Comments by "Ash Roskell" (@ashroskell) on "Why Russia Will Not Use Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine" video.

I’ve been trying to tell people for ages, before this war started, that Putin would NEVER use nukes. It’s hard to convince someone who’s frightened, so I have always been polite about it, except with Putin’s trolls and bots. But, I learned something I was ignorant of until less than a week ago, which throws a new light on this conflict for me: which is that, under Russian, “law,” the army cannot deploy conscripts in foreign conflicts. They can on;y be used to defend sovereign territory. So, all these dead Russian troops that Putin was desperate to replace might have been a bigger headache for him, requiring him to either ignore the law or amend it publicly, to send 300,000 extra troops to Ukraine. Instead, he annexed as much of Ukraine as he could in a ludicrously hasty fashion, so he could claim legitimacy and didn’t have to frighten his own population even further by changing or ignoring his own laws, in a country which is clearly pretty unstable as it is. It explains the irrationality of his actions as far as the west is concerned. We all knew it was a performance for his domestic audience, but it wasn’t convincing as an act of legitimacy even at home. Now it makes more sense and only shows Putin’s vulnerability among his own people, if he’s too afraid to ride roughshod over their laws at this crucial time, don’t you think? Yours is my No1 channel for analysis of Ukraine’s war of defence against tyranny. It really is exceptional. Thank you for that. This is also why I would so love to know if you were aware of this law in Russia and, if so, what’s your analysis?
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@Ragtags : I promise you Putin will NEVER use nukes. It’s as certain as death and taxes. The only scenario in which he would be tempted (“I’m going down so I’ll take the world with me.” He is JUST psychotic and narcissistic enough for that.) is one by which time it will be too late. When things are so out of control that death seems like a better solution than standing trial at The Hague, he won’t have enough control to enforce a suicide order. Especially when the rich west is offering rewards to anyone willing to block Putin’s will and hand over nukes in return for a life of luxury and legal immunity. We ALL, “pray for peace.” Just like the free world did when Hitler threatened it. And, just as then, there is only one way to win that peace; through Putin’s destruction. Sleep well and be at peace. You will not die in a nuclear fire. Not one of deliberate making, at any rate. I cannot rule out an accident, but that’s another issue altogether.
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@peterc.1419 : Why is it that you pro-Putin guys only ever have weak whaddaboutism where your, “argument,” should be? Are you genuinely afraid? Why?
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@Jeff S : It makes perfect sense, from a strategic point of view. I’m assuming that modern nukes would fly over the polls if (God forbid) they were ever used, as we were lead to believe since forever? So, the USA would want it’s tactical nukes stationed as close to its main targets as possible. Therefore, I would imagine Canada has been receiving highly favourable political and commercial benefits from the US for having American nuclear bases stationed in their northern most regions since the 1950’s? You don’t have to make or own nukes to have them in your country. That’s partly why Putin’s excuses for his war are so risible to the west. There are probably countless nuclear silos right on Russia’s doorstep from the coast of Japan to the Mediterranean and the Polar icecaps, that no one knows about . . .
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