Comments by "kokofan50" (@kokofan50) on "Sabine Hossenfelder"
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This is better than most analyses, but there ar major problems.
Wind and solar are far more expensive in practice. Germany and California have both seen massive increases in electricity prices. There are several things the levelized life time cost doesn’t account for. It doesn’t factor in a the cost of batteries and/or natural gas backup. Also, wind and solar last 1/3, at best, the time as a reactor before needing replaced, so if they cost 1/3 as much over their life time but need replaced 3 times as often, you don’t really save any money.
The we’re running out of uranium argument always ignores any form of adaptation to the fuel cycle. They never consider that the current reactors only have a 5% burn rate. That leaves a lot of un used fuel that can be reprocessed and used again, and then fast reactors can burn the spent fuel straight from PWRs. There are also reactors that can use upwards of 90% of the fuel to begin with. Then there’s seawater extraction rather. The oceans hold more uranium than has ever been mined. Finally, we have alternative fuels to uranium. While the benefits of thorium have been exaggerated, it’s widely available and several times more common than all isotopes of uranium.
As for construction costs, you’re not wrong, but you make extreme outliers seem like they’re normal.
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