Comments by "" (@craigkdillon) on "VisualEconomik EN"
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IMO, you frame China's real estate crisis all WRONG.
You frame it using market language - collapse, boom, debt issues, etc.
You frame it as being analogous to Japan's real estate crash.
Wrong.
The real problem is that China uses real estate speculation to fund its governments,
especially local and provincial governments.
Those governments are now NOT paying many of their workers.
Transit workers, teachers, inspectors, and even police are not getting paid or having pay reduced.
To make up for that local governments are now issuing fines, raising water rates and electricity rates.
Essentially, local governments could cease to function, and even go completely bankrupt.
The entire CCP structure could be in danger of collapsing.
Japan's system was never in danger of collapsing altogether.
They merely suffered financially.
China is suffering systemic strains that will prevent solution.
The rampant corruption will prevent the CCP of having an effective response.
China IS collapsing. The CCP will NOT survive the decade.
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