Comments by "GorillaGuerilla🇺🇦" (@gorillaguerillaDK) on "Bad assumptions and the belief in Russian victory" video.

  1. Brilliant analysis- and the kind of "political analyst" you’re mentioning is the very same who was sure that Russia wouldn’t invade back in 2014! NATO has spend 8 years helping training soldiers in Ukraine for exactly the kind of defensive warfare they’ve been fighting the last six months - and now we're starting to train them for a far more offensive role! I think what will happen is that Russia will continue waging war in Ukraine - so my prediction is that the war will still be ongoing a year from now! I don’t think Putin will recognize the possibility of a defeat - well, maybe if the Ukrainian flag is flying at Sevastopol Naval Base, but even then he will be reluctant to do it! He’s terrified of ending his days like another Saddam or Gaddafi, and in his world accepting defeat is a sign of weakness, and if you’re weak, someone will take advantage of it! But Russia will never be able to win this war - only drag it out! The new phase where Ukraine is on the offensive will be a bit easier for the Russians, as Ukraine still have to avoid bombing its own population! What will be interesting to see is, will Russia now start sending Ukrainians back to the areas they’ve been forcefully removed from to Russia - and basically create a human shield against Ukrainian shelling? I fully agree that it’s necessary to provide Ukraine with more heavy weapons, and the training needed! I also think it’s necessary to provide them with satellite surveillance data a lot faster than it’s happening now! And I think it’s necessary to provide as much support as possibly in regards to operations intended to disrupt Russian logistics - as one of the best ways to demotivate Russian soldiers will be lack of supplies! Just look at Afghanistan where ANA soldiers down in Helmand due to lack of supplies, (due to corruption), had to spend their hard earned money buying clothes to stay warm, buying food from locals, ending up unable to provide for their families at home! Now I don’t expect the Russians to join the Ukrainians like a lot of ANA ended up joining the Taliban who was willing to pay them, feed them, give them warm clothes, and provide for their families at home, (with an alternative option of their entire family "disappearing" if they opted out of the offer). Now of course, Ukraine doesn’t threaten Russian soldiers with execution of their entire family back home if they don’t join them, but when winter comes, if Ukraine is able to disrupt supplies sufficiently - then it can quickly become extremely tempting for young Russian soldiers to accept captivity if they can get guarantees for being treated according to the Geneva Conventions - get a warm bed, warm clothes, good Ukrainian food, and spend time gaming and chatting online instead of being digged down in cold mud just waiting for the next rocket to shake their intestines so hard that they no longer can’t control their bowel movements…. Just my two cents! Endnu engang, tusind tak for at du vil dele dine observationer, tanker, og indsigt med os @Anders Puck Nielsen Jeg ved at jeg langt fra er den eneste der er taknemmelig for at høre dine input!
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