Comments by "Ash Roskell" (@ashroskell) on "The Russian Military Continues to Humiliate Itself" video.
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@nolaserv : I can answer that. The first thing to happen would be they would secure all of the fossil fuel sites and rare Earth resources, such as the Argon vital for making computer chips (Ukraine produces over 50% of the world’s supply) taking any and all reserves back to Russia, whilst restoring any damaged infrastructure. They would also start completing the drilling and mining for oil and coal that Shell, BP, Exxon and others confirmed were there (in the west of Ukraine) but were scared away from and the coal reserves in the East. These were Putin’s financial goals from the outset.
While all this was happening, the death toll would not stop, but actually increase, as Russian paranoia gets out of control due to pockets of resistance that would crop up all over the country, and scores were settled by an Orc army with a well documented medieval approach to warfare. Theft of white goods, cars and technology would see most of Ukraine’s riches exported to Moscow piecemeal, as individual soldiers supplemented their none-existent wages by sending anything they can lay their hands on back to their families.
A massive exodus would occur while all of this was taking place; some of it organised as Zelensky would be persuaded (we hope) to set up a government in exile in the UK, or some other western country, but people will flood the German and other boarders, seeking safety from the marauding Zombies.
In the midst of all this chaos, it is likely that western governments, under immense pressure from an angry citizenry, unwilling to sink any deeper into an economic slide than they already are, yet unwilling to turn away the good people of Ukraine, would reach a tipping point. The economic pressure, combined with fresh atrocities and theft on an unprecedented scale, would be combined with the issue of energy security and an urgent need to ensure that the balance of power does NOT tip into the hands of Putin. Therefore, all out war would likely follow pretty rapidly.
Despite what people would have you believe, nuclear conflict would be highly unlikely, even if the whole of NATO declared war on Russia. It would be devastating for Russia in the first week, as their entire navy (save, possibly a few subs) would be sunk. They would lose their naval bases in Syria and Turkey within days, and without the missile capacity to strike at longer range targets, or the technology to get through top end European defences, their mechanised army would be wiped out in all places where they have bases or concentrations of tanks and other hardware.
This would result in domestic chaos in Moscow, with the police being far stronger and better equipped than any of Russia’s military world wide, and being the last target for the western world. And the west would want to tip the scales there urgently, so as to prevent any desperate nuclear attacks on the part of a, by now, possibly suicidal Putin. It is quite possible that the chain of command would have a link broken somewhere, so that Putin might be unable to order a nuclear strike. But the west would not gamble on this, so a full scale invasion would be rapid. The street to street fighting would be brutal, as Putin’s Pretorian police are well paid and well equipped and will be the last civil servants to lose their wages. But they will be outmatched by better trained and equipped opposition, and the desire to burn their uniforms in the realisation that they will be hung if they don’t surrender.
I could go on but . . . Does that answer your question?
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