the term "Anglo". The United States does not see itself as Anglo, and never has. Your English is also sub par.
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@trabajosdehvacenusa7771 It was signed in an era where land was conquered by force, and treaties ceding said land was seen as alright. Does that mean that the treaty Mexico signed is invalid today? Nope. Otherwise, Poland would have to renounce it's western territories, and give them back to Germany. Mexico did not control the land it lost. It was barren and largely ungovernable, as it was controlled by the Comanche and Apache, who did not recognize Mexican authority. Mexico had said claim for barely 20 years, inheriting it from Spain, who did not really govern it.
Mexico itself is lucky that the US did not just annex the entire country, as many in the US desired to.
Mexico has more pressing concerns than trying to "retake" the land it lost so long ago. The people who live in the Cession are most solidly American, and even if they are Hispanic, I'm sure they would not desire to be under Mexican rule, as if they did, they would not have left Mexico in the first place.
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@eyzhd4264 Remember to think as Turkey would think, not what media reports are saying. For Turkey, trading NATO for Russia would be foolish, because it would mean giving up a US guarantee for a shifty partnership with Russia. This spat won't last forever, just a few years.
Also note that most of Turkey's military is equipped with Western weaponry. The S-400 would stick out like a sore thumb and would need major work to integrate it within it's defense network. It'd also be stupid to purchase Russian Su-57 because they'd also need to be heavily adapted to their defense network. The F-35 was designed and built with Turkey, among others, in mind. The Su-57 and S-400 are designed for Russian use, and for export among countries that already heavily use Russian weaponry, like Vietnam or Algeria. So, for a good year or two, the systems would be completely useless.
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@eyzhd4264 Don't buy into propaganda either, be it pro-American or anit-American. Turkey has closer trade relations with Europe, whose economies are stable, and have little corruption. The US did not initiate a coup. It would not have given the US any benefit. It was also sloppily done, so it was more likely to be a false flag. Turkey does not trust Russia, nor does Russia trust Turkey. This can be in Syria, where Turkish backed rebels have clashed with Assad. Turkey protects the rebels in Ildib, preventing Assad from finishing them off and ending the war.
Turkey wouldn't leave NATO because NATO gives Turkey valuable support, like US air defense systems in the south, or American weapons supplies. Turkey even hosts American nuclear weapons.
Erdogan doesn't care for Russia, and if the Americans stopped caring about his attempts to increase his own personal power, and the fact that Turkey indirectly aided ISIS, he'd dump them quite quickly. Its realpolitik.
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King Jon Targaryen I Population, or more specifically, population density, has a lot to do with a pandemic. If people are in close proximity to each other, disease spreads rapidly. The Bubonic plague was able to spread by the close proximity of people to each other (crowded in shanty homes) and poor sanitary conditions. It's global spread was also helped by the marauding mongol armies.
I never said the Earth was cooling, I said we were in a relatively cool time compared to geological history. Indeed, things are bound to warm up anyway as the sun brightens and expands.
Globalism is not something recent. At least, what is widely accepted as globalism. Globalism is the movement of goods from a country that produces it (China or India) to a purchasing country (Britain or the US). This is a recent occurrence due to the primacy of the US Navy, which is quick to crack down on piracy, and vastly improved communications. The problem with this is that people are also moving too, due to multinational countries. An American company, say Tesla, has factories and offices in China, where they produce their goods (because of lower labor costs). Of course, Tesla also has offices and their HQ in the US, so they send people out to China and vise versa to keep things connected. This allows disease to spread, because China often has worse sanitation standards than the US, so they pick up a bug and transport it to the US. They spread it around, and someone catches it and takes it back to say, Italy.
I don't know where your rant about capitalism comes from, but it is impossible to defend globalism while criticize capitalism. Globalism is in part because labor costs have gotten too expensive in Western countries (the US and Britain) due to safety regulations and healthcare benefits, so it was outsourced to countries that lack these, like China or Vietnam. Coincidentally, these countries have poorer healthcare and sanitation standards.
As for feeding the world, why should the US and other Western countries do so?
Eugenics and forced sterilization? Woah buddy, that's pretty extreme. I mean, why do that when practicing basic hygiene can do wonders?
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