Comments by "" (@craigkdillon) on "Is China preparing for war? How China attacks Taiwan and China’s military problem explained." video.

  1. Last point about a war with Taiwan.... Unless China achieves a quick victory, the war will turn into a war of attrition. Remember, China needs complete victory to win. For Taiwan to win, it merely needs to prevent a Chinese conquest. That is a huge difference. What will China do if does not conquer in 6 months?? or after one year?? 2 years?? How long would China be willing to maintain a war with Taiwan?? With a total blockade, how long can it sustain the fight?? China will lose. The CCP will lose.
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  2. Wars are often engines of change within countries. Germany & Japan would never have embraced democracy and market economies if they had not lost the wars they started. The Thirty Years War changed western Europe fundamentally. Religion was eliminated from being part of governmental institutions. For instance, in 1600, the Archbishop of Canterbury was a powerful political position in England. By 1700, it is irrelevant. In 1600, the Pope was a major European force. By 1700, the Pope is irrelevant. IF China starts a war, even deeply held beliefs and attitudes may change profoundly. Support for the CCP, or anything like it, may change, especially if China loses. AND, China will LOSE if it attacks Taiwan. Amphibious assaults are very difficult. What can China do to prevent Taiwan from turning Taiwan Strait into a killing zone of the Chinese invasion fleet?? Missiles alone can sink the fleet. Torpedoes alone can sink the fleet. Mines alone can sink a large portion of the fleet. Shore based artillery can sink a large portion of the fleet. China can destroy much of Taiwan, that is certain. BUT, how can it prevent the total destruction of its invasion fleet???
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  3. BTW....IF China starts a war with Taiwan ---- THEN -- ALL import/export trade will cease. ALL oil imports will cease. The Malacca Strait will be shut down. Chinese fishing fleets will not be allowed to sail the oceans. Once China starts a war, its threats of war will no longer intimidate. US and the world will recognize Taiwan, even if none support it militarily. HOWEVER, Japan & US will support Taiwan. In the very least, they will restock Taiwan's ammunition. Its missile batteries will be refreshed.
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