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Geoffrey Lyons
Binkov's Battlegrounds
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Comments by "Geoffrey Lyons" (@granatmof) on "On LCS being crap and Constellation being US Navy's answer to China" video.
I guess you didn't see the headlines about China having significant corruption issues within their Missile command. It may very well be that their missile command is a bit like Russian next Gen tanks and planes. But you are correct: China can out produce warships compared to the US, for now. US shipbuilding capacity and design has been in marked decline for a while. For commercial ships, China and Korea are the top producers if memory serves me correctly. However I believe the US also has much better air systems, because we still have a very robust aerospace industry. China's corruption and American military restructuring and rearmament has narrowed the window even further for China to begin its attack on Taiwan. Ultimately for the good of humanity, that window closes entirely.
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No. Big expensive ships make for juicy targets. A robust diverse fleet is what's needed, with laser defenses against missiles.
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I'm still worried that what amounts to essentially WW2 naval concepts are still being pursued approaching a century later. I'm not entirely sure if large ships will survive the evolving antiship missiles and torpedoes. Like I'm really curious what kinds of weapons and methods the USAF would come up with long range air based antiship weapons. Ironically smaller ships may be the better long term platform avoid massive costs and losses with the larger ships. Procurement ideologies for the 90s and 2000s were pretty terrible. I maybe just don't trust US Navy procurement process. There's been soooo many cluster flips and wastes
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For those taking issue with size difference between US and Chinese naval shops forget the fact China jus needs to sail 100 miles to attack Taiwan, while the US needs to sail 10,000 miles. China isn't out to build a global power projection, they're out to secure the region. It's much easier for them to do. And this is why the US military is so expensive in general, and also so limited sometimes: it has to project power around the globe with resources often sourced in America. It's also why we cultivate local allies and help equipment them and train them to work with us. Honestly if China was super serious about Taiwan, then they'd be opening negotiations with Cuba and Venezuela for a military alliance and coordination. They wouldn't be real threats, but rather bargaining chips to trade for Taiwan.
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Yeah and the Air Force flying B2s and B21s around the globe. Not to mention the USAF decoy missile, and self guided harm missiles. The US could launch a bunch of missiles, they'll look like entire air wings, and then the AA systems will start going down, then the second wave of missiles to destroy the various anti ship missile platforms hit. The pods that survive won't be able to launch in slavos dense enough to get past the layered deference of ships
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Yeah but if the announcements of new ships not reach full deployment until 2035, it will not be enough if a deterrent for China to invade Taiwan by 2030. And this is the issue: China's been worked for 20 years in a plan to take over Taiwan. They've had some setbacks, but generally they won't reach combat strength until at earliest 2027 (it's been a while since I've lined up dates so I could be off). Even if their missile command corruption issues deadly then 5 years, it still leaves a 3 year gap of the US Navy is targeting 2035. And the US has plenty of setbacks, especially if Republicans are in charge of any part of government.
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