Comments by "Fredinno" (@innosam123) on "VisualPolitik EN" channel.

  1. “The biggest Asian Bubble in history?” China: Are you challenging me?
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  2. The entire point of the Kursk operation was political, not strategic. Without the possibility of a ‘honourable’ peace, the rational option is to pull Ukrainian forces back from Kursk and hold the line in the Donbas.
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  3.  @lie01234  Dunno, how much cash can you dump into an economy before the economy just dies from the imbalances? That’s one of the big economic questions. China has dumped trillions into the system every time something looks like it’s going to go bad. This was before COVID. Almost every other central bank eventually gives up and at least lets a partial correction happen in order to relieve the pressure. If you don’t... well, the last time that happened was the 1997 crisis, and it was not pretty- the 2008 crisis was tame compared to the 1997 Asian crisis or 1991 Japan crisis. Considering there are several high-profile SOE defaults occurring, there is reason to believe the end has already begun. It’s not that I even want this. A crash in China would trigger another global recession right after the global economy is in a weak state after COVID. And the primary way the CCP takes attention away from the economy is by lashing out against the rest of the world. Not a great combination.
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  4.  @lie01234  Nope, bubbles can only be determined with certainty after a collapse, but exist before a collapse. Most post-COVID economic production has been inventory builds and investment due to weak export orders: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-08-20/how-an-ordinary-disaster-is-flooding-china-s-covid-turnaround The price-wage ratio of Chinese real estate is reaching the levels of the largest RE bubbles in history while the process of urbanization in China is nearing its conclusion:https://talkmarkets.com/content/global-markets/why-the-fate-of-the-world-economy-is-in-the-hands-of-chinas-housing-bubble?post=127081&page=2 https://ghovexx.blogspot.com/2017/03/the-fate-of-world-economy-is-in-hands.html
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  5. A lot of African Islands were populated originally partially or fully by non-Africans.
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  6. Chinese weapons and infantry quality is also generally viewed as inferior, however. This is part of the reason eg. nominal prices for GDP are preferred over PPP. PPP tends to overestimate the abilities of poorer nations.
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  7. Did you even watch the video?
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  8. No. She’s the only person able to guarantee Trump gets the popular vote in 2024. 😂
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  9. That deal from Canada and Mexico were announced before the tariffs were put in place.
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  10. This is also what Canada did- maintaining high immigration levels by focusing on more professional immigrants. That was until the housing crisis, decreasing immigrant quality (more refugees and international students), and the stagnating economy turned Canadians against Trudeau’s ever-increasing immigration targets. This also explains why the UK wants to stop illegal immigration. It’s as much the number as the composition.
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  11. Israel has a plan to use the desalinated water to refill the Sea of Galilee and to build another tunnel from the sea to refill the Dead Sea (which is evaporating away.)
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  12. And Canada.
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  13. Umm no. Burundi is horrifically poor. 52% of the Children under 5 are stunted due to malnutrition. Its poverty rate is double that of Rwanda.
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  14.  @macroxela  The Soviets also didn’t survive opening up. It’s a difficult balance. They also have another factor: China. If Kim opens too much to the West, you think Xi’s going to be happy?
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  15. Sanchit Kabra Well, say that again when Bangladesh is underwater....
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  16. Gao XiangShuai Dude, just because EVERY foreign ethnic group that lives in China isn’t revolting is a stupid argument to make. The Koreans don’t revolt because they’re more closely tied to Chinese culture than the ‘problematic’ ethnic groups, which is the problem. Mind you, Xi is also trying to sinicize the Hui by forcing them to give up Islam. However, historically, China has given the Hui and Koreans more freedom to do what they want. Considering that’s changing for the Hui, don’t be surprised if the Hui suddenly decide to become ‘problematic’. People don’t want their own country if they get what they want under the nation’s banner (in this case, freedom of culture and religion). Big shocker, I know. China never gave any of the Mongolians, Uygurs, or Tibetans a choice or vote to stay. Stop attaching moral equivalence to the West. The US Civil War was fought over Slavery. The war also did not start until the confederates decided to attack US federal property, which was definitely illegal, even if the constitution allowed for separation of states and self-determination- Federal property is in a state, but it does not belong to the state.
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  17. Note that GOP VPs, unlike Dem VPs, rarely become the presidential nominees of their party in later cycles. The only cases were Ford, Nixon, and HW Bush (and Ford only barely won his primary.) —- Vance is not likely intended to be a successor, but more just a loyalist for Trump.
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  18.  @fabiandonvil But Lukashenko and Proghoizin have common objectives… for now.
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  19.  @dustintacohands1107 Trump never said he’d stop giving aid to Ukraine, the dude has literally no coherent policy on the issue.
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  20. Isn’t the US considering Hong Kong as basically legally China now? Which basically means that China’s stocks are being listed on China’s stock exchanges and being isolated from the rest of the world.
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  21. They should have stayed as part of the UK…
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  22.  @jamestajiri58  Note the IEA projected nuclear to be growing much faster than it is now. Nuclear is slow because it’s saddled with a million regulations and low institutional knowledge. Solar and Wind tech have also been dumped onto the market by the Chinese for cheap.
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  23. Yeah, it’s not going to work. Other than the obvious issue of lack of land, Macau is effectively legally China at this point, and would likely fall under similar regulations as Hong Kong and China if it made into a financial district. Companies aren’t going to move to Macau just because the people there are less rowdy. They may as well move to Shanghai, and make use of its more developed institutions.
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  24. Korea is like Belgium. They have no choice, geography does not pay a good hand, and trying to stay neutral is only going to get your ass fucked. Hard. Belgium tried to stay neutral in WW2, and all it did was make it easier for the Nazis to take over France.
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  25.  @AsusSusu-o3x  yes, let’s ignore how the US has been trying to get these countries to spend more on defence. 😂
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  26.  @user-DongJ The problem is that BRICS has so far been able to do fuck all, like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. It’s too diverse. NATO only formed because of the Soviets and the Cold War and the destruction of Europe. What do Brazil, India, and South Africa really have in common? Some of them despise each other, and are closer allies to the US than to each other. The worst case is China - India, which usually scuppers any action (India does not trust China.)
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  27.  @ArawnOfAnnwn  1. Afghanistan has the worst possible terrain to establish centralized control over. 2. The original mission in Afghanistan was antiterrorism- the issue was massive mission creep during W Bush. Antiterrorism meant preventing the country from being used as a terrorist hotbed. Biden withdrew when the US had about as many troops there as a large US military base and no casualties (being mostly a support role). For all effective purposes, the war had ended sometime between 2014 and 2020 - at least from the US’ point of view. From the original goal of the war, the US won. The US successfully ‘Vietnamized’ Afghanistan. Until one senile dude thought it was a good idea to give it all up for some brownie points. 3. No one in the US approved of Biden’s withdrawal. 4. Losing a friendly government that held overlordship over mountainous desert isn’t really a big deal on the grand picture. It also assumes the Taliban don’t themselves face another US-friendly uprising, which is what happened last time around. 5. They killed people and established an objectively better and less brutal government. At least it actually brought good to the world. Xinjiang is forced assimilation. Unless you believe the Han race is superior to all races, there’s not much benefit to that.
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  28. He has changed his position on this issue over time TBF
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  29. Uryendel The thing with tax evasion and money laundering is that the methods are always changing. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Economics Explained Video would become outdated in 2-3 years because just by shining a light on the method, the people doing it have almost certainly started to move on and use different methods as authorities realize what’s going on and crack down on it. Also, it’s not the reason Fine Art has become so valuable in the first place. Fine Art has been absurdly expensive for centuries as a store of wealth. The tax evasion schemes may, however, explain the current run-up in price.
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  30. Have you ever built a house? Or tried to renovate a house? Then you will understand what ‘too much regulation’ means. —- We need to do both deregulation and simplification/combination. And hire more people to make compliance easier and help people through the process.
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  31.  @ada6220  Uhh no. Turkey isn’t connected to Kazakhstan. Also, Turkey is culturally seperate from Central Asia. It would go about as well as Russia annexing Central Asia, except without the Geography to support it.
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  32. This is a translation of the VisualPolitik ES Channel. Videos are first released on ES.
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  33.  @ArawnOfAnnwn  Which poll does China score higher?
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  34.  @Vractis They partially legalized weed and there’s now more cartels growing weed… 😂
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  35. He did say that though. No taxes in the Freeport and such.
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  36. Compared to their other major colony, Korea, Taiwan was pretty calm.
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  37. Trump proposing yet another F- idea…😂
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  38. Biden started his presidency by pissing off the Canadian Government by cancelling Keystone XL without even asking for their input. :/ And truth be told, most Americans don’t want multilateralism. Biden is limited in what he can do without losing office, especially given the Democrats have a very precarious majority- and they seem to be more interested in impeaching Trump than anything else right now.
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  39.  @Royhkz  Theoretically, you could build a submarine pipeline from Portugal to France, and one to Mauritania. However, this would cost an arm and a leg, and doesn’t likely make economic sense. Even Greece has better chances of becoming a transit hub.
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  40. Divij Shah No one has Breeder Reactors yet, and likely no one will before we get good energy storage via fuel cells. People are too scared to dump money into nuclear- except maybe China. But they’re not great at R&D.
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  41.  @educateyourself3872  The US also gave up all support operations in Afghanistan, which basically crippled the Afghan army.
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  42.  @amazonwarrior7126  French Guiana has over 3x Guyana’s or Suriname’s GDP per capita and a much more protected environment.
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  43. No, it’s a correct term, China has claimed Australia since Ancient times. :P
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  44. Moon was one of the few S. Korean ‘progressives’ out there, and this simply didn’t work at all. It’s Reagan after Carter.
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  45. This wouldn’t be so much a problem if the DOD cut their DEI initiatives 😂!
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  46. They already announced the things Trump wanted before Trump put the tariffs… Several months in advance. Trump got nothing from the deal.
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  47.  @tristinjudd2595 An additional $200 million. So you destroyed the US-Canada relationship and the stock market for… that. Only a fraction above the original Trudeau plan. 🤔 —- This feels like that South Park Episode where Canada went on strike.
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  48.  @xDomglmao  They’re spending money, but not adding value via their labour. So prices for everything increase, especially housing.
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  49.  @ericsaxon5736  The US is considered to be an Anglosphere nation. So… kind of. Point is, Mauritius isn’t really like the rest of Africa.
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  50.  @ericsaxon5736  lol, sorry.
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