Comments by "TJ Marx" (@tjmarx) on "UK economy flatlined in March as strikes impact growth" video.
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@ToothbrushMan With 18 years in medicine I can assure you that most people don't follow medical advice in 2023. In fact if patients did simply flow the medical advice the national cost of the NHS would be slashed. More importantly that's a terrible analogy.
No, the UK doesn't have to follow EU law in order to trade with the EU, and no the UK doesn't have to trade with the EU. You might personally see trade with the EU as desirable, but to claim it's something the UK has no choice in is outright false.
That's a good thing because the EU is driving full speed towards a social and economic collapse, somewhere ~20 years from now. The UK has that time to migrate away from EU trade and towards Asia. That's the point of brexit, it's why all of the UKs trade deals since brexit have focused on the Asia Pacific and Oceania.
When yankville, Canada, Oceania, China, Russia, SEA or the EUs other trade partners trade with the EU they do not ratify EU law to do so. Individual manufacturers have to follow the EU rules for their products that are specifically distributed to the EU but that's it. Products not destined for the EU, don't have to follow EU regulations and the nations those companies HQ in don't have to hold a bunch of other EU regulations.
It's a decision each business has to make for themselves on whether exporting to the EU makes sense for them. See there's this thing called sovereignty, and it means other countries don't get a say on what happens domestically.
I know you're going to hate everything I just wrote, but whether you like it or not that's how things actually work. The UK isn't going to be part of the EU ever again, so let it go. If you want to be in the EU so badly, move there.
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@annaredding No. The manner and longevity with which a strike impacts an economy depends on numerous factors. These factors include but are not limited to; the industry affected, how much of the industry is affected, the percentage of staff involved in strike action, the seniority or importance of roles involved in strike action, the duration of the strike action both total strike days and total time of industrial action, the outcome of the industrial action as a whole, the culture it takes place in both in terms of organisational and societal, the general health of the economy prior to the strike action, any key events or factors taking place in the economy at that time, etc.
All of the recent strikes involve core industries. Health, transit, logistics, etc. All things you just complained about "no working anymore" in your comment.
When any one of these industries have a strike under normal conditions, the resulting shockwave through the economy will last for years. When all of them strike during a high inflationary event, those effects last event longer and even deeper. When all of them strike during a high inflationary event for more pay from a government that has been bankrupt and borrowing money on interest to cover basic expenses since the Tong Blair labour government that makes things bad.
If they got anything even remotely like what they're asking for, that would set in structural inflation at least until the end of the decade. That would mean
The stakes are actually incredibly high. Strikes aren't a game and their consequences can be generational. Consequences like reduced productivity, lower growth, higher inflation, significantly higher prices and recession. Strikes in one industry can mean lay-offs in others. Particularly when we're talking core industries taking industrial action.
Yes, every government since at least Thatcher has done a bad job. Yes, the UK is bankrupt to the tune of almost half a trillion pounds a year. But that isn't why productivity is low. That's a complex multifactorial thing but by no small means one of those factors is the same cultural conditions that also resulted in strikes.
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