Comments by "Geoffrey Lyons" (@granatmof) on "Is now the best time for China to invade Taiwan?" video.

China's military just isn't quite ready for it. China is expected to be ready by 2025-2027. Right now China is focused on upsetting the US election. Getting Trump in office would be the ideal outcome for Russia, China, and other adversaries to the US. After 2030, Taiwan and US would be to prepared for China to be able to expect a positive outcome. See the US spent 2001-2015 with a mindset of the middle east. We spent billions on deploying and fighting and insurgency, not a near peer state. The US was limited in the medium range treaty with Russia. China had no such limitation. The US currently has a range limitation, a limitation that is very quickly closing. By 2030, the US should star to receive the NGAD air systems in both the air force and Navy. Sure it will take few more years of shakedown flights to confirm, but a war with China would get them completed far faster. The US likewise needs an updated naval system. However if it kicked off today, the US would still win, and China knows it. No matter when it kicks of, If it ever does, Taiwan will be flattened.
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... Yes. We're talking about China attacking Taiwan, just off its coast. It's largely considered the US is uninvadeable by conventional means. Even if the world declared war on the US, the US would likely win even without Nukes.
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